Colorado Avalanche vs Washington Capitals prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 22, 2026

NHL matchup

Colorado Avalanche at Washington Capitals

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 22, 2026.

March 22, 2026 · 11:30 AM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Mackenzie Blackwood

Colorado Avalanche · Last start: Mar 20

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
88
Save %
83.0
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
26.1

Logan Thompson

Washington Capitals · Last start: Mar 20

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
147
Save %
93.2
Goals allowed
10
Close-range shots %
31.3
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 22, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Colorado Avalanche

xG for / game
3.65
xG against / game
2.61
xG differential / game
1.04

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Washington Capitals

xG for / game
3.24
xG against / game
3.34
xG differential / game
-0.10

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 22, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Colorado Avalanche

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
70.4
Attempt share
58.9
Faceoff win %
52.1
Penalties / game
3.3

Shots / game: 32.5 · Shooting: 9.5% · Avg distance: 31.2 ft

Washington Capitals

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
56.5
Attempt share
46.5
Faceoff win %
48.9
Penalties / game
3.3

Shots / game: 26.2 · Shooting: 9.9% · Avg distance: 34.1 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Colorado Avalanche COL
Metric
Washington Capitals WSH
9Points8
0.643Points %0.571
31Goals for24
22Goals against22
9Goal differential2
OT1Current streakW1
Road versus home
Colorado Avalanche COL road
Metric
Washington Capitals WSH home
3Games4
2Wins3
4Points6
4Goal differential3
Last 10 games
Colorado Avalanche COL
Metric
Washington Capitals WSH
4-2-1Record4-3-0
9Points8
31Goals for24
22Goals against22
9Goal differential2
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Colorado Avalanche COL 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Washington Capitals WSH 4 wins
Total goals35 – 27
Goal differential +8 / -8
Goals per game3.5 / 2.7
Shots per game30.0 / 30.1
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 19, 2026
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
2 - 5 24 - 44 View
Nov 21, 2024
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
2 - 1 27 - 29 View
Nov 15, 2024
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
5 - 2 20 - 19 View
Feb 13, 2024
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
6 - 3 37 - 27 View
Jan 24, 2024
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
2 - 6 25 - 31 View
Jan 24, 2023
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
2 - 3 39 - 26 View
Nov 19, 2022
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
4 - 0 29 - 32 View
Apr 18, 2022
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
3 - 2 27 - 26 View
Oct 19, 2021
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
3 - 6 27 - 40 View
Feb 13, 2020
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
3 - 2 38 - 34 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.