Skip to content

Chicago Blackhawks vs Dallas Stars prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 8, 2026

NHL matchup

Chicago Blackhawks at Dallas Stars

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 8, 2026.

March 8, 2026 · 5:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 8. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Chicago Blackhawks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

53:44 together · 7 games

xG share42.8%
Corsi for / against
42 / 53
Fenwick for / against
30 / 49
Corsi share
44.2%
Fenwick share
38.0%
xG for / against
2.15 / 2.87
Defense pair

132:39 together · 10 games

xG share48.8%
Corsi for / against
94 / 131
Fenwick for / against
67 / 102
Corsi share
41.8%
Fenwick share
39.6%
xG for / against
5.95 / 6.23
All observed combinations

Dallas Stars

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

93:06 together · 10 games

xG share64.7%
Corsi for / against
92 / 83
Fenwick for / against
70 / 52
Corsi share
52.6%
Fenwick share
57.4%
xG for / against
5.50 / 3.01
Defense pair

139:28 together · 10 games

xG share62.6%
Corsi for / against
117 / 108
Fenwick for / against
89 / 63
Corsi share
52.0%
Fenwick share
58.6%
xG for / against
6.87 / 4.11
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Arvid Soderblom

Chicago Blackhawks · Last start: Mar 6

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
141
Save %
88.7
Goals allowed
16
Close-range shots %
39.0

Jake Oettinger

Dallas Stars · Last start: Mar 6

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
115
Save %
87.8
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
20.9
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 8, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Chicago Blackhawks

xG for / game
2.70
xG against / game
2.82
xG differential / game
-0.11

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Dallas Stars

xG for / game
3.89
xG against / game
2.51
xG differential / game
1.38

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 8, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Chicago Blackhawks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
47.8
Corsi share (%)
46.3
Fenwick share (%)
45.4
Faceoff win %
44.7
Penalties / game
2.9

Shots / game: 22.2 · Shooting: 11.3% · Avg distance: 31.6 ft

Dallas Stars

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
59.1
Corsi share (%)
54.7
Fenwick share (%)
57.8
Faceoff win %
52.4
Penalties / game
3.6

Shots / game: 28.9 · Shooting: 14.9% · Avg distance: 30.0 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
Metric
Dallas Stars DAL
6Points15
0.273Points %0.682
24Goals for32
43Goals against20
-19Goal differential12
L3Current streakW5
Road versus home
Chicago Blackhawks CHI road
Metric
Dallas Stars DAL home
4Games6
0Wins4
0Points8
-13Goal differential5
Last 10 games
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
Metric
Dallas Stars DAL
3-7-0Record7-2-1
6Points15
22Goals for32
38Goals against16
-16Goal differential16
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Chicago Blackhawks CHI 4 wins
10 games reviewed
Dallas Stars DAL 6 wins
Total goals27 – 38
Goal differential -11 / +11
Goals per game2.7 / 3.8
Shots per game26.0 / 33.8
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 1, 2026
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
3 - 4 25 - 21 View
Dec 27, 2025
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
4 - 3 33 - 31 View
Dec 29, 2024
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
5 - 1 35 - 25 View
Nov 27, 2024
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
2 - 6 27 - 26 View
Nov 7, 2024
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
1 - 3 26 - 40 View
Oct 26, 2024
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
2 - 4 24 - 30 View
Apr 6, 2024
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
2 - 3 44 - 17 View
Jan 13, 2024
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
3 - 1 30 - 35 View
Dec 31, 2023
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
1 - 8 24 - 41 View
Dec 29, 2023
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
4 - 5 29 - 35 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.