Away team
Tampa Bay Lightning
54.6%
Fair American
-120
Fair decimal
1.83
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Edmonton Oilers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 21, 2026
NHL matchup
Tampa Bay Lightning at Edmonton Oilers
View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 21, 2026.
March 21, 2026
· 9:00 PM CST
Model favourite
Tampa Bay Lightning
at 54.6%
Prediction
Model versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Edmonton Oilers
45.4%
Fair American
+120
Fair decimal
2.2
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
TBL
|
Metric |
EDM
|
|---|---|---|
| 106 | Points | 93 |
| 0.646 | Points % | 0.567 |
| 290 | Goals for | 282 |
| 231 | Goals against | 269 |
| 59 | Goal differential | 13 |
| L1 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
TBL road
|
Metric |
EDM home
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 24 | Wins | 22 |
| 53 | Points | 49 |
| 37 | Goal differential | 3 |
Last 10 games
|
TBL
|
Metric |
EDM
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-5-0 | Record | 6-2-2 |
| 10 | Points | 14 |
| 26 | Goals for | 32 |
| 30 | Goals against | 23 |
| -4 | Goal differential | 9 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
TBL
6 wins
10
games reviewed
EDM
4 wins
Total goals34 – 28
Goal differential
+6
/
-6
Goals per game3.4 / 2.8
Shots per game30.1 / 34.5
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
1 - 2 | 25 - 35 | View |
| Feb 25, 2025 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
1 - 4 | 24 - 36 | View |
| Dec 10, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
1 - 2 | 22 - 25 | View |
| Dec 14, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
7 - 4 | 24 - 57 | View |
| Nov 18, 2023 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
4 - 6 | 42 - 24 | View |
| Jan 19, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
3 - 5 | 31 - 34 | View |
| Nov 8, 2022 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
3 - 2 | 29 - 37 | View |
| Mar 12, 2022 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
1 - 4 | 32 - 49 | View |
| Feb 23, 2022 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
3 - 5 | 30 - 23 | View |
| Feb 13, 2020 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
1 - 3 | 30 - 37 | View |