Away team
Vegas Golden Knights
35.8%
Fair American
+179
Fair decimal
2.79
Vegas Golden Knights vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 14, 2027
NHL matchup
Vegas Golden Knights at Tampa Bay Lightning
View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 14, 2027.
January 14, 2027
· 6:00 PM CST
Model favourite
Tampa Bay Lightning
at 64.2%
Prediction
Model versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Tampa Bay Lightning
64.2%
Fair American
-179
Fair decimal
1.56
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
VGK
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 95 | Points | 106 |
| 0.579 | Points % | 0.646 |
| 265 | Goals for | 290 |
| 250 | Goals against | 231 |
| 15 | Goal differential | 59 |
| W3 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
VGK road
|
Metric |
TBL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 19 | Wins | 26 |
| 46 | Points | 53 |
| -4 | Goal differential | 22 |
Last 10 games
|
VGK
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 7-0-3 | Record | 5-5-0 |
| 17 | Points | 10 |
| 40 | Goals for | 26 |
| 25 | Goals against | 30 |
| 15 | Goal differential | -4 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
VGK
4 wins
10
games reviewed
TBL
6 wins
Total goals33 – 37
Goal differential
-4
/
+4
Goals per game3.3 / 3.7
Shots per game28.2 / 28.3
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
6 - 3 | 27 - 32 | View |
| Oct 26, 2025 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
1 - 2 | 19 - 28 | View |
| Mar 23, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
2 - 4 | 37 - 30 | View |
| Oct 17, 2024 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
3 - 4 | 25 - 25 | View |
| Mar 19, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
5 - 3 | 21 - 27 | View |
| Dec 21, 2023 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
4 - 5 | 34 - 36 | View |
| Mar 9, 2023 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
4 - 3 | 21 - 37 | View |
| Feb 18, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
4 - 5 | 24 - 26 | View |
| Jan 29, 2022 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
3 - 2 | 27 - 29 | View |
| Dec 21, 2021 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
4 - 3 | 19 - 41 | View |