Away team
Tampa Bay Lightning
55.8%
Fair American
-126
Fair decimal
1.79
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Buffalo Sabres prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 8, 2026
NHL matchup
Tampa Bay Lightning at Buffalo Sabres
View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 8, 2026.
March 8, 2026
· 5:00 PM CST
Model favourite
Tampa Bay Lightning
at 55.8%
Prediction
Model versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Buffalo Sabres
44.2%
Fair American
+126
Fair decimal
2.26
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
TBL
|
Metric |
BUF
|
|---|---|---|
| 106 | Points | 109 |
| 0.646 | Points % | 0.665 |
| 290 | Goals for | 288 |
| 231 | Goals against | 241 |
| 59 | Goal differential | 47 |
| L1 | Current streak | OT1 |
Road versus home
|
TBL road
|
Metric |
BUF home
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 24 | Wins | 26 |
| 53 | Points | 57 |
| 37 | Goal differential | 30 |
Last 10 games
|
TBL
|
Metric |
BUF
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-5-0 | Record | 6-3-1 |
| 10 | Points | 13 |
| 26 | Goals for | 34 |
| 30 | Goals against | 30 |
| -4 | Goal differential | 4 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
TBL
4 wins
10
games reviewed
BUF
6 wins
Total goals33 – 37
Goal differential
-4
/
+4
Goals per game3.3 / 3.7
Shots per game28.7 / 30.6
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
6 - 2 | 35 - 38 | View |
| Feb 3, 2026 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
3 - 4 | 26 - 35 | View |
| Apr 13, 2025 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
4 - 7 | 25 - 31 | View |
| Apr 5, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
2 - 3 | 24 - 38 | View |
| Mar 6, 2025 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
5 - 6 | 33 - 26 | View |
| Apr 15, 2024 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
4 - 2 | 34 - 33 | View |
| Feb 29, 2024 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
3 - 2 | 23 - 23 | View |
| Jan 20, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
3 - 1 | 16 - 27 | View |
| Oct 17, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
2 - 3 | 25 - 31 | View |
| Mar 4, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
3 - 5 | 36 - 34 | View |