Forward trio
81:55 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 81 / 91
- Fenwick for / against
- 60 / 65
- Corsi share
- 47.1%
- Fenwick share
- 48.0%
- xG for / against
- 4.82 / 4.99
Edmonton Oilers vs Vegas Golden Knights prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 8, 2026
NHL matchup
Edmonton Oilers at Vegas Golden Knights
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 8, 2026.
March 8, 2026
· 8:30 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 8. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Edmonton Oilers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
143:10 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 155 / 131
- Fenwick for / against
- 116 / 99
- Corsi share
- 54.2%
- Fenwick share
- 54.0%
- xG for / against
- 8.37 / 6.72
Vegas Golden Knights
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
65:19 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 63 / 48
- Fenwick for / against
- 47 / 36
- Corsi share
- 56.8%
- Fenwick share
- 56.6%
- xG for / against
- 3.02 / 2.45
Defense pair
120:28 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 114 / 106
- Fenwick for / against
- 85 / 79
- Corsi share
- 51.8%
- Fenwick share
- 51.8%
- xG for / against
- 4.81 / 4.02
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Tristan Jarry
Edmonton Oilers · Last start: Mar 6
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 142
- Save %
- 83.8
- Goals allowed
- 23
- Close-range shots %
- 32.4
Akira Schmid
Vegas Golden Knights · Last start: Mar 6
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 127
- Save %
- 88.2
- Goals allowed
- 15
- Close-range shots %
- 24.4
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 8, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Edmonton Oilers
- xG for / game
- 3.58
- xG against / game
- 3.12
- xG differential / game
- 0.46
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Vegas Golden Knights
- xG for / game
- 3.13
- xG against / game
- 2.51
- xG differential / game
- 0.62
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 8, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Edmonton Oilers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 62.0
- Corsi share (%)
- 52.5
- Fenwick share (%)
- 52.1
- Faceoff win %
- 56.3
- Penalties / game
- 3.5
Shots / game: 32.2 · Shooting: 13.7% · Avg distance: 29.5 ft
Vegas Golden Knights
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 58.4
- Corsi share (%)
- 51.9
- Fenwick share (%)
- 52.8
- Faceoff win %
- 52.4
- Penalties / game
- 3.3
Shots / game: 27.1 · Shooting: 11.1% · Avg distance: 31.9 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
EDM
|
Metric |
VGK
|
|---|---|---|
| 17 | Points | 17 |
| 0.773 | Points % | 0.654 |
| 49 | Goals for | 47 |
| 39 | Goals against | 38 |
| 10 | Goal differential | 9 |
| L1 | Current streak | OT1 |
Road versus home
|
EDM road
|
Metric |
VGK home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 7 |
| 5 | Wins | 5 |
| 10 | Points | 10 |
| 14 | Goal differential | 8 |
Last 10 games
|
EDM
|
Metric |
VGK
|
|---|---|---|
| 8-2-0 | Record | 6-3-1 |
| 16 | Points | 13 |
| 44 | Goals for | 36 |
| 33 | Goals against | 30 |
| 11 | Goal differential | 6 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
EDM
6 wins
10
games reviewed
VGK
4 wins
Total goals36 – 29
Goal differential
+7
/
-7
Goals per game3.6 / 2.9
Shots per game29.1 / 27.1
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
3 - 4 | 29 - 21 | View |
| Apr 1, 2025 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
3 - 2 | 20 - 22 | View |
| Dec 14, 2024 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
3 - 6 | 42 - 34 | View |
| Dec 3, 2024 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
0 - 1 | 28 - 16 | View |
| Nov 6, 2024 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
4 - 2 | 35 - 29 | View |
| Apr 10, 2024 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
1 - 5 | 18 - 25 | View |
| Feb 6, 2024 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
1 - 3 | 31 - 26 | View |
| Nov 28, 2023 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
4 - 5 | 27 - 34 | View |
| Mar 28, 2023 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
7 - 4 | 39 - 22 | View |
| Mar 25, 2023 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
4 - 3 | 34 - 30 | View |