Away team
Calgary Flames
40.7%
Fair American
+146
Fair decimal
2.46
Calgary Flames vs Edmonton Oilers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 28, 2026
NHL matchup
Calgary Flames at Edmonton Oilers
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 28, 2026.
October 28, 2026
· 7:30 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Edmonton Oilers at 59.3%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Edmonton Oilers
59.3%
Fair American
-146
Fair decimal
1.69
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 28, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 1-2
- Net units
- -0.25
- ROI
- -8.3%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 10
- Record
- 4-6
- Net units
- 0.40
- ROI
- 4.0%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 1
- Record
- 0-1
- Net units
- -1.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 4-1
- Net units
- 1.39
- ROI
- 27.9%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 2
- Record
- 2-0
- Net units
- 1.84
- ROI
- 92.0%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 6-3
- Net units
- 0.93
- ROI
- 10.4%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 28. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Calgary Flames
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
53:06 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 58 / 49
- Fenwick for / against
- 42 / 35
- Corsi share
- 54.2%
- Fenwick share
- 54.5%
- xG for / against
- 2.28 / 1.88
Defense pair
112:12 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 125 / 98
- Fenwick for / against
- 91 / 73
- Corsi share
- 56.1%
- Fenwick share
- 55.5%
- xG for / against
- 5.70 / 4.83
Edmonton Oilers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
137:07 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 159 / 103
- Fenwick for / against
- 118 / 86
- Corsi share
- 60.7%
- Fenwick share
- 57.8%
- xG for / against
- 8.71 / 6.11
Defense pair
141:59 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 88 / 130
- Fenwick for / against
- 63 / 90
- Corsi share
- 40.4%
- Fenwick share
- 41.2%
- xG for / against
- 4.22 / 4.74
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Calgary Flames
Expected starter unavailable.
Edmonton Oilers
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Devin Cooley
Calgary Flames · Last start: Oct 24
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 159
- Save %
- 91.2
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 26.4
Tristan Jarry
Edmonton Oilers · Last start: Oct 24
4 / 4 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 102
- Save %
- 85.3
- Goals allowed
- 15
- Close-range shots %
- 25.5
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 28, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Calgary Flames
- xG for / game
- 2.61
- xG against / game
- 3.37
- xG differential / game
- -0.76
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Edmonton Oilers
- xG for / game
- 3.09
- xG against / game
- 2.91
- xG differential / game
- 0.19
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 28, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Calgary Flames
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 61.2
- Corsi share (%)
- 49.4
- Fenwick share (%)
- 47.9
- Faceoff win %
- 49.5
- Penalties / game
- 4.6
Shots / game: 28.7 · Shooting: 8.0% · Avg distance: 33.9 ft
Edmonton Oilers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 52.8
- Corsi share (%)
- 47.9
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.5
- Faceoff win %
- 49.1
- Penalties / game
- 3.7
Shots / game: 24.4 · Shooting: 17.6% · Avg distance: 32.8 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
CGY
|
Metric |
EDM
|
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Points | 17 |
| 0.400 | Points % | 0.773 |
| 23 | Goals for | 49 |
| 39 | Goals against | 39 |
| -16 | Goal differential | 10 |
| W3 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
CGY road
|
Metric |
EDM home
|
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Games | 6 |
| 1 | Wins | 3 |
| 2 | Points | 7 |
| -10 | Goal differential | -4 |
Last 10 games
|
CGY
|
Metric |
EDM
|
|---|---|---|
| 4-6-0 | Record | 8-2-0 |
| 8 | Points | 16 |
| 23 | Goals for | 44 |
| 39 | Goals against | 33 |
| -16 | Goal differential | 11 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
CGY
5 wins
10
games reviewed
EDM
5 wins
Total goals29 – 31
Goal differential
-2
/
+2
Goals per game2.9 / 3.1
Shots per game27.9 / 32.4
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Calgary Flames
|
3 - 4 | 39 - 25 | View |
| Dec 27, 2025 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Calgary Flames
|
2 - 3 | 31 - 32 | View |
| Dec 23, 2025 |
Calgary Flames
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
1 - 5 | 19 - 39 | View |
| Oct 8, 2025 |
Calgary Flames
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
4 - 3 | 22 - 35 | View |
| Mar 29, 2025 |
Calgary Flames
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
2 - 3 | 28 - 29 | View |
| Nov 3, 2024 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Calgary Flames
|
4 - 2 | 31 - 31 | View |
| Oct 13, 2024 |
Calgary Flames
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
4 - 1 | 29 - 26 | View |
| Apr 6, 2024 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Calgary Flames
|
4 - 2 | 27 - 35 | View |
| Feb 24, 2024 |
Calgary Flames
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
6 - 3 | 31 - 35 | View |
| Jan 20, 2024 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Calgary Flames
|
3 - 1 | 32 - 27 | View |