💰 Daily Edge Board
Compare the full slate at once using playerWON model probabilities, fair odds, and the best captured sportsbook lines. You can still overwrite any line manually.
🎯 Best EV Summary
Best side per game based on the loaded or edited sportsbook lines.
| Time | Matchup | Best Side | Book | Odds | Model % | Implied % | Edge | EV | Kelly | Link |
|---|
| Time | Matchup | Snapshot | Away % | Home % | Away Fair | Home Fair | Away Book | Away Odds | Away Edge | Away EV | Away Kelly | Home Book | Home Odds | Home Edge | Home EV | Home Kelly | Best EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1:00 PM |
Minnesota Wild
Colorado Avalanche
|
—
|
42.2% | 57.8% | +137 | -137 |
—
|
— | — | — |
—
|
— | — | — | — | ||
| 3:30 PM |
Boston Bruins
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
—
|
50.9% | 49.1% | -104 | +104 |
—
|
— | — | — |
—
|
— | — | — | — | ||
| 5:00 PM |
Chicago Blackhawks
Dallas Stars
|
—
|
37.8% | 62.2% | +165 | -165 |
—
|
— | — | — |
—
|
— | — | — | — | ||
| 5:00 PM |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Buffalo Sabres
|
—
|
55.8% | 44.2% | -126 | +126 |
—
|
— | — | — |
—
|
— | — | — | — | ||
| 6:00 PM |
Detroit Red Wings
New Jersey Devils
|
—
|
50.6% | 49.4% | -102 | +102 |
—
|
— | — | — |
—
|
— | — | — | — | ||
| 8:00 PM |
St. Louis Blues
Anaheim Ducks
|
—
|
32.3% | 67.7% | +210 | -210 |
—
|
— | — | — |
—
|
— | — | — | — | ||
| 8:30 PM |
Edmonton Oilers
Vegas Golden Knights
|
—
|
61.2% | 38.8% | -158 | +158 |
—
|
— | — | — |
—
|
— | — | — | — |
Minnesota Wild
42.2%
Colorado Avalanche
57.8%
Minnesota Wild
Colorado Avalanche
Boston Bruins
50.9%
Pittsburgh Penguins
49.1%
Boston Bruins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Chicago Blackhawks
37.8%
Dallas Stars
62.2%
Chicago Blackhawks
Dallas Stars
Tampa Bay Lightning
55.8%
Buffalo Sabres
44.2%
Tampa Bay Lightning
Buffalo Sabres
Detroit Red Wings
50.6%
New Jersey Devils
49.4%
Detroit Red Wings
New Jersey Devils
St. Louis Blues
32.3%
Anaheim Ducks
67.7%
St. Louis Blues
Anaheim Ducks
Edmonton Oilers
61.2%
Vegas Golden Knights
38.8%
Edmonton Oilers
Vegas Golden Knights
1. Model Win Probability
This is the model’s estimate of how often a team should win. For example, 58.0% means the model expects that side to win about 58 times out of 100.
2. Fair Odds
Fair odds are the no-margin odds based on the model probability. They represent the break-even price implied by the model itself.
3. Best Book / Loaded Odds
The page loads the best captured sportsbook line for each side from the final pregame snapshot before scheduled start. You can still overwrite it manually if you want to compare a different price.
4. Implied Probability
This is the win probability implied by the sportsbook price. It is calculated directly from the odds.
5. Edge
Edge is the difference between the model probability and the sportsbook implied probability.
Formula: Model Probability − Implied Probability
6. EV
EV stands for expected value. It estimates whether the entered price is favorable based on the model probability and payout.
Positive EV suggests theoretical value. Negative EV suggests the price is not favorable based on the model.
7. Kelly
Kelly is a bankroll sizing formula. It suggests what percentage of a bankroll to stake if the edge is real.
On this page, negative Kelly values are shown as 0.0% for readability.