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Edmonton Oilers vs Anaheim Ducks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 7, 2026

NHL matchup

Edmonton Oilers at Anaheim Ducks

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 7, 2026.

October 7, 2026 · 9:00 PM CST
Away

Edmonton Oilers

8-2-2

5
Final
Home

Anaheim Ducks

5-6-0

2 Model pick
Model V2 pick: Anaheim Ducks at 56.2% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Edmonton Oilers logo
Away team

Edmonton Oilers

43.8%
Fair American +128
Fair decimal 2.28
Best market -130 · BetUS
Market implied 56.5%
Edge -12.7%
Expected value -22.5%
Calculate value
Anaheim Ducks logo
Home team

Anaheim Ducks

56.2%
Fair American -128
Fair decimal 1.78
Best market +116 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 46.3%
Edge +9.9%
Expected value +21.4%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 7, 2026.

Anaheim Ducks

All Model Picks

Bets
1
Record
1-0
Net units
1.15
ROI
115.0%

Value Picks

Bets
2
Record
2-0
Net units
2.81
ROI
140.5%

Market Favourite

Bets
0
Record
0-0
Net units
0.00
ROI
—
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 7. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Edmonton Oilers

3 / 3 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

38:19 together · 3 games

xG share77.2%
Corsi for / against
47 / 13
Fenwick for / against
31 / 8
Corsi share
78.3%
Fenwick share
79.5%
xG for / against
2.00 / 0.59
All observed combinations

Anaheim Ducks

2 / 2 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

19:16 together · 2 games

xG share51.3%
Corsi for / against
27 / 24
Fenwick for / against
20 / 18
Corsi share
52.9%
Fenwick share
52.6%
xG for / against
1.36 / 1.28
Defense pair

37:02 together · 2 games

xG share43.7%
Corsi for / against
28 / 43
Fenwick for / against
16 / 30
Corsi share
39.4%
Fenwick share
34.8%
xG for / against
1.35 / 1.74
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Devon Levi

Edmonton Oilers · Last start: Oct 3

2 / 2 appearances covered

Shots faced
42
Save %
81.0
Goals allowed
8
Close-range shots %
28.6

Lukas Dostal

Anaheim Ducks · Last start: Oct 4

2 / 2 appearances covered

Shots faced
61
Save %
91.8
Goals allowed
5
Close-range shots %
29.5
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 7, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Edmonton Oilers

xG for / game
3.70
xG against / game
2.26
xG differential / game
1.45

3 / 3 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Anaheim Ducks

xG for / game
2.82
xG against / game
3.67
xG differential / game
-0.85

2 / 2 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 7, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Edmonton Oilers

3 / 3 games covered

Attempts / game
63.7
Corsi share (%)
59.1
Fenwick share (%)
59.8
Faceoff win %
51.7
Penalties / game
3.67

Shots / game: 31.7 · Shooting: 17.9% · Avg distance: 33.9 ft

Anaheim Ducks

2 / 2 games covered

Attempts / game
44.5
Corsi share (%)
39.2
Fenwick share (%)
39.2
Faceoff win %
43.9
Penalties / game
3.5

Shots / game: 20.0 · Shooting: 17.5% · Avg distance: 33.7 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Edmonton Oilers EDM
Metric
Anaheim Ducks ANA
18Points10
0.750Points %0.455
52Goals for32
43Goals against37
9Goal differential-5
OT1Current streakW1
Road versus home
Edmonton Oilers EDM road
Metric
Anaheim Ducks ANA home
5Games4
5Wins1
10Points2
14Goal differential-6
Last 10 games
Edmonton Oilers EDM
Metric
Anaheim Ducks ANA
7-2-1Record4-6-0
15Points8
38Goals for28
30Goals against34
8Goal differential-6
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Edmonton Oilers EDM 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Anaheim Ducks ANA 4 wins
Total goals44 – 34
Goal differential +10 / -10
Goals per game4.4 / 3.4
Shots per game33.2 / 28.8
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 28, 2026
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
2 - 4 31 - 34 View
Feb 25, 2026
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
5 - 6 27 - 29 View
Jan 26, 2026
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
4 - 7 40 - 32 View
Apr 7, 2025
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
2 - 3 47 - 21 View
Mar 4, 2025
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
6 - 2 27 - 35 View
Jan 3, 2025
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
2 - 3 29 - 26 View
Dec 29, 2024
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
3 - 5 23 - 32 View
Mar 30, 2024
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
1 - 6 22 - 37 View
Feb 9, 2024
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
5 - 3 32 - 27 View
Dec 31, 2023
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
7 - 2 39 - 30 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings EDM ANA