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Tampa Bay Lightning vs Nashville Predators prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 31, 2026

NHL matchup

Tampa Bay Lightning at Nashville Predators

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 31, 2026.

October 31, 2026 · 1:00 PM CST
Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

7-3-1

52.5% Model pick
at
Home

Nashville Predators

4-3-4

47.5%
Model V2 pick: Tampa Bay Lightning at 52.5%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Tampa Bay Lightning logo
Away team

Tampa Bay Lightning

52.5%
Fair American -111
Fair decimal 1.9
Calculate value
Nashville Predators logo
Home team

Nashville Predators

47.5%
Fair American +111
Fair decimal 2.11
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 31, 2026.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 31. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Tampa Bay Lightning

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

123:37 together · 10 games

xG share61.5%
Corsi for / against
154 / 103
Fenwick for / against
114 / 80
Corsi share
59.9%
Fenwick share
58.8%
xG for / against
7.27 / 4.55
All observed combinations

Nashville Predators

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

48:38 together · 9 games

xG share65.8%
Corsi for / against
55 / 43
Fenwick for / against
38 / 32
Corsi share
56.1%
Fenwick share
54.3%
xG for / against
3.00 / 1.56
Defense pair

99:32 together · 9 games

xG share45.8%
Corsi for / against
92 / 104
Fenwick for / against
70 / 74
Corsi share
46.9%
Fenwick share
48.6%
xG for / against
3.89 / 4.61
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Dennis Hildeby

Tampa Bay Lightning · Last start: Oct 24

3 / 3 appearances covered

Shots faced
78
Save %
88.5
Goals allowed
9
Close-range shots %
35.9

Justus Annunen

Nashville Predators · Last start: Oct 25

2 / 2 appearances covered

Shots faced
52
Save %
84.6
Goals allowed
8
Close-range shots %
34.6
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 31, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Tampa Bay Lightning

xG for / game
3.56
xG against / game
2.79
xG differential / game
0.77

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Nashville Predators

xG for / game
2.92
xG against / game
3.25
xG differential / game
-0.33

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 31, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Tampa Bay Lightning

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
63.5
Corsi share (%)
55.1
Fenwick share (%)
55.6
Faceoff win %
49.5
Penalties / game
3.7

Shots / game: 31.1 · Shooting: 11.9% · Avg distance: 32.4 ft

Nashville Predators

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
54.8
Corsi share (%)
47.1
Fenwick share (%)
47.9
Faceoff win %
50.5
Penalties / game
3.4

Shots / game: 26.4 · Shooting: 11.4% · Avg distance: 32.1 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Tampa Bay Lightning TBL
Metric
Nashville Predators NSH
15Points12
0.682Points %0.545
38Goals for31
34Goals against35
4Goal differential-4
OT1Current streakW1
Road versus home
Tampa Bay Lightning TBL road
Metric
Nashville Predators NSH home
6Games6
2Wins3
5Points7
-5Goal differential2
Last 10 games
Tampa Bay Lightning TBL
Metric
Nashville Predators NSH
7-2-1Record4-2-4
15Points12
37Goals for30
29Goals against32
8Goal differential-2
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Tampa Bay Lightning TBL 9 wins
10 games reviewed
Nashville Predators NSH 1 wins
Total goals37 – 24
Goal differential +13 / -13
Goals per game3.7 / 2.4
Shots per game32.6 / 29.7
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 29, 2026
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
2 - 3 31 - 28 View
Oct 28, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
5 - 2 32 - 20 View
Nov 29, 2024
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
3 - 2 28 - 31 View
Oct 28, 2024
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
2 - 3 37 - 27 View
Dec 7, 2023
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
1 - 5 33 - 30 View
Oct 10, 2023
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
3 - 5 31 - 34 View
Dec 8, 2022
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
2 - 5 36 - 33 View
Nov 19, 2022
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
3 - 2 39 - 32 View
Apr 23, 2022
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
2 - 6 21 - 39 View
Feb 26, 2022
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
3 - 2 33 - 28 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
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