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Detroit Red Wings vs New Jersey Devils prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 8, 2026

NHL matchup

Detroit Red Wings at New Jersey Devils

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 8, 2026.

March 8, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 8. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Detroit Red Wings

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

81:03 together · 9 games

xG share46.4%
Corsi for / against
73 / 76
Fenwick for / against
52 / 52
Corsi share
49.0%
Fenwick share
50.0%
xG for / against
3.47 / 4.01
Defense pair

96:06 together · 10 games

xG share37.3%
Corsi for / against
80 / 111
Fenwick for / against
56 / 71
Corsi share
41.9%
Fenwick share
44.1%
xG for / against
2.86 / 4.82
All observed combinations

New Jersey Devils

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

64:17 together · 8 games

xG share64.9%
Corsi for / against
71 / 62
Fenwick for / against
61 / 42
Corsi share
53.4%
Fenwick share
59.2%
xG for / against
4.66 / 2.52
Defense pair

115:06 together · 10 games

xG share51.9%
Corsi for / against
108 / 95
Fenwick for / against
84 / 69
Corsi share
53.2%
Fenwick share
54.9%
xG for / against
5.12 / 4.74
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

John Gibson

Detroit Red Wings · Last start: Mar 6

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
105
Save %
93.3
Goals allowed
7
Close-range shots %
32.4

Jacob Markstrom

New Jersey Devils · Last start: Mar 7

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
130
Save %
91.5
Goals allowed
11
Close-range shots %
35.4
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 8, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Detroit Red Wings

xG for / game
3.00
xG against / game
3.10
xG differential / game
-0.09

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

New Jersey Devils

xG for / game
3.35
xG against / game
2.82
xG differential / game
0.53

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 8, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Detroit Red Wings

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
59.3
Corsi share (%)
50.5
Fenwick share (%)
51.4
Faceoff win %
52.0
Penalties / game
3.1

Shots / game: 26.7 · Shooting: 7.1% · Avg distance: 33.2 ft

New Jersey Devils

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
62.7
Corsi share (%)
54.1
Fenwick share (%)
54.8
Faceoff win %
51.3
Penalties / game
3.3

Shots / game: 31.6 · Shooting: 7.6% · Avg distance: 34.9 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Detroit Red Wings DET
Metric
New Jersey Devils NJD
13Points16
0.542Points %0.667
33Goals for41
37Goals against33
-4Goal differential8
W1Current streakW4
Road versus home
Detroit Red Wings DET road
Metric
New Jersey Devils NJD home
5Games8
2Wins6
6Points12
-1Goal differential11
Last 10 games
Detroit Red Wings DET
Metric
New Jersey Devils NJD
5-2-3Record7-3-0
13Points14
31Goals for38
32Goals against25
-1Goal differential13
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Detroit Red Wings DET 4 wins
10 games reviewed
New Jersey Devils NJD 6 wins
Total goals34 – 34
Goal differential 0 / 0
Goals per game3.4 / 3.4
Shots per game27.4 / 30.5
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Nov 24, 2025
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
3 - 4 35 - 20 View
Apr 16, 2025
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
5 - 2 27 - 30 View
Nov 29, 2024
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
5 - 4 29 - 28 View
Oct 24, 2024
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
3 - 5 40 - 20 View
Dec 23, 2023
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
2 - 3 24 - 36 View
Nov 22, 2023
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
0 - 4 16 - 28 View
Oct 12, 2023
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
3 - 4 35 - 27 View
Jan 4, 2023
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
5 - 1 27 - 33 View
Oct 25, 2022
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
6 - 2 41 - 22 View
Oct 15, 2022
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
5 - 2 22 - 39 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.