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Vegas Golden Knights vs Nashville Predators prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 13, 2026

NHL matchup

Vegas Golden Knights at Nashville Predators

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 13, 2026.

October 13, 2026 · 7:45 PM CST
Away

Vegas Golden Knights

9-4-1

5 Model pick
Final
Home

Nashville Predators

4-3-5

2
Model V2 pick: Vegas Golden Knights at 52.6% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Vegas Golden Knights logo
Away team

Vegas Golden Knights

52.6%
Fair American -111
Fair decimal 1.9
Best market -120 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 54.5%
Edge -1.9%
Expected value -3.6%
Calculate value
Nashville Predators logo
Home team

Nashville Predators

47.4%
Fair American +111
Fair decimal 2.11
Best market +112 · BetRivers
Market implied 47.2%
Edge +0.2%
Expected value +0.5%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 13, 2026.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 13. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Vegas Golden Knights

7 / 7 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

72:51 together · 7 games

xG share72.8%
Corsi for / against
78 / 56
Fenwick for / against
58 / 37
Corsi share
58.2%
Fenwick share
61.1%
xG for / against
3.73 / 1.40
Defense pair

104:00 together · 7 games

xG share65.4%
Corsi for / against
122 / 88
Fenwick for / against
86 / 62
Corsi share
58.1%
Fenwick share
58.1%
xG for / against
5.97 / 3.15
All observed combinations

Nashville Predators

5 / 5 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

32:12 together · 5 games

xG share64.0%
Corsi for / against
36 / 24
Fenwick for / against
25 / 19
Corsi share
60.0%
Fenwick share
56.8%
xG for / against
2.10 / 1.18
Defense pair

62:01 together · 5 games

xG share42.7%
Corsi for / against
55 / 64
Fenwick for / against
40 / 46
Corsi share
46.2%
Fenwick share
46.5%
xG for / against
2.12 / 2.84
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Vegas Golden Knights

Adin Hill 96.4%
Other eligible goalies

Why Adin Hill?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Team played yesterday
+1.708
Started last game
+0.526
Goalie team start share
-0.378
Goalie win pct before
+0.335
Days since last start
+0.300
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 13, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

Nashville Predators

Juuse Saros 76.7%
Other eligible goalies

Why Juuse Saros?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Goalie team start share
+1.253
Appearances last 5 goalie rows
+0.427
Days since last start
+0.413
Started last game
+0.293
Team win pct before
+0.245
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 13, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Carter Hart

Vegas Golden Knights · Last start: Oct 12

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
127
Save %
90.6
Goals allowed
12
Close-range shots %
28.3

Matt Murray

Nashville Predators · Last start: Oct 10

1 / 1 appearances covered

Shots faced
20
Save %
90.0
Goals allowed
2
Close-range shots %
45.0
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 13, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Vegas Golden Knights

xG for / game
3.76
xG against / game
2.49
xG differential / game
1.26

7 / 7 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Nashville Predators

xG for / game
2.35
xG against / game
3.31
xG differential / game
-0.96

5 / 5 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 13, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Vegas Golden Knights

7 / 7 games covered

Attempts / game
65.1
Corsi share (%)
56.2
Fenwick share (%)
56.1
Faceoff win %
51.7
Penalties / game
3.29

Shots / game: 31.6 · Shooting: 10.9% · Avg distance: 31.2 ft

Nashville Predators

5 / 5 games covered

Attempts / game
48.4
Corsi share (%)
42.4
Fenwick share (%)
42.7
Faceoff win %
47.4
Penalties / game
3.4

Shots / game: 21.8 · Shooting: 12.8% · Avg distance: 32.8 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Vegas Golden Knights VGK
Metric
Nashville Predators NSH
19Points13
0.679Points %0.542
51Goals for34
39Goals against39
12Goal differential-5
W1Current streakOT1
Road versus home
Vegas Golden Knights VGK road
Metric
Nashville Predators NSH home
6Games7
3Wins3
7Points8
1Goal differential1
Last 10 games
Vegas Golden Knights VGK
Metric
Nashville Predators NSH
6-3-1Record3-2-5
13Points11
34Goals for31
29Goals against35
5Goal differential-4
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Vegas Golden Knights VGK 4 wins
10 games reviewed
Nashville Predators NSH 6 wins
Total goals34 – 33
Goal differential +1 / -1
Goals per game3.4 / 3.3
Shots per game30.9 / 26.9
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 21, 2026
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
1 - 4 40 - 20 View
Jan 17, 2026
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
2 - 7 29 - 36 View
Dec 31, 2025
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
4 - 2 19 - 31 View
Apr 12, 2025
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
3 - 5 17 - 29 View
Mar 29, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
3 - 1 29 - 24 View
Jan 14, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
3 - 5 22 - 23 View
Mar 26, 2024
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
4 - 5 35 - 35 View
Feb 20, 2024
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
5 - 3 40 - 26 View
Jan 15, 2024
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
1 - 4 35 - 29 View
Apr 4, 2023
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
2 - 3 32 - 27 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings VGK NSH