Away team
Utah Mammoth
47.2%
Fair American
+112
Fair decimal
2.12
Utah Mammoth vs Vegas Golden Knights prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for November 11, 2026
NHL matchup
Utah Mammoth at Vegas Golden Knights
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for November 11, 2026.
November 11, 2026
· 8:30 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Vegas Golden Knights at 52.8%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Vegas Golden Knights
52.8%
Fair American
-112
Fair decimal
1.89
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Nov 11, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 12
- Record
- 7-5
- Net units
- 0.27
- ROI
- 2.3%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 8
- Record
- 5-3
- Net units
- 1.46
- ROI
- 18.3%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 10
- Record
- 6-4
- Net units
- 0.21
- ROI
- 2.1%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 12
- Record
- 8-4
- Net units
- 0.54
- ROI
- 4.5%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 0.27
- ROI
- 8.9%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 13
- Record
- 9-4
- Net units
- 0.91
- ROI
- 7.0%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 11. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Utah Mammoth
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
76:48 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 106 / 64
- Fenwick for / against
- 79 / 44
- Corsi share
- 62.4%
- Fenwick share
- 64.2%
- xG for / against
- 6.35 / 2.23
Defense pair
116:25 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 137 / 105
- Fenwick for / against
- 97 / 73
- Corsi share
- 56.6%
- Fenwick share
- 57.1%
- xG for / against
- 7.21 / 4.35
Vegas Golden Knights
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
110:03 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 111 / 86
- Fenwick for / against
- 82 / 60
- Corsi share
- 56.3%
- Fenwick share
- 57.7%
- xG for / against
- 5.56 / 3.40
Defense pair
156:41 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 177 / 133
- Fenwick for / against
- 136 / 94
- Corsi share
- 57.1%
- Fenwick share
- 59.1%
- xG for / against
- 9.01 / 5.04
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Utah Mammoth
Expected starter unavailable.
Vegas Golden Knights
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Karel Vejmelka
Utah Mammoth · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 128
- Save %
- 85.9
- Goals allowed
- 18
- Close-range shots %
- 28.1
Adin Hill
Vegas Golden Knights · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 133
- Save %
- 89.5
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 38.3
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 11, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Utah Mammoth
- xG for / game
- 3.66
- xG against / game
- 2.73
- xG differential / game
- 0.94
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Vegas Golden Knights
- xG for / game
- 3.23
- xG against / game
- 2.77
- xG differential / game
- 0.46
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 11, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Utah Mammoth
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 64.9
- Corsi share (%)
- 54.7
- Fenwick share (%)
- 54.7
- Faceoff win %
- 55.1
- Penalties / game
- 4.7
Shots / game: 29.9 · Shooting: 11.7% · Avg distance: 31.3 ft
Vegas Golden Knights
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 59.0
- Corsi share (%)
- 50.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 52.5
- Faceoff win %
- 49.3
- Penalties / game
- 3.2
Shots / game: 29.4 · Shooting: 11.2% · Avg distance: 33.0 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
UTA
|
Metric |
VGK
|
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Points | 19 |
| 0.615 | Points % | 0.679 |
| 47 | Goals for | 51 |
| 43 | Goals against | 39 |
| 4 | Goal differential | 12 |
| L1 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
UTA road
|
Metric |
VGK home
|
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Games | 8 |
| 4 | Wins | 6 |
| 8 | Points | 12 |
| 1 | Goal differential | 11 |
Last 10 games
|
UTA
|
Metric |
VGK
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-4-0 | Record | 6-3-1 |
| 12 | Points | 13 |
| 35 | Goals for | 34 |
| 38 | Goals against | 29 |
| -3 | Goal differential | 5 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
UTA
2 wins
3
games reviewed
VGK
1 wins
Total goals10 – 5
Goal differential
+5
/
-5
Goals per game3.33 / 1.67
Shots per game22.3 / 31.7
Utah Mammoth
