Tampa Bay Lightning vs Calgary Flames prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 9, 2027

NHL matchup

Tampa Bay Lightning at Calgary Flames

View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 9, 2027.

January 9, 2027 · 2:30 PM CST
Model favourite Tampa Bay Lightning at 58.1%
Prediction

Model versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Tampa Bay Lightning logo
Away team

Tampa Bay Lightning

58.1%
Fair American -139
Fair decimal 1.72
Calculate value
Calgary Flames logo
Home team

Calgary Flames

41.9%
Fair American +139
Fair decimal 2.39
Calculate value
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Tampa Bay Lightning TBL
Metric
Calgary Flames CGY
106Points77
0.646Points %0.470
290Goals for212
231Goals against259
59Goal differential-47
L1Current streakW1
Road versus home
Tampa Bay Lightning TBL road
Metric
Calgary Flames CGY home
41Games41
24Wins23
53Points51
37Goal differential13
Last 10 games
Tampa Bay Lightning TBL
Metric
Calgary Flames CGY
5-5-0Record4-5-1
10Points9
26Goals for30
30Goals against37
-4Goal differential-7
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Tampa Bay Lightning TBL 5 wins
10 games reviewed
Calgary Flames CGY 5 wins
Total goals36 – 30
Goal differential +6 / -6
Goals per game3.6 / 3.0
Shots per game27.3 / 30.1
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 22, 2026
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
3 - 4 35 - 29 View
Nov 26, 2025
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
1 - 5 32 - 23 View
Feb 27, 2025
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
0 - 3 28 - 22 View
Dec 12, 2024
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
8 - 3 26 - 22 View
Mar 7, 2024
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
6 - 3 24 - 22 View
Dec 16, 2023
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
2 - 4 33 - 26 View
Jan 21, 2023
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
3 - 6 24 - 41 View
Nov 17, 2022
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
1 - 4 40 - 24 View
Mar 10, 2022
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
1 - 4 31 - 32 View
Jan 6, 2022
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
1 - 4 27 - 33 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.