Forward trio
112:09 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 102 / 114
- Fenwick for / against
- 67 / 81
- Corsi share
- 47.2%
- Fenwick share
- 45.3%
- xG for / against
- 5.37 / 4.81
Vegas Golden Knights vs Montréal Canadiens prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 27, 2026
NHL matchup
Vegas Golden Knights at Montréal Canadiens
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 27, 2026.
January 27, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 27. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Vegas Golden Knights
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
140:47 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 128 / 126
- Fenwick for / against
- 91 / 94
- Corsi share
- 50.4%
- Fenwick share
- 49.2%
- xG for / against
- 5.68 / 5.31
Montréal Canadiens
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
99:29 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 87 / 91
- Fenwick for / against
- 67 / 62
- Corsi share
- 48.9%
- Fenwick share
- 51.9%
- xG for / against
- 5.00 / 4.18
Defense pair
133:08 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 159 / 137
- Fenwick for / against
- 112 / 93
- Corsi share
- 53.7%
- Fenwick share
- 54.6%
- xG for / against
- 8.13 / 5.56
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Adin Hill
Vegas Golden Knights · Last start: Jan 25
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 102
- Save %
- 83.3
- Goals allowed
- 17
- Close-range shots %
- 25.5
Sam Montembeault
Montréal Canadiens · Last start: Jan 24
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 139
- Save %
- 87.8
- Goals allowed
- 17
- Close-range shots %
- 38.8
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 27, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Vegas Golden Knights
- xG for / game
- 3.14
- xG against / game
- 2.67
- xG differential / game
- 0.47
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Montréal Canadiens
- xG for / game
- 3.24
- xG against / game
- 3.23
- xG differential / game
- 0.01
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 27, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Vegas Golden Knights
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 55.3
- Corsi share (%)
- 49.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 49.4
- Faceoff win %
- 45.6
- Penalties / game
- 2.2
Shots / game: 28.8 · Shooting: 14.9% · Avg distance: 30.7 ft
Montréal Canadiens
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 58.7
- Corsi share (%)
- 49.9
- Fenwick share (%)
- 52.0
- Faceoff win %
- 52.0
- Penalties / game
- 4.8
Shots / game: 28.3 · Shooting: 12.7% · Avg distance: 32.5 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
VGK
|
Metric |
MTL
|
|---|---|---|
| 17 | Points | 14 |
| 0.654 | Points % | 0.636 |
| 47 | Goals for | 36 |
| 38 | Goals against | 36 |
| 9 | Goal differential | 0 |
| OT1 | Current streak | W2 |
Road versus home
|
VGK road
|
Metric |
MTL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | 6 |
| 3 | Wins | 3 |
| 7 | Points | 7 |
| 1 | Goal differential | -3 |
Last 10 games
|
VGK
|
Metric |
MTL
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-3-1 | Record | 5-3-2 |
| 13 | Points | 12 |
| 36 | Goals for | 33 |
| 30 | Goals against | 34 |
| 6 | Goal differential | -1 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
VGK
7 wins
10
games reviewed
MTL
3 wins
Total goals41 – 33
Goal differential
+8
/
-8
Goals per game4.1 / 3.3
Shots per game33.0 / 28.1
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
4 - 1 | 19 - 31 | View |
| Dec 31, 2024 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
3 - 2 | 22 - 29 | View |
| Nov 23, 2024 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
6 - 2 | 28 - 17 | View |
| Nov 16, 2023 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
6 - 5 | 42 - 28 | View |
| Oct 30, 2023 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
2 - 3 | 39 - 25 | View |
| Mar 5, 2023 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
3 - 4 | 28 - 28 | View |
| Nov 5, 2022 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
6 - 4 | 42 - 31 | View |
| Jan 20, 2022 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
3 - 4 | 27 - 53 | View |
| Nov 6, 2021 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
5 - 2 | 18 - 38 | View |
| Jan 18, 2020 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
4 - 5 | 34 - 32 | View |