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Anaheim Ducks vs Montréal Canadiens prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 10, 2026

NHL matchup

Anaheim Ducks at Montréal Canadiens

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 10, 2026.

December 10, 2026 · 7:00 PM MBT
Away

Anaheim Ducks

10-7-1

35.6%
at
Home

Montréal Canadiens

11-3-3

64.4% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Montréal Canadiens at 64.4%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Montréal Canadiens logo
Home team

Montréal Canadiens

64.4%
Fair American -181
Fair decimal 1.55
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 10, 2026.

Anaheim Ducks

All Model Picks

Bets
10
Record
7-3
Net units
3.65
ROI
36.5%

Value Picks

Bets
8
Record
6-2
Net units
4.80
ROI
60.0%

Market Favourite

Bets
5
Record
3-2
Net units
0.35
ROI
7.1%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 10. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Anaheim Ducks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

51:51 together · 6 games

xG share55.0%
Corsi for / against
49 / 41
Fenwick for / against
32 / 31
Corsi share
54.4%
Fenwick share
50.8%
xG for / against
2.63 / 2.15
Defense pair

83:48 together · 9 games

xG share38.3%
Corsi for / against
67 / 80
Fenwick for / against
37 / 53
Corsi share
45.6%
Fenwick share
41.1%
xG for / against
2.50 / 4.02
All observed combinations

Montréal Canadiens

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

127:27 together · 10 games

xG share45.3%
Corsi for / against
103 / 135
Fenwick for / against
80 / 100
Corsi share
43.3%
Fenwick share
44.4%
xG for / against
5.61 / 6.79
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Season goaltending

Every recorded goalie

Regular-season records for each team in 2026–27, before Dec 10, 2026. Includes recorded backups. Games played require ice time; stats cover only games with this team.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Laurent Brossoit

Anaheim Ducks · Last start: Nov 8

4 / 4 appearances covered

Shots faced
106
Save %
87.7
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
37.7

Jacob Fowler

Montréal Canadiens · Last start: Nov 7

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
184
Save %
93.5
Goals allowed
12
Close-range shots %
34.8
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 10, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Anaheim Ducks

xG for / game
3.01
xG against / game
3.55
xG differential / game
-0.54

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Montréal Canadiens

xG for / game
3.38
xG against / game
3.48
xG differential / game
-0.10

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 10, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Anaheim Ducks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
53.3
Corsi share (%)
47.8
Fenwick share (%)
47.8
Faceoff win %
49.0
Penalties / game
6.1

Shots / game: 24.8 · Shooting: 18.1% · Avg distance: 31.7 ft

Montréal Canadiens

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
56.0
Corsi share (%)
47.8
Fenwick share (%)
49.0
Faceoff win %
52.4
Penalties / game
5.0

Shots / game: 27.1 · Shooting: 14.0% · Avg distance: 34.1 ft

Skaters versus this opponent

Hot & cold against the other team

Up to five skaters per team, ranked by the largest change in points per game against this opponent versus other opponents. Uses the last five meetings per player within this season and the previous two seasons, before Dec 10, 2026.

Anaheim Ducks

L. Carlsson Hot · +1.53 P/GP

3 games vs Montréal Canadiens · 2.33 points/game
0.81 points/game across 161 games vs other opponents

Goals
3
Assists
4
Points
7
Shots / game
3.0
R. Poehling Hot · +0.55 P/GP

5 games vs Montréal Canadiens · 1.00 points/game
0.45 points/game across 143 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
4
Points
5
Shots / game
1.6
F. Vatrano Hot · +0.35 P/GP

4 games vs Montréal Canadiens · 0.75 points/game
0.40 points/game across 136 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
2
Points
3
Shots / game
1.8
A. Killorn Hot · +0.34 P/GP

4 games vs Montréal Canadiens · 0.75 points/game
0.41 points/game across 178 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
2
Points
3
Shots / game
1.3
A. Greer Cold · -0.33 P/GP

5 games vs Montréal Canadiens · 0.00 points/game
0.33 points/game across 165 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.6

Montréal Canadiens

Z. Bolduc Hot · +0.57 P/GP

4 games vs Anaheim Ducks · 1.00 points/game
0.43 points/game across 163 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
3
Points
4
Shots / game
2.8
N. Dobson Hot · +0.45 P/GP

4 games vs Anaheim Ducks · 1.00 points/game
0.55 points/game across 164 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
4
Points
4
Shots / game
3.3
L. Hutson Hot · +0.37 P/GP

4 games vs Anaheim Ducks · 1.25 points/game
0.88 points/game across 177 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
4
Points
5
Shots / game
1.3
K. Guhle Cold · -0.34 P/GP

3 games vs Anaheim Ducks · 0.00 points/game
0.34 points/game across 104 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
0.0
J. Slafkovský Hot · +0.24 P/GP

4 games vs Anaheim Ducks · 1.00 points/game
0.76 points/game across 174 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
4
Points
4
Shots / game
2.0
How hot and cold are measuredSample requirements, player selection and limitations

Hot means a higher points-per-game rate against this opponent; cold means a lower rate. The comparison uses other opponents over the same three-season window. Only players whose most recent recorded team this season matches this matchup are considered; this does not confirm tonight's lineup. History includes appearances for former teams. Players with no meaningful rate difference are omitted from the highlights; the full breakdown includes them. These small, unadjusted historical samples describe past production, not a forecast or a statistically established matchup advantage.

Want the full picture?

See every recorded skater from both teams, including players with limited opponent history.

View all players vs opponent →
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Anaheim Ducks ANA
Metric
Montréal Canadiens MTL
21Points25
0.583Points %0.735
69Goals for61
66Goals against53
3Goal differential8
W5Current streakW2
Road versus home
Anaheim Ducks ANA road
Metric
Montréal Canadiens MTL home
10Games9
7Wins5
14Points12
5Goal differential-2
Last 10 games
Anaheim Ducks ANA
Metric
Montréal Canadiens MTL
6-3-1Record8-0-2
13Points18
45Goals for38
40Goals against26
5Goal differential12
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Anaheim Ducks ANA 7 wins
10 games reviewed
Montréal Canadiens MTL 3 wins
Total goals35 – 32
Goal differential +3 / -3
Goals per game3.5 / 3.2
Shots per game27.3 / 27.9
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 15, 2026
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
4 - 3 28 - 30 View
Mar 6, 2026
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
5 - 6 28 - 33 View
Feb 2, 2025
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
2 - 3 23 - 22 View
Dec 9, 2024
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
2 - 3 29 - 21 View
Feb 13, 2024
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
0 - 5 13 - 38 View
Nov 22, 2023
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
4 - 3 28 - 33 View
Mar 3, 2023
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
2 - 3 28 - 33 View
Dec 15, 2022
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
5 - 2 32 - 25 View
Jan 27, 2022
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
5 - 4 24 - 40 View
Oct 31, 2021
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
2 - 4 18 - 26 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings ANA MTL