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Utah Mammoth vs Vegas Golden Knights prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 19, 2026

NHL matchup

Utah Mammoth at Vegas Golden Knights

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 19, 2026.

March 19, 2026 · 9:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 19. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Utah Mammoth

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

142:48 together · 10 games

xG share44.6%
Corsi for / against
123 / 124
Fenwick for / against
83 / 83
Corsi share
49.8%
Fenwick share
50.0%
xG for / against
4.99 / 6.21
All observed combinations

Vegas Golden Knights

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

66:29 together · 8 games

xG share62.9%
Corsi for / against
66 / 51
Fenwick for / against
49 / 34
Corsi share
56.4%
Fenwick share
59.0%
xG for / against
3.47 / 2.05
Defense pair

125:49 together · 10 games

xG share63.6%
Corsi for / against
134 / 84
Fenwick for / against
100 / 58
Corsi share
61.5%
Fenwick share
63.3%
xG for / against
6.41 / 3.67
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Vitek Vanecek

Utah Mammoth · Last start: Mar 16

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
138
Save %
91.3
Goals allowed
12
Close-range shots %
29.7

Adin Hill

Vegas Golden Knights · Last start: Mar 17

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
105
Save %
92.4
Goals allowed
8
Close-range shots %
35.2
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 19, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Utah Mammoth

xG for / game
2.93
xG against / game
2.88
xG differential / game
0.05

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Vegas Golden Knights

xG for / game
3.03
xG against / game
2.76
xG differential / game
0.27

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 19, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Utah Mammoth

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
61.1
Corsi share (%)
53.8
Fenwick share (%)
52.2
Faceoff win %
52.0
Penalties / game
4.0

Shots / game: 26.2 · Shooting: 11.1% · Avg distance: 33.4 ft

Vegas Golden Knights

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
57.9
Corsi share (%)
52.9
Fenwick share (%)
52.8
Faceoff win %
53.0
Penalties / game
4.4

Shots / game: 26.4 · Shooting: 8.7% · Avg distance: 32.1 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Utah Mammoth UTA
Metric
Vegas Golden Knights VGK
16Points17
0.667Points %0.654
46Goals for47
40Goals against38
6Goal differential9
W1Current streakOT1
Road versus home
Utah Mammoth UTA road
Metric
Vegas Golden Knights VGK home
7Games7
4Wins5
8Points10
1Goal differential8
Last 10 games
Utah Mammoth UTA
Metric
Vegas Golden Knights VGK
6-4-0Record6-3-1
12Points13
36Goals for36
39Goals against30
-3Goal differential6
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Utah Mammoth UTA 1 wins
2 games reviewed
Vegas Golden Knights VGK 1 wins
Total goals6 – 5
Goal differential +1 / -1
Goals per game3.0 / 2.5
Shots per game24.5 / 33.5
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Nov 24, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Utah Mammoth Utah Mammoth
1 - 5 34 - 23 View
Nov 20, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Utah Mammoth Utah Mammoth
4 - 1 33 - 26 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.