Skip to content

Dallas Stars vs Seattle Kraken prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 3, 2026

NHL matchup

Dallas Stars at Seattle Kraken

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 3, 2026.

December 3, 2026 · 10:00 PM MBT
Away

Dallas Stars

10-5-2

45.2%
at
Home

Seattle Kraken

9-6-1

54.8% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Seattle Kraken at 54.8%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Seattle Kraken logo
Home team

Seattle Kraken

54.8%
Fair American -121
Fair decimal 1.82
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 3, 2026.

Dallas Stars

All Model Picks

Bets
7
Record
4-3
Net units
-1.00
ROI
-14.3%

Value Picks

Bets
0
Record
0-0
Net units
0.00
ROI
—

Market Favourite

Bets
15
Record
9-6
Net units
-0.62
ROI
-4.1%
Full team betting results

Seattle Kraken

All Model Picks

Bets
8
Record
5-3
Net units
1.66
ROI
20.7%

Value Picks

Bets
14
Record
7-7
Net units
1.54
ROI
11.0%

Market Favourite

Bets
4
Record
3-1
Net units
1.37
ROI
34.2%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 3. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Dallas Stars

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

53:27 together · 10 games

xG share53.8%
Corsi for / against
39 / 43
Fenwick for / against
29 / 23
Corsi share
47.6%
Fenwick share
55.8%
xG for / against
2.03 / 1.74
Defense pair

81:03 together · 8 games

xG share69.2%
Corsi for / against
92 / 57
Fenwick for / against
63 / 31
Corsi share
61.7%
Fenwick share
67.0%
xG for / against
4.74 / 2.11
All observed combinations

Seattle Kraken

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

65:33 together · 8 games

xG share41.5%
Corsi for / against
50 / 69
Fenwick for / against
35 / 47
Corsi share
42.0%
Fenwick share
42.7%
xG for / against
2.06 / 2.90
Defense pair

148:29 together · 9 games

xG share47.5%
Corsi for / against
127 / 156
Fenwick for / against
98 / 114
Corsi share
44.9%
Fenwick share
46.2%
xG for / against
6.04 / 6.68
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Season goaltending

Every recorded goalie

Regular-season records for each team in 2026–27, before Dec 3, 2026. Includes recorded backups. Games played require ice time; stats cover only games with this team.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Jake Oettinger

Dallas Stars · Last start: Nov 7

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
112
Save %
85.7
Goals allowed
16
Close-range shots %
33.9

Joey Daccord

Seattle Kraken · Last start: Nov 7

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
121
Save %
85.1
Goals allowed
18
Close-range shots %
27.3
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 3, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Dallas Stars

xG for / game
3.45
xG against / game
2.68
xG differential / game
0.77

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Seattle Kraken

xG for / game
2.52
xG against / game
3.29
xG differential / game
-0.76

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 3, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Dallas Stars

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
53.0
Corsi share (%)
51.2
Fenwick share (%)
53.3
Faceoff win %
58.4
Penalties / game
4.2

Shots / game: 27.2 · Shooting: 12.1% · Avg distance: 31.5 ft

Seattle Kraken

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
51.0
Corsi share (%)
44.6
Fenwick share (%)
44.5
Faceoff win %
52.6
Penalties / game
3.1

Shots / game: 25.3 · Shooting: 11.5% · Avg distance: 33.8 ft

Skaters versus this opponent

Hot & cold against the other team

Up to five skaters per team, ranked by the largest change in points per game against this opponent versus other opponents. Uses the last five meetings per player within this season and the previous two seasons, before Dec 3, 2026.

Dallas Stars

J. Kiviranta Hot · +0.59 P/GP

5 games vs Seattle Kraken · 0.80 points/game
0.21 points/game across 137 games vs other opponents

Goals
4
Assists
0
Points
4
Shots / game
3.0
J. Robertson Cold · -0.50 P/GP

5 games vs Seattle Kraken · 0.60 points/game
1.10 points/game across 175 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
2
Points
3
Shots / game
2.0
E. Lindell Hot · +0.47 P/GP

5 games vs Seattle Kraken · 0.80 points/game
0.33 points/game across 168 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
3
Points
4
Shots / game
0.8
J. Hryckowian Hot · +0.36 P/GP

3 games vs Seattle Kraken · 0.67 points/game
0.31 points/game across 100 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
2
Points
2
Shots / game
0.3
T. Seguin Hot · +0.33 P/GP

3 games vs Seattle Kraken · 1.00 points/game
0.67 points/game across 61 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
2
Points
3
Shots / game
1.3

Seattle Kraken

J. Eberle Cold · -0.70 P/GP

5 games vs Dallas Stars · 0.00 points/game
0.70 points/game across 132 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
2.6
C. Stephenson Cold · -0.67 P/GP

5 games vs Dallas Stars · 0.00 points/game
0.67 points/game across 168 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
0.2
M. Beniers Cold · -0.59 P/GP

5 games vs Dallas Stars · 0.00 points/game
0.59 points/game across 174 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.8
F. Gaudreau Cold · -0.44 P/GP

5 games vs Dallas Stars · 0.00 points/game
0.44 points/game across 160 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
0.8
J. McCann Cold · -0.36 P/GP

5 games vs Dallas Stars · 0.40 points/game
0.76 points/game across 140 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
2
Points
2
Shots / game
2.4
How hot and cold are measuredSample requirements, player selection and limitations

Hot means a higher points-per-game rate against this opponent; cold means a lower rate. The comparison uses other opponents over the same three-season window. Only players whose most recent recorded team this season matches this matchup are considered; this does not confirm tonight's lineup. History includes appearances for former teams. Players with no meaningful rate difference are omitted from the highlights; the full breakdown includes them. These small, unadjusted historical samples describe past production, not a forecast or a statistically established matchup advantage.

Want the full picture?

See every recorded skater from both teams, including players with limited opponent history.

View all players vs opponent →
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Dallas Stars DAL
Metric
Seattle Kraken SEA
22Points19
0.647Points %0.594
49Goals for57
41Goals against57
8Goal differential0
W1Current streakL1
Road versus home
Dallas Stars DAL road
Metric
Seattle Kraken SEA home
7Games8
4Wins5
10Points10
7Goal differential1
Last 10 games
Dallas Stars DAL
Metric
Seattle Kraken SEA
7-2-1Record5-4-1
15Points11
33Goals for31
28Goals against40
5Goal differential-9
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Dallas Stars DAL 9 wins
10 games reviewed
Seattle Kraken SEA 1 wins
Total goals33 – 15
Goal differential +18 / -18
Goals per game3.3 / 1.5
Shots per game27.0 / 28.4
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Feb 25, 2026
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
1 - 4 19 - 32 View
Nov 26, 2025
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
3 - 2 21 - 28 View
Nov 9, 2025
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
1 - 2 31 - 25 View
Mar 31, 2025
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
3 - 1 31 - 36 View
Mar 29, 2025
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
5 - 1 21 - 36 View
Oct 13, 2024
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
0 - 2 25 - 23 View
Apr 13, 2024
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
1 - 3 27 - 30 View
Mar 30, 2024
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
3 - 0 30 - 17 View
Dec 18, 2023
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
3 - 4 38 - 28 View
Mar 21, 2023
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
5 - 4 27 - 29 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings DAL SEA