Forward trio
89:32 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 125 / 65
- Fenwick for / against
- 92 / 53
- Corsi share
- 65.8%
- Fenwick share
- 63.4%
- xG for / against
- 5.52 / 4.00
Utah Mammoth vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 26, 2026
NHL matchup
Utah Mammoth at Tampa Bay Lightning
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 26, 2026.
January 26, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 26. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Utah Mammoth
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
148:40 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 182 / 132
- Fenwick for / against
- 134 / 96
- Corsi share
- 58.0%
- Fenwick share
- 58.3%
- xG for / against
- 10.23 / 7.45
Tampa Bay Lightning
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
112:43 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 120 / 90
- Fenwick for / against
- 82 / 64
- Corsi share
- 57.1%
- Fenwick share
- 56.2%
- xG for / against
- 5.03 / 3.24
Defense pair
146:27 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 179 / 107
- Fenwick for / against
- 132 / 77
- Corsi share
- 62.6%
- Fenwick share
- 63.2%
- xG for / against
- 7.33 / 5.54
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Karel Vejmelka
Utah Mammoth · Last start: Jan 24
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 126
- Save %
- 91.3
- Goals allowed
- 11
- Close-range shots %
- 38.9
Jonas Johansson
Tampa Bay Lightning · Last start: Jan 24
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 129
- Save %
- 85.3
- Goals allowed
- 19
- Close-range shots %
- 32.6
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 26, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Utah Mammoth
- xG for / game
- 3.24
- xG against / game
- 3.48
- xG differential / game
- -0.24
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Tampa Bay Lightning
- xG for / game
- 3.45
- xG against / game
- 2.61
- xG differential / game
- 0.84
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 26, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Utah Mammoth
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 64.8
- Corsi share (%)
- 52.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 51.9
- Faceoff win %
- 52.3
- Penalties / game
- 4.2
Shots / game: 28.6 · Shooting: 12.9% · Avg distance: 34.0 ft
Tampa Bay Lightning
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 62.8
- Corsi share (%)
- 56.9
- Fenwick share (%)
- 56.8
- Faceoff win %
- 46.9
- Penalties / game
- 4.5
Shots / game: 27.7 · Shooting: 14.4% · Avg distance: 32.9 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
UTA
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Points | 15 |
| 0.615 | Points % | 0.682 |
| 47 | Goals for | 38 |
| 43 | Goals against | 34 |
| 4 | Goal differential | 4 |
| L1 | Current streak | OT1 |
Road versus home
|
UTA road
|
Metric |
TBL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Games | 5 |
| 4 | Wins | 5 |
| 8 | Points | 10 |
| 1 | Goal differential | 9 |
Last 10 games
|
UTA
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-4-0 | Record | 7-2-1 |
| 12 | Points | 15 |
| 35 | Goals for | 37 |
| 38 | Goals against | 29 |
| -3 | Goal differential | 8 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
UTA
0 wins
1
games reviewed
TBL
1 wins
Total goals2 – 4
Goal differential
-2
/
+2
Goals per game2.0 / 4.0
Shots per game27.0 / 26.0
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Utah Mammoth
|
4 - 2 | 26 - 27 | View |