Vegas Golden Knights vs Montréal Canadiens prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 27, 2026
Get the playerWON NHL prediction for the Vegas Golden Knights at Montréal Canadiens matchup on January 27, 2026. playerWON’s machine-learning model currently gives the Montréal Canadiens a 54.1% win probability.
🤖 Model favours Montréal Canadiens
(54.1%)
Compare market odds, fair odds, and value below.
January 27, 2026
Visitor Model vs Market
Vegas Golden Knights
45.9%
Fair American: +118
Fair Decimal: 2.18
Calculate Value →
Home Model vs Market
Montréal Canadiens
54.1%
Fair American: -118
Fair Decimal: 1.85
Calculate Value →
📊 Season Overview
|
VGK
|
Metric |
MTL
|
|---|---|---|
| 95 | Points | 106 |
| 0.579 | Points % | 0.646 |
| 265 | Goals For | 283 |
| 250 | Goals Against | 256 |
| 15 | Goal Differential | 27 |
| W3 | Current Streak | L1 |
🚍 Road vs 🏠 Home
|
VGK (Road)
|
Metric |
MTL (Home)
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 19 | Wins | 24 |
| 46 | Points | 50 |
| -4 | Goal Differential | 10 |
🔥 Last 10 Games
|
VGK
|
Metric |
MTL
|
|---|---|---|
| 7-0-3 | Record | 7-3-0 |
| 17 | Points | 14 |
| 40 | Goals For | 28 |
| 25 | Goals Against | 24 |
| 15 | Goal Differential | 4 |
🥅 Last 10 Head-to-Head Games
|
VGK
|
H2H Summary |
MTL
|
|---|---|---|
| 7-3 | Record | 3-7 |
| 41 | Total Goals | 33 |
| +8 | Goal Differential | -8 |
| 4.1 | Goals / Game | 3.3 |
| 33.0 | Shots / Game | 28.1 |
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 |
Montréal Canadiens
@
Vegas Golden Knights
@
|
4 - 1 | 19 - 31 | View |
| Dec 31, 2024 |
Montréal Canadiens
@
Vegas Golden Knights
@
|
3 - 2 | 22 - 29 | View |
| Nov 23, 2024 |
Vegas Golden Knights
@
Montréal Canadiens
@
|
6 - 2 | 28 - 17 | View |
| Nov 16, 2023 |
Vegas Golden Knights
@
Montréal Canadiens
@
|
6 - 5 | 42 - 28 | View |
| Oct 30, 2023 |
Montréal Canadiens
@
Vegas Golden Knights
@
|
2 - 3 | 39 - 25 | View |
| Mar 5, 2023 |
Montréal Canadiens
@
Vegas Golden Knights
@
|
3 - 4 | 28 - 28 | View |
| Nov 5, 2022 |
Vegas Golden Knights
@
Montréal Canadiens
@
|
6 - 4 | 42 - 31 | View |
| Jan 20, 2022 |
Montréal Canadiens
@
Vegas Golden Knights
@
|
3 - 4 | 27 - 53 | View |
| Nov 6, 2021 |
Vegas Golden Knights
@
Montréal Canadiens
@
|
5 - 2 | 18 - 38 | View |
| Jan 18, 2020 |
Vegas Golden Knights
@
Montréal Canadiens
@
|
4 - 5 | 34 - 32 | View |
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.