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Utah Mammoth vs Anaheim Ducks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 18, 2027

NHL matchup

Utah Mammoth at Anaheim Ducks

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 18, 2027.

March 18, 2027 · 9:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick: Utah Mammoth at 52.3%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Mar 18, 2027.

All Model Picks

Bets
11
Record
7-4
Net units
1.27
ROI
11.6%

Value Picks

Bets
7
Record
5-2
Net units
2.46
ROI
35.2%

Market Favourite

Bets
9
Record
6-3
Net units
1.21
ROI
13.5%

All Model Picks

Bets
6
Record
4-2
Net units
2.13
ROI
35.5%

Value Picks

Bets
5
Record
4-1
Net units
3.94
ROI
78.8%

Market Favourite

Bets
2
Record
1-1
Net units
-0.15
ROI
-7.6%

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 18. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Utah Mammoth

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

69:58 together · 7 games

xG share77.8%
Corsi for / against
101 / 56
Fenwick for / against
75 / 37
Corsi share
64.3%
Fenwick share
67.0%
xG for / against
6.21 / 1.77
Defense pair

119:15 together · 10 games

xG share61.9%
Corsi for / against
146 / 103
Fenwick for / against
100 / 71
Corsi share
58.6%
Fenwick share
58.5%
xG for / against
7.66 / 4.72
All observed combinations

Anaheim Ducks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

40:52 together · 6 games

xG share59.0%
Corsi for / against
38 / 38
Fenwick for / against
25 / 24
Corsi share
50.0%
Fenwick share
51.0%
xG for / against
2.17 / 1.50
Defense pair

86:16 together · 10 games

xG share36.5%
Corsi for / against
77 / 88
Fenwick for / against
54 / 64
Corsi share
46.7%
Fenwick share
45.8%
xG for / against
3.41 / 5.93
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Karel Vejmelka

Utah Mammoth · Last start: Oct 24

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
124
Save %
84.7
Goals allowed
19
Close-range shots %
26.6

Lukas Dostal

Anaheim Ducks · Last start: Oct 24

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
131
Save %
88.5
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
32.1
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 18, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Utah Mammoth

xG for / game
3.73
xG against / game
2.81
xG differential / game
0.92

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Anaheim Ducks

xG for / game
2.91
xG against / game
3.60
xG differential / game
-0.70

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 18, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Utah Mammoth

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
65.4
Corsi share (%)
55.3
Fenwick share (%)
55.3
Faceoff win %
53.6
Penalties / game
4.4

Shots / game: 30.2 · Shooting: 11.9% · Avg distance: 31.1 ft

Anaheim Ducks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
56.4
Corsi share (%)
48.6
Fenwick share (%)
48.7
Faceoff win %
44.7
Penalties / game
4.6

Shots / game: 23.9 · Shooting: 11.7% · Avg distance: 32.3 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Utah Mammoth UTA
Metric
Anaheim Ducks ANA
16Points10
0.667Points %0.455
46Goals for32
40Goals against37
6Goal differential-5
W1Current streakW1
Road versus home
Utah Mammoth UTA road
Metric
Anaheim Ducks ANA home
7Games4
4Wins1
8Points2
1Goal differential-6
Last 10 games
Utah Mammoth UTA
Metric
Anaheim Ducks ANA
6-4-0Record4-6-0
12Points8
36Goals for28
39Goals against34
-3Goal differential-6
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Utah Mammoth UTA 1 wins
3 games reviewed
Anaheim Ducks ANA 2 wins
Total goals10 – 7
Goal differential +3 / -3
Goals per game3.33 / 2.33
Shots per game27.3 / 25.7
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 20, 2026
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Utah Mammoth Utah Mammoth
4 - 1 24 - 30 View
Dec 3, 2025
Utah Mammoth Utah Mammoth at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
7 - 0 34 - 27 View
Nov 17, 2025
Utah Mammoth Utah Mammoth at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
2 - 3 18 - 26 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.