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Utah Mammoth vs New Jersey Devils prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 6, 2026

NHL matchup

Utah Mammoth at New Jersey Devils

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 6, 2026.

October 6, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Away

Utah Mammoth

8-5-0

5
Final
Home

New Jersey Devils

8-4-0

3 Model pick
Model V2 pick: New Jersey Devils at 50.1% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Utah Mammoth logo
Away team

Utah Mammoth

49.9%
Fair American +100
Fair decimal 2.0
Best market +115 · BetRivers
Market implied 46.5%
Edge +3.4%
Expected value +7.3%
Calculate value
New Jersey Devils logo
Home team

New Jersey Devils

50.1%
Fair American -100
Fair decimal 2.0
Best market -125 · BetMGM
Market implied 55.6%
Edge -5.5%
Expected value -9.8%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 6, 2026.

Utah Mammoth

All Model Picks

Bets
3
Record
2-1
Net units
0.37
ROI
12.3%

Value Picks

Bets
2
Record
1-1
Net units
-0.11
ROI
-5.4%

Market Favourite

Bets
2
Record
2-0
Net units
1.37
ROI
68.5%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 6. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Utah Mammoth

3 / 3 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

42:48 together · 3 games

xG share52.9%
Corsi for / against
49 / 32
Fenwick for / against
32 / 22
Corsi share
60.5%
Fenwick share
59.3%
xG for / against
2.00 / 1.78
All observed combinations

New Jersey Devils

2 / 2 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

19:31 together · 2 games

xG share73.9%
Corsi for / against
25 / 7
Fenwick for / against
18 / 5
Corsi share
78.1%
Fenwick share
78.3%
xG for / against
1.10 / 0.39
Defense pair

30:10 together · 2 games

xG share70.2%
Corsi for / against
51 / 22
Fenwick for / against
37 / 14
Corsi share
69.9%
Fenwick share
72.5%
xG for / against
2.32 / 0.99
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Karel Vejmelka

Utah Mammoth · Last start: Oct 4

2 / 2 appearances covered

Shots faced
36
Save %
91.7
Goals allowed
3
Close-range shots %
36.1

Nico Daws

New Jersey Devils · Last start: Oct 3

1 / 1 appearances covered

Shots faced
32
Save %
81.2
Goals allowed
6
Close-range shots %
50.0
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 6, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Utah Mammoth

xG for / game
3.72
xG against / game
2.71
xG differential / game
1.01

3 / 3 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

New Jersey Devils

xG for / game
3.99
xG against / game
2.98
xG differential / game
1.00

2 / 2 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 6, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Utah Mammoth

3 / 3 games covered

Attempts / game
68.7
Corsi share (%)
58.2
Fenwick share (%)
59.2
Faceoff win %
53.7
Penalties / game
4.67

Shots / game: 31.0 · Shooting: 12.9% · Avg distance: 31.8 ft

New Jersey Devils

2 / 2 games covered

Attempts / game
83.5
Corsi share (%)
64.7
Fenwick share (%)
62.0
Faceoff win %
46.9
Penalties / game
2.0

Shots / game: 40.5 · Shooting: 3.7% · Avg distance: 31.6 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Utah Mammoth UTA
Metric
New Jersey Devils NJD
16Points16
0.615Points %0.667
47Goals for41
43Goals against33
4Goal differential8
L1Current streakW4
Road versus home
Utah Mammoth UTA road
Metric
New Jersey Devils NJD home
7Games8
4Wins6
8Points12
1Goal differential11
Last 10 games
Utah Mammoth UTA
Metric
New Jersey Devils NJD
6-4-0Record7-3-0
12Points14
35Goals for38
38Goals against25
-3Goal differential13
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Utah Mammoth UTA 0 wins
2 games reviewed
New Jersey Devils NJD 2 wins
Total goals2 – 6
Goal differential -4 / +4
Goals per game1.0 / 3.0
Shots per game32.0 / 26.0
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 3, 2026
Utah Mammoth Utah Mammoth at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
1 - 4 31 - 30 View
Dec 19, 2025
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at Utah Mammoth Utah Mammoth
2 - 1 22 - 33 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings UTA NJD