Skip to content

Chicago Blackhawks vs Edmonton Oilers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 6, 2027

NHL matchup

Chicago Blackhawks at Edmonton Oilers

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 6, 2027.

March 6, 2027 · 10:00 PM MBT
Away

Chicago Blackhawks

4-13-1

31.7%
at
Home

Edmonton Oilers

13-3-3

68.3% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Edmonton Oilers at 68.3%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Chicago Blackhawks logo
Away team

Chicago Blackhawks

31.7%
Fair American +215
Fair decimal 3.15
Calculate value
Edmonton Oilers logo
Home team

Edmonton Oilers

68.3%
Fair American -215
Fair decimal 1.46
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Mar 6, 2027.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 6. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Chicago Blackhawks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

110:39 together · 10 games

xG share29.7%
Corsi for / against
86 / 116
Fenwick for / against
61 / 93
Corsi share
42.6%
Fenwick share
39.6%
xG for / against
3.37 / 7.95
All observed combinations

Edmonton Oilers

9 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Partial coverage: 9 / 10 selected games. Results use validated games only. Games awaiting complete shift or play-by-play data are excluded, not counted as zero or replaced by older games.

Defense pair

117:07 together · 9 games

xG share42.5%
Corsi for / against
95 / 125
Fenwick for / against
73 / 93
Corsi share
43.2%
Fenwick share
44.0%
xG for / against
3.51 / 4.76
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Season goaltending

Every recorded goalie

Regular-season records for each team in 2026–27, before Mar 6, 2027. Includes recorded backups. Games played require ice time; stats cover only games with this team.

Edmonton Oilers

D. Levi
GP
9
Starts
9
Wins
8
Save %
0.898
GAA
2.75
T. Jarry
GP
9
Starts
8
Wins
5
Save %
0.908
GAA
2.50
M. Tomkins
GP
2
Starts
2
Wins
1
Save %
0.878
GAA
3.09
B. Epp
GP
0
Starts
0
Wins
0
Save %
—
GAA
—
Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Spencer Knight

Chicago Blackhawks · Last start: Nov 7

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
129
Save %
86.0
Goals allowed
18
Close-range shots %
39.5

Devon Levi

Edmonton Oilers · Last start: Nov 9

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
135
Save %
89.6
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
36.3
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 6, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Chicago Blackhawks

xG for / game
2.58
xG against / game
3.73
xG differential / game
-1.15

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Edmonton Oilers

xG for / game
2.77
xG against / game
2.77
xG differential / game
0.00

9 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 6, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Chicago Blackhawks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
52.6
Corsi share (%)
47.5
Fenwick share (%)
45.1
Faceoff win %
40.2
Penalties / game
4.0

Shots / game: 23.9 · Shooting: 7.5% · Avg distance: 32.9 ft

Edmonton Oilers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
52.9
Corsi share (%)
49.3
Fenwick share (%)
49.2
Faceoff win %
49.1
Penalties / game
4.7

Shots / game: 25.9 · Shooting: 13.9% · Avg distance: 32.8 ft

Skaters versus this opponent

Hot & cold against the other team

Up to five skaters per team, ranked by the largest change in points per game against this opponent versus other opponents. Uses the last five meetings per player within this season and the previous two seasons, before Mar 6, 2027.

Chicago Blackhawks

F. Nazar Cold · -0.56 P/GP

4 games vs Edmonton Oilers · 0.00 points/game
0.56 points/game across 131 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
2.8
T. Teravainen Hot · +0.46 P/GP

5 games vs Edmonton Oilers · 1.00 points/game
0.54 points/game across 166 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
4
Points
5
Shots / game
1.2
A. Vlasic Cold · -0.31 P/GP

5 games vs Edmonton Oilers · 0.00 points/game
0.31 points/game across 175 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.8
W. Kaiser Hot · +0.30 P/GP

4 games vs Edmonton Oilers · 0.50 points/game
0.20 points/game across 148 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
2
Points
2
Shots / game
1.0
C. Bedard Hot · +0.25 P/GP

5 games vs Edmonton Oilers · 1.20 points/game
0.95 points/game across 158 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
5
Points
6
Shots / game
2.2

Edmonton Oilers

R. Shea Hot · +0.95 P/GP

4 games vs Chicago Blackhawks · 1.25 points/game
0.30 points/game across 135 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
4
Points
5
Shots / game
0.8
E. Bouchard Hot · +0.55 P/GP

5 games vs Chicago Blackhawks · 1.60 points/game
1.05 points/game across 178 games vs other opponents

Goals
3
Assists
5
Points
8
Shots / game
3.4
M. Ekholm Cold · -0.52 P/GP

5 games vs Chicago Blackhawks · 0.00 points/game
0.52 points/game across 159 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
0.4
V. Podkolzin Hot · +0.40 P/GP

5 games vs Chicago Blackhawks · 0.80 points/game
0.40 points/game across 178 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
2
Points
4
Shots / game
2.0
R. Nugent-Hopkins Cold · -0.33 P/GP

5 games vs Chicago Blackhawks · 0.40 points/game
0.73 points/game across 155 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
2
Points
2
Shots / game
2.2
How hot and cold are measuredSample requirements, player selection and limitations

Hot means a higher points-per-game rate against this opponent; cold means a lower rate. The comparison uses other opponents over the same three-season window. Only players whose most recent recorded team this season matches this matchup are considered; this does not confirm tonight's lineup. History includes appearances for former teams. Players with no meaningful rate difference are omitted from the highlights; the full breakdown includes them. These small, unadjusted historical samples describe past production, not a forecast or a statistically established matchup advantage.

Want the full picture?

See every recorded skater from both teams, including players with limited opponent history.

View all players vs opponent →
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
Metric
Edmonton Oilers EDM
9Points29
0.250Points %0.763
39Goals for78
76Goals against56
-37Goal differential22
L4Current streakW2
Road versus home
Chicago Blackhawks CHI road
Metric
Edmonton Oilers EDM home
9Games11
0Wins6
1Points14
-29Goal differential2
Last 10 games
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
Metric
Edmonton Oilers EDM
1-8-1Record6-2-2
3Points14
18Goals for37
44Goals against29
-26Goal differential8
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Chicago Blackhawks CHI 1 wins
10 games reviewed
Edmonton Oilers EDM 9 wins
Total goals20 – 36
Goal differential -16 / +16
Goals per game2.0 / 3.6
Shots per game25.6 / 33.6
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Apr 2, 2026
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
1 - 3 18 - 38 View
Jan 12, 2026
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
4 - 1 37 - 30 View
Nov 1, 2025
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
2 - 3 29 - 30 View
Feb 5, 2025
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
4 - 3 38 - 32 View
Jan 11, 2025
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
4 - 3 34 - 22 View
Oct 12, 2024
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
5 - 2 20 - 38 View
Jan 25, 2024
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
0 - 3 27 - 34 View
Jan 9, 2024
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
2 - 1 15 - 26 View
Dec 12, 2023
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
1 - 4 23 - 29 View
Jan 28, 2023
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
3 - 7 29 - 43 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings CHI EDM