Away team
Vegas Golden Knights
40.1%
Fair American
+149
Fair decimal
2.49
Vegas Golden Knights vs New Jersey Devils prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 5, 2027
NHL matchup
Vegas Golden Knights at New Jersey Devils
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 5, 2027.
March 5, 2027
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
New Jersey Devils at 59.9%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
New Jersey Devils
59.9%
Fair American
-149
Fair decimal
1.67
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Mar 5, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 12
- Record
- 8-4
- Net units
- 0.54
- ROI
- 4.5%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 0.27
- ROI
- 8.9%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 13
- Record
- 9-4
- Net units
- 0.91
- ROI
- 7.0%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 11
- Record
- 7-4
- Net units
- 0.74
- ROI
- 6.7%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 4-2
- Net units
- 1.37
- ROI
- 22.9%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 6-3
- Net units
- 0.65
- ROI
- 7.2%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 5. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Vegas Golden Knights
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
110:03 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 111 / 86
- Fenwick for / against
- 82 / 60
- Corsi share
- 56.3%
- Fenwick share
- 57.7%
- xG for / against
- 5.56 / 3.40
Defense pair
156:41 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 177 / 133
- Fenwick for / against
- 136 / 94
- Corsi share
- 57.1%
- Fenwick share
- 59.1%
- xG for / against
- 9.01 / 5.04
New Jersey Devils
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
84:14 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 105 / 60
- Fenwick for / against
- 67 / 40
- Corsi share
- 63.6%
- Fenwick share
- 62.6%
- xG for / against
- 5.88 / 2.30
Defense pair
161:33 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 192 / 134
- Fenwick for / against
- 119 / 89
- Corsi share
- 58.9%
- Fenwick share
- 57.2%
- xG for / against
- 7.24 / 5.26
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Vegas Golden Knights
Expected starter unavailable.
New Jersey Devils
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Adin Hill
Vegas Golden Knights · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 133
- Save %
- 89.5
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 38.3
Connor Hellebuyck
New Jersey Devils · Last start: Oct 27
1 / 1 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 18
- Save %
- 94.4
- Goals allowed
- 1
- Close-range shots %
- 55.6
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 5, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Vegas Golden Knights
- xG for / game
- 3.23
- xG against / game
- 2.77
- xG differential / game
- 0.46
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
New Jersey Devils
- xG for / game
- 3.43
- xG against / game
- 2.21
- xG differential / game
- 1.22
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 5, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Vegas Golden Knights
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 59.0
- Corsi share (%)
- 50.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 52.5
- Faceoff win %
- 49.3
- Penalties / game
- 3.2
Shots / game: 29.4 · Shooting: 11.2% · Avg distance: 33.0 ft
New Jersey Devils
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 67.5
- Corsi share (%)
- 58.1
- Fenwick share (%)
- 58.0
- Faceoff win %
- 51.5
- Penalties / game
- 2.5
Shots / game: 32.1 · Shooting: 11.8% · Avg distance: 30.3 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
VGK
|
Metric |
NJD
|
|---|---|---|
| 19 | Points | 16 |
| 0.679 | Points % | 0.667 |
| 51 | Goals for | 41 |
| 39 | Goals against | 33 |
| 12 | Goal differential | 8 |
| W1 | Current streak | W4 |
Road versus home
|
VGK road
|
Metric |
NJD home
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | 8 |
| 3 | Wins | 6 |
| 7 | Points | 12 |
| 1 | Goal differential | 11 |
Last 10 games
|
VGK
|
Metric |
NJD
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-3-1 | Record | 7-3-0 |
| 13 | Points | 14 |
| 34 | Goals for | 38 |
| 29 | Goals against | 25 |
| 5 | Goal differential | 13 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
VGK
6 wins
10
games reviewed
NJD
4 wins
Total goals30 – 22
Goal differential
+8
/
-8
Goals per game3.0 / 2.2
Shots per game32.6 / 29.6
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2025 |
New Jersey Devils
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
2 - 1 | 33 - 37 | View |
| Dec 5, 2025 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
New Jersey Devils
|
3 - 0 | 25 - 24 | View |
| Mar 2, 2025 |
New Jersey Devils
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
0 - 2 | 25 - 24 | View |
| Feb 6, 2025 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
New Jersey Devils
|
3 - 1 | 40 - 15 | View |
| Mar 17, 2024 |
New Jersey Devils
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
1 - 3 | 21 - 37 | View |
| Jan 22, 2024 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
New Jersey Devils
|
5 - 6 | 32 - 38 | View |
| Mar 3, 2023 |
New Jersey Devils
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
3 - 4 | 50 - 27 | View |
| Jan 24, 2023 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
New Jersey Devils
|
2 - 3 | 30 - 36 | View |
| Apr 18, 2022 |
New Jersey Devils
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
3 - 2 | 28 - 44 | View |
| Dec 16, 2021 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
New Jersey Devils
|
5 - 3 | 30 - 26 | View |