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Utah Mammoth vs Chicago Blackhawks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 12, 2026

NHL matchup

Utah Mammoth at Chicago Blackhawks

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 12, 2026.

December 12, 2026 · 7:00 PM MBT
Away

Utah Mammoth

10-7-1

54.6% Model pick
at
Home

Chicago Blackhawks

4-13-1

45.4%
Model V2 pick: Utah Mammoth at 54.6%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Chicago Blackhawks logo
Home team

Chicago Blackhawks

45.4%
Fair American +120
Fair decimal 2.2
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 12, 2026.

Utah Mammoth

All Model Picks

Bets
17
Record
9-8
Net units
-1.16
ROI
-6.8%

Value Picks

Bets
8
Record
5-3
Net units
1.46
ROI
18.3%

Market Favourite

Bets
15
Record
8-7
Net units
-1.22
ROI
-8.1%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 12. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Utah Mammoth

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

60:46 together · 6 games

xG share69.5%
Corsi for / against
75 / 57
Fenwick for / against
62 / 40
Corsi share
56.8%
Fenwick share
60.8%
xG for / against
4.82 / 2.12
Defense pair

131:54 together · 10 games

xG share57.1%
Corsi for / against
153 / 131
Fenwick for / against
112 / 91
Corsi share
53.9%
Fenwick share
55.2%
xG for / against
6.87 / 5.16
All observed combinations

Chicago Blackhawks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

110:39 together · 10 games

xG share29.7%
Corsi for / against
86 / 116
Fenwick for / against
61 / 93
Corsi share
42.6%
Fenwick share
39.6%
xG for / against
3.37 / 7.95
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Season goaltending

Every recorded goalie

Regular-season records for each team in 2026–27, before Dec 12, 2026. Includes recorded backups. Games played require ice time; stats cover only games with this team.

Utah Mammoth

K. Vejmelka
GP
13
Starts
12
Wins
6
Save %
0.869
GAA
3.29
S. Cossa
GP
7
Starts
6
Wins
4
Save %
0.871
GAA
3.30
Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Karel Vejmelka

Utah Mammoth · Last start: Nov 7

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
128
Save %
85.2
Goals allowed
19
Close-range shots %
28.9

Spencer Knight

Chicago Blackhawks · Last start: Nov 7

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
129
Save %
86.0
Goals allowed
18
Close-range shots %
39.5
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 12, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Utah Mammoth

xG for / game
3.66
xG against / game
2.86
xG differential / game
0.80

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Chicago Blackhawks

xG for / game
2.58
xG against / game
3.73
xG differential / game
-1.15

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 12, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Utah Mammoth

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
62.4
Corsi share (%)
52.3
Fenwick share (%)
52.7
Faceoff win %
55.1
Penalties / game
4.0

Shots / game: 29.4 · Shooting: 10.9% · Avg distance: 31.5 ft

Chicago Blackhawks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
52.6
Corsi share (%)
47.5
Fenwick share (%)
45.1
Faceoff win %
40.2
Penalties / game
4.0

Shots / game: 23.9 · Shooting: 7.5% · Avg distance: 32.9 ft

Skaters versus this opponent

Hot & cold against the other team

Up to five skaters per team, ranked by the largest change in points per game against this opponent versus other opponents. Uses the last five meetings per player within this season and the previous two seasons, before Dec 12, 2026.

Utah Mammoth

C. Keller Cold · -0.53 P/GP

5 games vs Chicago Blackhawks · 0.60 points/game
1.13 points/game across 172 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
3
Points
3
Shots / game
3.4
L. Cooley Cold · -0.49 P/GP

5 games vs Chicago Blackhawks · 0.40 points/game
0.89 points/game across 138 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
2
Points
2
Shots / game
0.4
N. Schmaltz Cold · -0.48 P/GP

5 games vs Chicago Blackhawks · 0.40 points/game
0.88 points/game across 173 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
1
Points
2
Shots / game
2.2
M. Weegar Cold · -0.46 P/GP

5 games vs Chicago Blackhawks · 0.00 points/game
0.46 points/game across 169 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
2.6
J. McBain Cold · -0.33 P/GP

5 games vs Chicago Blackhawks · 0.00 points/game
0.33 points/game across 166 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.2

Chicago Blackhawks

T. Teravainen Hot · +0.44 P/GP

5 games vs Utah Mammoth · 1.00 points/game
0.56 points/game across 167 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
3
Points
5
Shots / game
1.8
S. Rinzel Cold · -0.32 P/GP

4 games vs Utah Mammoth · 0.00 points/game
0.32 points/game across 76 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.5
W. Kaiser Cold · -0.21 P/GP

4 games vs Utah Mammoth · 0.00 points/game
0.21 points/game across 148 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
0.8
C. Smith Cold · -0.18 P/GP

5 games vs Utah Mammoth · 0.00 points/game
0.18 points/game across 147 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.0
J. Greenway Cold · -0.17 P/GP

3 games vs Utah Mammoth · 0.00 points/game
0.17 points/game across 87 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.0
How hot and cold are measuredSample requirements, player selection and limitations

Hot means a higher points-per-game rate against this opponent; cold means a lower rate. The comparison uses other opponents over the same three-season window. Only players whose most recent recorded team this season matches this matchup are considered; this does not confirm tonight's lineup. History includes appearances for former teams. Players with no meaningful rate difference are omitted from the highlights; the full breakdown includes them. These small, unadjusted historical samples describe past production, not a forecast or a statistically established matchup advantage.

Want the full picture?

See every recorded skater from both teams, including players with limited opponent history.

View all players vs opponent →
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Utah Mammoth UTA
Metric
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
21Points9
0.583Points %0.250
63Goals for39
63Goals against76
0Goal differential-37
L1Current streakL4
Road versus home
Utah Mammoth UTA road
Metric
Chicago Blackhawks CHI home
12Games9
6Wins4
13Points8
-3Goal differential-8
Last 10 games
Utah Mammoth UTA
Metric
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
4-5-1Record1-8-1
9Points3
32Goals for18
42Goals against44
-10Goal differential-26
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Utah Mammoth UTA 1 wins
5 games reviewed
Chicago Blackhawks CHI 4 wins
Total goals11 – 13
Goal differential -2 / +2
Goals per game2.2 / 2.6
Shots per game26.2 / 21.2
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Oct 1, 2026
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Utah Mammoth Utah Mammoth
0 - 6 15 - 32 View
Mar 12, 2026
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Utah Mammoth Utah Mammoth
3 - 2 23 - 31 View
Mar 9, 2026
Utah Mammoth Utah Mammoth at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
2 - 3 24 - 26 View
Mar 1, 2026
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Utah Mammoth Utah Mammoth
4 - 0 28 - 22 View
Oct 13, 2025
Utah Mammoth Utah Mammoth at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
1 - 3 22 - 14 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings UTA CHI