Away team
Vegas Golden Knights
49.9%
Fair American
+100
Fair decimal
2.0
Vegas Golden Knights vs Calgary Flames prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 27, 2027
NHL matchup
Vegas Golden Knights at Calgary Flames
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 27, 2027.
March 27, 2027
· 9:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Calgary Flames at 50.1%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Calgary Flames
50.1%
Fair American
-100
Fair decimal
2.0
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Mar 27, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 12
- Record
- 8-4
- Net units
- 0.54
- ROI
- 4.5%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 0.27
- ROI
- 8.9%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 13
- Record
- 9-4
- Net units
- 0.91
- ROI
- 7.0%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 1-2
- Net units
- -0.25
- ROI
- -8.3%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 11
- Record
- 5-6
- Net units
- 1.73
- ROI
- 15.7%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 1
- Record
- 0-1
- Net units
- -1.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 27. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Vegas Golden Knights
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
110:03 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 111 / 86
- Fenwick for / against
- 82 / 60
- Corsi share
- 56.3%
- Fenwick share
- 57.7%
- xG for / against
- 5.56 / 3.40
Defense pair
156:41 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 177 / 133
- Fenwick for / against
- 136 / 94
- Corsi share
- 57.1%
- Fenwick share
- 59.1%
- xG for / against
- 9.01 / 5.04
Calgary Flames
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
60:08 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 69 / 51
- Fenwick for / against
- 52 / 37
- Corsi share
- 57.5%
- Fenwick share
- 58.4%
- xG for / against
- 2.64 / 1.96
Defense pair
113:54 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 125 / 95
- Fenwick for / against
- 92 / 72
- Corsi share
- 56.8%
- Fenwick share
- 56.1%
- xG for / against
- 5.68 / 4.76
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Vegas Golden Knights
Expected starter unavailable.
Calgary Flames
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Adin Hill
Vegas Golden Knights · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 133
- Save %
- 89.5
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 38.3
Devin Cooley
Calgary Flames · Last start: Oct 26
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 163
- Save %
- 92.0
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 27.6
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 27, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Vegas Golden Knights
- xG for / game
- 3.23
- xG against / game
- 2.77
- xG differential / game
- 0.46
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Calgary Flames
- xG for / game
- 2.71
- xG against / game
- 3.19
- xG differential / game
- -0.47
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 27, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Vegas Golden Knights
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 59.0
- Corsi share (%)
- 50.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 52.5
- Faceoff win %
- 49.3
- Penalties / game
- 3.2
Shots / game: 29.4 · Shooting: 11.2% · Avg distance: 33.0 ft
Calgary Flames
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 61.6
- Corsi share (%)
- 50.1
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.6
- Faceoff win %
- 48.4
- Penalties / game
- 4.5
Shots / game: 29.6 · Shooting: 9.1% · Avg distance: 34.0 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
VGK
|
Metric |
CGY
|
|---|---|---|
| 19 | Points | 10 |
| 0.679 | Points % | 0.455 |
| 51 | Goals for | 28 |
| 39 | Goals against | 41 |
| 12 | Goal differential | -13 |
| W1 | Current streak | W4 |
Road versus home
|
VGK road
|
Metric |
CGY home
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | 7 |
| 3 | Wins | 4 |
| 7 | Points | 8 |
| 1 | Goal differential | -3 |
Last 10 games
|
VGK
|
Metric |
CGY
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-3-1 | Record | 5-5-0 |
| 13 | Points | 10 |
| 34 | Goals for | 27 |
| 29 | Goals against | 35 |
| 5 | Goal differential | -8 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
VGK
7 wins
10
games reviewed
CGY
3 wins
Total goals41 – 25
Goal differential
+16
/
-16
Goals per game4.1 / 2.5
Shots per game34.2 / 26.9
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 |
Calgary Flames
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
2 - 6 | 30 - 33 | View |
| Apr 2, 2026 |
Calgary Flames
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
3 - 6 | 22 - 34 | View |
| Dec 20, 2025 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Calgary Flames
|
3 - 6 | 37 - 26 | View |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
Calgary Flames
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
1 - 6 | 27 - 28 | View |
| Oct 14, 2025 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Calgary Flames
|
4 - 2 | 30 - 29 | View |
| Apr 15, 2025 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Calgary Flames
|
4 - 5 | 42 - 28 | View |
| Apr 5, 2025 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Calgary Flames
|
3 - 2 | 34 - 23 | View |
| Dec 29, 2024 |
Calgary Flames
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
0 - 3 | 31 - 37 | View |
| Oct 28, 2024 |
Calgary Flames
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
0 - 5 | 16 - 38 | View |
| Mar 14, 2024 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Calgary Flames
|
1 - 4 | 29 - 37 | View |