Dallas Stars vs Seattle Kraken Prediction, Odds & Win Probability | December 1, 2026

December 1, 2026 · 9:40 PM MBT

Away

Dallas Stars

10-5-2

45.7%

Home

Seattle Kraken

9-6-1

54.3% Model pick

Model V2 pick: Seattle Kraken at 54.3%

Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Away team

Dallas Stars

45.7%

Fair American +119

Fair decimal 2.19

Calculate value

Home team

Seattle Kraken

54.3%

Fair American -119

Fair decimal 1.84

Calculate value

Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 1, 2026.

Dallas Stars

All Model Picks

Bets: 7
Record: 4-3
Net units: -1.00
ROI: -14.3%

Value Picks

Bets: 0
Record: 0-0
Net units: 0.00
ROI: —

Market Favourite

Bets: 15
Record: 9-6
Net units: -0.62
ROI: -4.1%

Full team betting results

Seattle Kraken

All Model Picks

Bets: 8
Record: 5-3
Net units: 1.66
ROI: 20.7%

Value Picks

Bets: 14
Record: 7-7
Net units: 1.54
ROI: 11.0%

Market Favourite

Bets: 4
Record: 3-1
Net units: 1.37
ROI: 34.2%

Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 1. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Dallas Stars

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

53:27 together · 10 games

xG share53.8%

Corsi for / against: 39 / 43
Fenwick for / against: 29 / 23
Corsi share: 47.6%
Fenwick share: 55.8%
xG for / against: 2.03 / 1.74

Defense pair

81:03 together · 8 games

xG share69.2%

Corsi for / against: 92 / 57
Fenwick for / against: 63 / 31
Corsi share: 61.7%
Fenwick share: 67.0%
xG for / against: 4.74 / 2.11

All observed combinations

Seattle Kraken

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

65:33 together · 8 games

xG share41.5%

Corsi for / against: 50 / 69
Fenwick for / against: 35 / 47
Corsi share: 42.0%
Fenwick share: 42.7%
xG for / against: 2.06 / 2.90

Defense pair

148:29 together · 9 games

xG share47.5%

Corsi for / against: 127 / 156
Fenwick for / against: 98 / 114
Corsi share: 44.9%
Fenwick share: 46.2%
xG for / against: 6.04 / 6.68

All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Seattle Kraken

Expected starter unavailable.

Season goaltending

Every recorded goalie

Regular-season records for each team in 2026–27, before Dec 1, 2026. Includes recorded backups. Games played require ice time; stats cover only games with this team.

Dallas Stars

J. Oettinger

GP: 13
Starts: 13
Wins: 9
Save %: 0.906
GAA: 1.99

C. DeSmith

GP: 4
Starts: 4
Wins: 1
Save %: 0.909
GAA: 2.42

Seattle Kraken

P. Grubauer

GP: 10
Starts: 8
Wins: 5
Save %: 0.889
GAA: 3.08

J. Daccord

GP: 9
Starts: 8
Wins: 4
Save %: 0.881
GAA: 3.83

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Jake Oettinger

Dallas Stars · Last start: Nov 7

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced: 112
Save %: 85.7
Goals allowed: 16
Close-range shots %: 33.9

Joey Daccord

Seattle Kraken · Last start: Nov 7

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced: 121
Save %: 85.1
Goals allowed: 18
Close-range shots %: 27.3

Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 1, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Dallas Stars

xG for / game: 3.45
xG against / game: 2.68
xG differential / game: 0.77

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Seattle Kraken

xG for / game: 2.52
xG against / game: 3.29
xG differential / game: -0.76

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 1, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Dallas Stars

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game: 53.0
Corsi share (%): 51.2
Fenwick share (%): 53.3
Faceoff win %: 58.4
Penalties / game: 4.2

Shots / game: 27.2 · Shooting: 12.1% · Avg distance: 31.5 ft

Seattle Kraken

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game: 51.0
Corsi share (%): 44.6
Fenwick share (%): 44.5
Faceoff win %: 52.6
Penalties / game: 3.1

Shots / game: 25.3 · Shooting: 11.5% · Avg distance: 33.8 ft

Skaters versus this opponent

Hot & cold against the other team

Up to five skaters per team, ranked by the largest change in points per game against this opponent versus other opponents. Uses the last five meetings per player within this season and the previous two seasons, before Dec 1, 2026.

