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Vegas Golden Knights vs Carolina Hurricanes prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 17, 2027

NHL matchup

Vegas Golden Knights at Carolina Hurricanes

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 17, 2027.

January 17, 2027 · 6:00 PM MBT
Away

Vegas Golden Knights

12-5-2

38.5%
at
Home

Carolina Hurricanes

14-3-2

61.5% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Carolina Hurricanes at 61.5%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Vegas Golden Knights logo
Away team

Vegas Golden Knights

38.5%
Fair American +160
Fair decimal 2.6
Calculate value
Carolina Hurricanes logo
Home team

Carolina Hurricanes

61.5%
Fair American -160
Fair decimal 1.63
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Jan 17, 2027.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 17. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Vegas Golden Knights

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

74:24 together · 10 games

xG share43.0%
Corsi for / against
60 / 69
Fenwick for / against
41 / 48
Corsi share
46.5%
Fenwick share
46.1%
xG for / against
2.28 / 3.02
Defense pair

150:18 together · 10 games

xG share60.9%
Corsi for / against
134 / 122
Fenwick for / against
103 / 84
Corsi share
52.3%
Fenwick share
55.1%
xG for / against
7.22 / 4.64
All observed combinations

Carolina Hurricanes

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

163:27 together · 10 games

xG share57.7%
Corsi for / against
155 / 140
Fenwick for / against
124 / 104
Corsi share
52.5%
Fenwick share
54.4%
xG for / against
8.50 / 6.22
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Season goaltending

Every recorded goalie

Regular-season records for each team in 2026–27, before Jan 17, 2027. Includes recorded backups. Games played require ice time; stats cover only games with this team.

Vegas Golden Knights

C. Hart
GP
10
Starts
9
Wins
5
Save %
0.900
GAA
2.49
A. Hill
GP
9
Starts
9
Wins
7
Save %
0.903
GAA
2.54
C. Whitehead
GP
0
Starts
0
Wins
0
Save %
—
GAA
—

Carolina Hurricanes

P. Kochetkov
GP
12
Starts
12
Wins
11
Save %
0.920
GAA
1.67
B. Bussi
GP
7
Starts
7
Wins
3
Save %
0.869
GAA
3.23
Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Adin Hill

Vegas Golden Knights · Last start: Nov 8

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
142
Save %
90.1
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
32.4

Pyotr Kochetkov

Carolina Hurricanes · Last start: Nov 7

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
107
Save %
92.5
Goals allowed
8
Close-range shots %
33.6
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 17, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Vegas Golden Knights

xG for / game
2.84
xG against / game
2.94
xG differential / game
-0.10

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Carolina Hurricanes

xG for / game
4.05
xG against / game
2.59
xG differential / game
1.47

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 17, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Vegas Golden Knights

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
51.6
Corsi share (%)
46.5
Fenwick share (%)
49.1
Faceoff win %
49.9
Penalties / game
3.2

Shots / game: 26.4 · Shooting: 10.6% · Avg distance: 34.3 ft

Carolina Hurricanes

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
66.0
Corsi share (%)
56.6
Fenwick share (%)
59.8
Faceoff win %
49.3
Penalties / game
3.1

Shots / game: 33.7 · Shooting: 13.1% · Avg distance: 31.0 ft

Skaters versus this opponent

Hot & cold against the other team

Up to five skaters per team, ranked by the largest change in points per game against this opponent versus other opponents. Uses the last five meetings per player within this season and the previous two seasons, before Jan 17, 2027.

Vegas Golden Knights

J. Eichel Hot · +0.54 P/GP

4 games vs Carolina Hurricanes · 1.75 points/game
1.21 points/game across 166 games vs other opponents

Goals
4
Assists
3
Points
7
Shots / game
4.5
I. Barbashev Hot · +0.54 P/GP

4 games vs Carolina Hurricanes · 1.25 points/game
0.71 points/game across 167 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
3
Points
5
Shots / game
1.3
N. Dowd Hot · +0.32 P/GP

5 games vs Carolina Hurricanes · 0.60 points/game
0.28 points/game across 169 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
1
Points
3
Shots / game
1.4
B. McNabb Cold · -0.25 P/GP

4 games vs Carolina Hurricanes · 0.00 points/game
0.25 points/game across 160 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
0.8
T. Hertl Hot · +0.24 P/GP

4 games vs Carolina Hurricanes · 1.00 points/game
0.76 points/game across 170 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
2
Points
4
Shots / game
2.3

Carolina Hurricanes

S. Gostisbehere Cold · -0.77 P/GP

3 games vs Vegas Golden Knights · 0.00 points/game
0.77 points/game across 141 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
0.3
J. Martinook Hot · +0.58 P/GP

4 games vs Vegas Golden Knights · 1.00 points/game
0.42 points/game across 171 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
2
Points
4
Shots / game
0.8
S. Aho Cold · -0.53 P/GP

4 games vs Vegas Golden Knights · 0.50 points/game
1.03 points/game across 173 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
1
Points
2
Shots / game
1.8
N. Ehlers Cold · -0.39 P/GP

4 games vs Vegas Golden Knights · 0.50 points/game
0.89 points/game across 166 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
2
Points
2
Shots / game
1.3
E. Robinson Hot · +0.32 P/GP

3 games vs Vegas Golden Knights · 0.67 points/game
0.35 points/game across 165 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
1
Points
2
Shots / game
1.3
How hot and cold are measuredSample requirements, player selection and limitations

Hot means a higher points-per-game rate against this opponent; cold means a lower rate. The comparison uses other opponents over the same three-season window. Only players whose most recent recorded team this season matches this matchup are considered; this does not confirm tonight's lineup. History includes appearances for former teams. Players with no meaningful rate difference are omitted from the highlights; the full breakdown includes them. These small, unadjusted historical samples describe past production, not a forecast or a statistically established matchup advantage.

Want the full picture?

See every recorded skater from both teams, including players with limited opponent history.

View all players vs opponent →
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Vegas Golden Knights VGK
Metric
Carolina Hurricanes CAR
26Points30
0.684Points %0.789
64Goals for78
51Goals against45
13Goal differential33
W3Current streakW2
Road versus home
Vegas Golden Knights VGK road
Metric
Carolina Hurricanes CAR home
10Games8
6Wins6
14Points13
5Goal differential19
Last 10 games
Vegas Golden Knights VGK
Metric
Carolina Hurricanes CAR
5-3-2Record7-2-1
12Points15
28Goals for44
29Goals against24
-1Goal differential20
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Vegas Golden Knights VGK 4 wins
10 games reviewed
Carolina Hurricanes CAR 6 wins
Total goals30 – 31
Goal differential -1 / +1
Goals per game3.0 / 3.1
Shots per game28.3 / 31.1
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Oct 28, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
6 - 3 35 - 24 View
Oct 20, 2025
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
1 - 4 27 - 26 View
Jan 17, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
2 - 3 31 - 28 View
Nov 11, 2024
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
5 - 2 34 - 32 View
Feb 17, 2024
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
3 - 1 28 - 30 View
Dec 19, 2023
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
3 - 6 33 - 39 View
Mar 11, 2023
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
4 - 0 24 - 33 View
Mar 1, 2023
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
2 - 3 26 - 20 View
Jan 25, 2022
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
3 - 4 29 - 30 View
Nov 16, 2021
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
4 - 2 42 - 23 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings VGK CAR