Tampa Bay Lightning vs Buffalo Sabres prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 8, 2026
Get the playerWON NHL prediction for the Tampa Bay Lightning at Buffalo Sabres matchup on March 8, 2026. playerWON’s machine-learning model currently gives the Tampa Bay Lightning a 55.8% win probability.
🤖 Model favours Tampa Bay Lightning
(55.8%)
Compare market odds, fair odds, and value below.
March 8, 2026
Visitor Model vs Market
Tampa Bay Lightning
55.8%
Fair American: -126
Fair Decimal: 1.79
Calculate Value →
📊 Season Overview
|
TBL
|
Metric |
BUF
|
|---|---|---|
| 106 | Points | 109 |
| 0.646 | Points % | 0.665 |
| 290 | Goals For | 288 |
| 231 | Goals Against | 241 |
| 59 | Goal Differential | 47 |
| L1 | Current Streak | OT1 |
🚍 Road vs 🏠 Home
|
TBL (Road)
|
Metric |
BUF (Home)
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 24 | Wins | 26 |
| 53 | Points | 57 |
| 37 | Goal Differential | 30 |
🔥 Last 10 Games
|
TBL
|
Metric |
BUF
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-5-0 | Record | 6-3-1 |
| 10 | Points | 13 |
| 26 | Goals For | 34 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 30 |
| -4 | Goal Differential | 4 |
🥅 Last 10 Head-to-Head Games
|
TBL
|
H2H Summary |
BUF
|
|---|---|---|
| 4-6 | Record | 6-4 |
| 33 | Total Goals | 37 |
| -4 | Goal Differential | +4 |
| 3.3 | Goals / Game | 3.7 |
| 28.7 | Shots / Game | 30.6 |
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 |
Buffalo Sabres
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
6 - 2 | 35 - 38 | View |
| Feb 3, 2026 |
Buffalo Sabres
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
3 - 4 | 26 - 35 | View |
| Apr 13, 2025 |
Buffalo Sabres
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
4 - 7 | 25 - 31 | View |
| Apr 5, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Buffalo Sabres
@
|
2 - 3 | 24 - 38 | View |
| Mar 6, 2025 |
Buffalo Sabres
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
5 - 6 | 33 - 26 | View |
| Apr 15, 2024 |
Buffalo Sabres
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
4 - 2 | 34 - 33 | View |
| Feb 29, 2024 |
Buffalo Sabres
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
3 - 2 | 23 - 23 | View |
| Jan 20, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Buffalo Sabres
@
|
3 - 1 | 16 - 27 | View |
| Oct 17, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Buffalo Sabres
@
|
2 - 3 | 25 - 31 | View |
| Mar 4, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Buffalo Sabres
@
|
3 - 5 | 36 - 34 | View |
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.