Away team
Tampa Bay Lightning
56.9%
Fair American
-132
Fair decimal
1.76
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Vegas Golden Knights prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 20, 2026
NHL matchup
Tampa Bay Lightning at Vegas Golden Knights
View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 20, 2026.
October 20, 2026
· 9:30 PM CST
Model favourite
Tampa Bay Lightning
at 56.9%
Prediction
Model versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Vegas Golden Knights
43.1%
Fair American
+132
Fair decimal
2.32
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
TBL
|
Metric |
VGK
|
|---|---|---|
| 106 | Points | 95 |
| 0.646 | Points % | 0.579 |
| 290 | Goals for | 265 |
| 231 | Goals against | 250 |
| 59 | Goal differential | 15 |
| L1 | Current streak | W3 |
Road versus home
|
TBL road
|
Metric |
VGK home
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 24 | Wins | 20 |
| 53 | Points | 49 |
| 37 | Goal differential | 19 |
Last 10 games
|
TBL
|
Metric |
VGK
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-5-0 | Record | 7-0-3 |
| 10 | Points | 17 |
| 26 | Goals for | 40 |
| 30 | Goals against | 25 |
| -4 | Goal differential | 15 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
TBL
6 wins
10
games reviewed
VGK
4 wins
Total goals37 – 33
Goal differential
+4
/
-4
Goals per game3.7 / 3.3
Shots per game28.3 / 28.2
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
6 - 3 | 27 - 32 | View |
| Oct 26, 2025 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
1 - 2 | 19 - 28 | View |
| Mar 23, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
2 - 4 | 37 - 30 | View |
| Oct 17, 2024 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
3 - 4 | 25 - 25 | View |
| Mar 19, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
5 - 3 | 21 - 27 | View |
| Dec 21, 2023 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
4 - 5 | 34 - 36 | View |
| Mar 9, 2023 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
4 - 3 | 21 - 37 | View |
| Feb 18, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
4 - 5 | 24 - 26 | View |
| Jan 29, 2022 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
3 - 2 | 27 - 29 | View |
| Dec 21, 2021 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
4 - 3 | 19 - 41 | View |