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Los Angeles Kings vs Detroit Red Wings prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 15, 2026

NHL matchup

Los Angeles Kings at Detroit Red Wings

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 15, 2026.

December 15, 2026 · 7:30 PM MBT
Away

Los Angeles Kings

5-8-2

46.1%
at
Home

Detroit Red Wings

7-8-3

53.9% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Detroit Red Wings at 53.9%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Los Angeles Kings logo
Away team

Los Angeles Kings

46.1%
Fair American +117
Fair decimal 2.17
Calculate value
Detroit Red Wings logo
Home team

Detroit Red Wings

53.9%
Fair American -117
Fair decimal 1.86
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 15, 2026.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 15. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Los Angeles Kings

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

102:12 together · 9 games

xG share60.9%
Corsi for / against
117 / 94
Fenwick for / against
84 / 72
Corsi share
55.5%
Fenwick share
53.8%
xG for / against
6.89 / 4.42
Defense pair

126:35 together · 10 games

xG share46.4%
Corsi for / against
92 / 112
Fenwick for / against
67 / 82
Corsi share
45.1%
Fenwick share
45.0%
xG for / against
4.84 / 5.59
All observed combinations

Detroit Red Wings

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

153:09 together · 10 games

xG share46.2%
Corsi for / against
131 / 140
Fenwick for / against
100 / 102
Corsi share
48.3%
Fenwick share
49.5%
xG for / against
5.80 / 6.76
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Season goaltending

Every recorded goalie

Regular-season records for each team in 2026–27, before Dec 15, 2026. Includes recorded backups. Games played require ice time; stats cover only games with this team.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Darcy Kuemper

Los Angeles Kings · Last start: Nov 7

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
141
Save %
88.7
Goals allowed
16
Close-range shots %
37.6

Daniil Tarasov

Detroit Red Wings · Last start: Nov 7

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
128
Save %
89.8
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
25.8
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 15, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Los Angeles Kings

xG for / game
3.43
xG against / game
3.04
xG differential / game
0.39

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Detroit Red Wings

xG for / game
3.26
xG against / game
2.73
xG differential / game
0.53

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 15, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Los Angeles Kings

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
59.9
Corsi share (%)
49.3
Fenwick share (%)
49.0
Faceoff win %
50.1
Penalties / game
4.0

Shots / game: 26.5 · Shooting: 12.8% · Avg distance: 31.2 ft

Detroit Red Wings

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
56.2
Corsi share (%)
50.9
Fenwick share (%)
52.6
Faceoff win %
49.7
Penalties / game
3.6

Shots / game: 27.4 · Shooting: 10.2% · Avg distance: 31.8 ft

Skaters versus this opponent

Hot & cold against the other team

Up to five skaters per team, ranked by the largest change in points per game against this opponent versus other opponents. Uses the last five meetings per player within this season and the previous two seasons, before Dec 15, 2026.

Los Angeles Kings

A. Panarin Hot · +1.54 P/GP

5 games vs Detroit Red Wings · 2.60 points/game
1.06 points/game across 168 games vs other opponents

Goals
5
Assists
8
Points
13
Shots / game
2.4
S. Laughton Hot · +1.08 P/GP

5 games vs Detroit Red Wings · 1.40 points/game
0.32 points/game across 154 games vs other opponents

Goals
6
Assists
1
Points
7
Shots / game
3.2
E. Haula Hot · +0.62 P/GP

5 games vs Detroit Red Wings · 1.00 points/game
0.38 points/game across 160 games vs other opponents

Goals
3
Assists
2
Points
5
Shots / game
1.6
S. Helenius Hot · +0.53 P/GP

3 games vs Detroit Red Wings · 0.67 points/game
0.14 points/game across 111 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
1
Points
2
Shots / game
1.0
B. Clarke Cold · -0.49 P/GP

4 games vs Detroit Red Wings · 0.00 points/game
0.49 points/game across 171 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
2.8

Detroit Red Wings

M. Kasper Hot · +0.92 P/GP

4 games vs Los Angeles Kings · 1.25 points/game
0.33 points/game across 155 games vs other opponents

Goals
4
Assists
1
Points
5
Shots / game
2.5
J. Compher Cold · -0.40 P/GP

3 games vs Los Angeles Kings · 0.00 points/game
0.40 points/game across 166 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
0.7
A. DeBrincat Hot · +0.32 P/GP

4 games vs Los Angeles Kings · 1.25 points/game
0.93 points/game across 178 games vs other opponents

Goals
3
Assists
2
Points
5
Shots / game
3.5
L. Raymond Hot · +0.30 P/GP

4 games vs Los Angeles Kings · 1.25 points/game
0.95 points/game across 176 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
4
Points
5
Shots / game
3.3
K. Kolesar Cold · -0.28 P/GP

5 games vs Los Angeles Kings · 0.00 points/game
0.28 points/game across 174 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
0.2
How hot and cold are measuredSample requirements, player selection and limitations

Hot means a higher points-per-game rate against this opponent; cold means a lower rate. The comparison uses other opponents over the same three-season window. Only players whose most recent recorded team this season matches this matchup are considered; this does not confirm tonight's lineup. History includes appearances for former teams. Players with no meaningful rate difference are omitted from the highlights; the full breakdown includes them. These small, unadjusted historical samples describe past production, not a forecast or a statistically established matchup advantage.

Want the full picture?

See every recorded skater from both teams, including players with limited opponent history.

View all players vs opponent →
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Los Angeles Kings LAK
Metric
Detroit Red Wings DET
12Points17
0.400Points %0.472
45Goals for49
52Goals against56
-7Goal differential-7
L1Current streakL3
Road versus home
Los Angeles Kings LAK road
Metric
Detroit Red Wings DET home
8Games10
3Wins4
8Points9
-2Goal differential-2
Last 10 games
Los Angeles Kings LAK
Metric
Detroit Red Wings DET
5-5-0Record4-5-1
10Points9
34Goals for29
31Goals against32
3Goal differential-3
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Los Angeles Kings LAK 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Detroit Red Wings DET 4 wins
Total goals36 – 30
Goal differential +6 / -6
Goals per game3.6 / 3.0
Shots per game35.0 / 25.8
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 27, 2026
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
3 - 1 22 - 28 View
Oct 30, 2025
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
4 - 3 27 - 39 View
Jan 27, 2025
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
2 - 5 25 - 28 View
Nov 16, 2024
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
1 - 4 18 - 41 View
Jan 13, 2024
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
3 - 5 36 - 30 View
Jan 4, 2024
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
4 - 3 27 - 43 View
Nov 12, 2022
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
3 - 4 21 - 21 View
Oct 17, 2022
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
5 - 4 36 - 33 View
Feb 2, 2022
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
5 - 3 45 - 25 View
Jan 8, 2022
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
0 - 4 21 - 42 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings LAK DET