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Vancouver Canucks vs Philadelphia Flyers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for November 27, 2026

NHL matchup

Vancouver Canucks at Philadelphia Flyers

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for November 27, 2026.

November 27, 2026 · 3:00 PM MBT
Away

Vancouver Canucks

3-16-1

40.9%
at
Home

Philadelphia Flyers

5-10-5

59.1% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Philadelphia Flyers at 59.1%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Vancouver Canucks logo
Away team

Vancouver Canucks

40.9%
Fair American +144
Fair decimal 2.44
Calculate value
Philadelphia Flyers logo
Home team

Philadelphia Flyers

59.1%
Fair American -144
Fair decimal 1.69
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Nov 27, 2026.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 27. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Vancouver Canucks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

57:15 together · 9 games

xG share49.5%
Corsi for / against
67 / 51
Fenwick for / against
45 / 29
Corsi share
56.8%
Fenwick share
60.8%
xG for / against
2.56 / 2.61
Defense pair

99:51 together · 10 games

xG share36.0%
Corsi for / against
79 / 94
Fenwick for / against
46 / 70
Corsi share
45.7%
Fenwick share
39.7%
xG for / against
2.67 / 4.76
All observed combinations

Philadelphia Flyers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

76:15 together · 9 games

xG share55.6%
Corsi for / against
55 / 68
Fenwick for / against
33 / 41
Corsi share
44.7%
Fenwick share
44.6%
xG for / against
2.69 / 2.14
Defense pair

106:10 together · 10 games

xG share49.9%
Corsi for / against
95 / 92
Fenwick for / against
69 / 66
Corsi share
50.8%
Fenwick share
51.1%
xG for / against
4.73 / 4.75
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Season goaltending

Every recorded goalie

Regular-season records for each team in 2026–27, before Nov 27, 2026. Includes recorded backups. Games played require ice time; stats cover only games with this team.

Philadelphia Flyers

D. Vladar
GP
10
Starts
10
Wins
3
Save %
0.880
GAA
3.27
J. Woll
GP
10
Starts
10
Wins
2
Save %
0.901
GAA
2.91
Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Leevi Meriläinen

Vancouver Canucks · Last start: Nov 9

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
125
Save %
86.4
Goals allowed
17
Close-range shots %
33.6

Joseph Woll

Philadelphia Flyers · Last start: Nov 9

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
129
Save %
88.4
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
31.0
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 27, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Vancouver Canucks

xG for / game
2.45
xG against / game
3.36
xG differential / game
-0.91

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Philadelphia Flyers

xG for / game
3.06
xG against / game
3.11
xG differential / game
-0.04

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 27, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Vancouver Canucks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
49.2
Corsi share (%)
46.8
Fenwick share (%)
45.4
Faceoff win %
47.6
Penalties / game
4.4

Shots / game: 22.4 · Shooting: 11.6% · Avg distance: 31.4 ft

Philadelphia Flyers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
56.8
Corsi share (%)
50.5
Fenwick share (%)
49.7
Faceoff win %
50.6
Penalties / game
3.8

Shots / game: 26.3 · Shooting: 11.8% · Avg distance: 29.5 ft

Skaters versus this opponent

Hot & cold against the other team

Up to five skaters per team, ranked by the largest change in points per game against this opponent versus other opponents. Uses the last five meetings per player within this season and the previous two seasons, before Nov 27, 2026.

Vancouver Canucks

F. Hronek Cold · -0.60 P/GP

5 games vs Philadelphia Flyers · 0.00 points/game
0.60 points/game across 158 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.4
D. O'Connor Hot · +0.44 P/GP

4 games vs Philadelphia Flyers · 0.75 points/game
0.31 points/game across 182 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
1
Points
3
Shots / game
1.3
L. Karlsson Cold · -0.43 P/GP

3 games vs Philadelphia Flyers · 0.00 points/game
0.43 points/game across 119 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
0.0
J. DeBrusk Cold · -0.37 P/GP

5 games vs Philadelphia Flyers · 0.20 points/game
0.57 points/game across 176 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
1
Points
1
Shots / game
2.6
L. Ohgren Cold · -0.30 P/GP

4 games vs Philadelphia Flyers · 0.00 points/game
0.30 points/game across 108 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.3

Philadelphia Flyers

N. Cates Hot · +0.51 P/GP

3 games vs Vancouver Canucks · 1.00 points/game
0.49 points/game across 177 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
2
Points
3
Shots / game
0.7
S. Couturier Cold · -0.51 P/GP

5 games vs Vancouver Canucks · 0.00 points/game
0.51 points/game across 172 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.6
D. Barkey Cold · -0.44 P/GP

3 games vs Vancouver Canucks · 0.00 points/game
0.44 points/game across 57 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.3
C. Dvorak Hot · +0.29 P/GP

5 games vs Vancouver Canucks · 0.80 points/game
0.51 points/game across 177 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
2
Points
4
Shots / game
1.2
C. Grundstrom Hot · +0.21 P/GP

5 games vs Vancouver Canucks · 0.40 points/game
0.19 points/game across 103 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
0
Points
2
Shots / game
2.6
How hot and cold are measuredSample requirements, player selection and limitations

Hot means a higher points-per-game rate against this opponent; cold means a lower rate. The comparison uses other opponents over the same three-season window. Only players whose most recent recorded team this season matches this matchup are considered; this does not confirm tonight's lineup. History includes appearances for former teams. Players with no meaningful rate difference are omitted from the highlights; the full breakdown includes them. These small, unadjusted historical samples describe past production, not a forecast or a statistically established matchup advantage.

Want the full picture?

See every recorded skater from both teams, including players with limited opponent history.

View all players vs opponent →
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Vancouver Canucks VAN
Metric
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
7Points15
0.175Points %0.375
56Goals for45
90Goals against66
-34Goal differential-21
L6Current streakW1
Road versus home
Vancouver Canucks VAN road
Metric
Philadelphia Flyers PHI home
11Games10
2Wins3
5Points9
-21Goal differential-10
Last 10 games
Vancouver Canucks VAN
Metric
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
1-9-0Record4-4-2
2Points10
26Goals for31
45Goals against32
-19Goal differential-1
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Vancouver Canucks VAN 2 wins
10 games reviewed
Philadelphia Flyers PHI 8 wins
Total goals21 – 30
Goal differential -9 / +9
Goals per game2.1 / 3.0
Shots per game27.1 / 30.9
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Nov 9, 2026
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
3 - 1 17 - 19 View
Dec 30, 2025
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
6 - 3 33 - 35 View
Dec 22, 2025
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
2 - 5 25 - 39 View
Oct 19, 2024
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
3 - 0 32 - 26 View
Oct 11, 2024
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
3 - 2 31 - 26 View
Dec 28, 2023
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
4 - 1 25 - 27 View
Oct 17, 2023
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
0 - 2 26 - 42 View
Feb 18, 2023
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
2 - 6 37 - 23 View
Oct 15, 2022
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
2 - 3 30 - 31 View
Oct 28, 2021
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
2 - 1 28 - 28 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings VAN PHI