Tampa Bay Lightning vs Edmonton Oilers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 21, 2026
Get the playerWON NHL prediction for the Tampa Bay Lightning at Edmonton Oilers matchup on March 21, 2026. playerWON’s machine-learning model currently gives the Tampa Bay Lightning a 54.6% win probability.
🤖 Model favours Tampa Bay Lightning
(54.6%)
Compare market odds, fair odds, and value below.
March 21, 2026
Visitor Model vs Market
Tampa Bay Lightning
54.6%
Fair American: -120
Fair Decimal: 1.83
Calculate Value →
📊 Season Overview
|
TBL
|
Metric |
EDM
|
|---|---|---|
| 106 | Points | 93 |
| 0.646 | Points % | 0.567 |
| 290 | Goals For | 282 |
| 231 | Goals Against | 269 |
| 59 | Goal Differential | 13 |
| L1 | Current Streak | W1 |
🚍 Road vs 🏠 Home
|
TBL (Road)
|
Metric |
EDM (Home)
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 24 | Wins | 22 |
| 53 | Points | 49 |
| 37 | Goal Differential | 3 |
🔥 Last 10 Games
|
TBL
|
Metric |
EDM
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-5-0 | Record | 6-2-2 |
| 10 | Points | 14 |
| 26 | Goals For | 32 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 23 |
| -4 | Goal Differential | 9 |
🥅 Last 10 Head-to-Head Games
|
TBL
|
H2H Summary |
EDM
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-4 | Record | 4-6 |
| 34 | Total Goals | 28 |
| +6 | Goal Differential | -6 |
| 3.4 | Goals / Game | 2.8 |
| 30.1 | Shots / Game | 34.5 |
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 |
Edmonton Oilers
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
1 - 2 | 25 - 35 | View |
| Feb 25, 2025 |
Edmonton Oilers
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
1 - 4 | 24 - 36 | View |
| Dec 10, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Edmonton Oilers
@
|
1 - 2 | 22 - 25 | View |
| Dec 14, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Edmonton Oilers
@
|
7 - 4 | 24 - 57 | View |
| Nov 18, 2023 |
Edmonton Oilers
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
4 - 6 | 42 - 24 | View |
| Jan 19, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Edmonton Oilers
@
|
3 - 5 | 31 - 34 | View |
| Nov 8, 2022 |
Edmonton Oilers
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
3 - 2 | 29 - 37 | View |
| Mar 12, 2022 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Edmonton Oilers
@
|
1 - 4 | 32 - 49 | View |
| Feb 23, 2022 |
Edmonton Oilers
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
3 - 5 | 30 - 23 | View |
| Feb 13, 2020 |
Edmonton Oilers
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
1 - 3 | 30 - 37 | View |
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.