Dallas Stars

J. Kiviranta Hot · +0.59 P/GP

5 games vs Seattle Kraken · 0.80 points/game
0.21 points/game across 137 games vs other opponents

Goals: 4
Assists: 0
Points: 4
Shots / game: 3.0

J. Robertson Cold · -0.50 P/GP

5 games vs Seattle Kraken · 0.60 points/game
1.10 points/game across 175 games vs other opponents

Goals: 1
Assists: 2
Points: 3
Shots / game: 2.0

E. Lindell Hot · +0.47 P/GP

5 games vs Seattle Kraken · 0.80 points/game
0.33 points/game across 168 games vs other opponents

Goals: 1
Assists: 3
Points: 4
Shots / game: 0.8

J. Hryckowian Hot · +0.36 P/GP

3 games vs Seattle Kraken · 0.67 points/game
0.31 points/game across 100 games vs other opponents

Goals: 0
Assists: 2
Points: 2
Shots / game: 0.3

T. Seguin Hot · +0.33 P/GP

3 games vs Seattle Kraken · 1.00 points/game
0.67 points/game across 61 games vs other opponents

Goals: 1
Assists: 2
Points: 3
Shots / game: 1.3

Seattle Kraken

J. Eberle Cold · -0.70 P/GP

5 games vs Dallas Stars · 0.00 points/game
0.70 points/game across 132 games vs other opponents

Goals: 0
Assists: 0
Points: 0
Shots / game: 2.6

C. Stephenson Cold · -0.67 P/GP

5 games vs Dallas Stars · 0.00 points/game
0.67 points/game across 168 games vs other opponents

Goals: 0
Assists: 0
Points: 0
Shots / game: 0.2

M. Beniers Cold · -0.59 P/GP

5 games vs Dallas Stars · 0.00 points/game
0.59 points/game across 174 games vs other opponents

Goals: 0
Assists: 0
Points: 0
Shots / game: 1.8

F. Gaudreau Cold · -0.44 P/GP

5 games vs Dallas Stars · 0.00 points/game
0.44 points/game across 160 games vs other opponents

Goals: 0
Assists: 0
Points: 0
Shots / game: 0.8

J. McCann Cold · -0.36 P/GP

5 games vs Dallas Stars · 0.40 points/game
0.76 points/game across 140 games vs other opponents

Goals: 0
Assists: 2
Points: 2
Shots / game: 2.4

How hot and cold are measuredSample requirements, player selection and limitations

Hot means a higher points-per-game rate against this opponent; cold means a lower rate. The comparison uses other opponents over the same three-season window. Only players whose most recent recorded team this season matches this matchup are considered; this does not confirm tonight's lineup. History includes appearances for former teams. Players with no meaningful rate difference are omitted from the highlights; the full breakdown includes them. These small, unadjusted historical samples describe past production, not a forecast or a statistically established matchup advantage.

Want the full picture?

See every recorded skater from both teams, including players with limited opponent history.

View all players vs opponent →

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview

DAL	Metric	SEA
22	Points	19
0.647	Points %	0.594
49	Goals for	57
41	Goals against	57
8	Goal differential	0
W1	Current streak	L1

Road versus home

DAL road	Metric	SEA home
7	Games	8
4	Wins	5
10	Points	10
7	Goal differential	1

Last 10 games

DAL	Metric	SEA
7-2-1	Record	5-4-1
15	Points	11
33	Goals for	31
28	Goals against	40
5	Goal differential	-9

History

Last 10 head-to-head games

DAL 9 wins

10 games reviewed

SEA 1 wins

Total goals33 – 15

Goal differential +18 / -18

Goals per game3.3 / 1.5

Shots per game27.0 / 28.4

Date	Matchup	Score	Shots	Details
Feb 25, 2026	Seattle Kraken at Dallas Stars	1 - 4	19 - 32	View
Nov 26, 2025	Dallas Stars at Seattle Kraken	3 - 2	21 - 28	View
Nov 9, 2025	Seattle Kraken at Dallas Stars	1 - 2	31 - 25	View
Mar 31, 2025	Dallas Stars at Seattle Kraken	3 - 1	31 - 36	View
Mar 29, 2025	Dallas Stars at Seattle Kraken	5 - 1	21 - 36	View
Oct 13, 2024	Seattle Kraken at Dallas Stars	0 - 2	25 - 23	View
Apr 13, 2024	Seattle Kraken at Dallas Stars	1 - 3	27 - 30	View
Mar 30, 2024	Dallas Stars at Seattle Kraken	3 - 0	30 - 17	View
Dec 18, 2023	Seattle Kraken at Dallas Stars	3 - 4	38 - 28	View
Mar 21, 2023	Seattle Kraken at Dallas Stars	5 - 4	27 - 29	View

This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.

Dallas Stars vs Seattle Kraken prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 1, 2026

Dallas Stars at Seattle Kraken

Dallas Stars

Seattle Kraken

Model V2 versus market

Dallas Stars

Seattle Kraken

Team performance leading into this game

Dallas Stars

All Model Picks

Value Picks

Market Favourite

Seattle Kraken

All Model Picks

Value Picks

Market Favourite

Forward trios & defense pairs

Dallas Stars

Seattle Kraken

Expected starters

Every recorded goalie

Dallas Stars

Seattle Kraken

Recent starting goalies

Recent expected goals

Team tendencies before this game

Hot & cold against the other team

Dallas Stars

Seattle Kraken

Want the full picture?

Season and recent form

Last 10 head-to-head games