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Tampa Bay Lightning vs Columbus Blue Jackets prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 24, 2026

NHL matchup

Tampa Bay Lightning at Columbus Blue Jackets

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 24, 2026.

January 24, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

7-3-1

5
Final
Home

Columbus Blue Jackets

4-5-0

8
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 24. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Tampa Bay Lightning

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

149:40 together · 10 games

xG share58.5%
Corsi for / against
176 / 103
Fenwick for / against
130 / 73
Corsi share
63.1%
Fenwick share
64.0%
xG for / against
7.59 / 5.39
All observed combinations

Columbus Blue Jackets

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

88:27 together · 9 games

xG share56.1%
Corsi for / against
115 / 92
Fenwick for / against
76 / 60
Corsi share
55.6%
Fenwick share
55.9%
xG for / against
5.32 / 4.16
Defense pair

102:54 together · 9 games

xG share55.3%
Corsi for / against
110 / 98
Fenwick for / against
67 / 64
Corsi share
52.9%
Fenwick share
51.1%
xG for / against
4.40 / 3.56
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Andrei Vasilevskiy

Tampa Bay Lightning · Last start: Jan 23

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
110
Save %
94.5
Goals allowed
6
Close-range shots %
28.2

Jet Greaves

Columbus Blue Jackets · Last start: Jan 22

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
126
Save %
91.3
Goals allowed
11
Close-range shots %
31.0
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 24, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Tampa Bay Lightning

xG for / game
3.51
xG against / game
2.64
xG differential / game
0.87

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Columbus Blue Jackets

xG for / game
3.27
xG against / game
3.44
xG differential / game
-0.17

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 24, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Tampa Bay Lightning

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
62.2
Corsi share (%)
56.9
Fenwick share (%)
56.7
Faceoff win %
45.5
Penalties / game
4.6

Shots / game: 27.1 · Shooting: 14.8% · Avg distance: 32.0 ft

Columbus Blue Jackets

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
63.2
Corsi share (%)
49.3
Fenwick share (%)
50.4
Faceoff win %
50.1
Penalties / game
3.1

Shots / game: 30.0 · Shooting: 8.7% · Avg distance: 31.8 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Tampa Bay Lightning TBL
Metric
Columbus Blue Jackets CBJ
15Points8
0.682Points %0.444
38Goals for22
34Goals against30
4Goal differential-8
OT1Current streakW1
Road versus home
Tampa Bay Lightning TBL road
Metric
Columbus Blue Jackets CBJ home
6Games7
2Wins4
5Points8
-5Goal differential-5
Last 10 games
Tampa Bay Lightning TBL
Metric
Columbus Blue Jackets CBJ
7-2-1Record4-5-0
15Points8
37Goals for22
29Goals against30
8Goal differential-8
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Tampa Bay Lightning TBL 7 wins
10 games reviewed
Columbus Blue Jackets CBJ 3 wins
Total goals45 – 29
Goal differential +16 / -16
Goals per game4.5 / 2.9
Shots per game34.0 / 31.1
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Oct 18, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets
2 - 3 24 - 31 View
Mar 4, 2025
Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
2 - 6 33 - 40 View
Dec 17, 2024
Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
3 - 5 32 - 33 View
Nov 21, 2024
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets
6 - 7 30 - 43 View
Apr 9, 2024
Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
2 - 5 32 - 33 View
Feb 10, 2024
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets
4 - 2 37 - 35 View
Nov 2, 2023
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets
2 - 4 29 - 28 View
Jan 10, 2023
Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
3 - 6 24 - 46 View
Dec 15, 2022
Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
1 - 4 25 - 29 View
Oct 14, 2022
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets
5 - 2 39 - 28 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings TBL CBJ