Tampa Bay Lightning vs Calgary Flames prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 22, 2026
Get the playerWON NHL prediction for the Tampa Bay Lightning at Calgary Flames matchup on March 22, 2026. playerWON’s machine-learning model currently gives the Tampa Bay Lightning a 51.9% win probability.
🤖 Model favours Tampa Bay Lightning
(51.9%)
Compare market odds, fair odds, and value below.
March 22, 2026
Visitor Model vs Market
Tampa Bay Lightning
51.9%
Fair American: -108
Fair Decimal: 1.93
Calculate Value →
📊 Season Overview
|
TBL
|
Metric |
CGY
|
|---|---|---|
| 106 | Points | 77 |
| 0.646 | Points % | 0.470 |
| 290 | Goals For | 212 |
| 231 | Goals Against | 259 |
| 59 | Goal Differential | -47 |
| L1 | Current Streak | W1 |
🚍 Road vs 🏠 Home
|
TBL (Road)
|
Metric |
CGY (Home)
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 24 | Wins | 23 |
| 53 | Points | 51 |
| 37 | Goal Differential | 13 |
🔥 Last 10 Games
|
TBL
|
Metric |
CGY
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-5-0 | Record | 4-5-1 |
| 10 | Points | 9 |
| 26 | Goals For | 30 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 37 |
| -4 | Goal Differential | -7 |
🥅 Last 10 Head-to-Head Games
|
TBL
|
H2H Summary |
CGY
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-4 | Record | 4-6 |
| 37 | Total Goals | 29 |
| +8 | Goal Differential | -8 |
| 3.7 | Goals / Game | 2.9 |
| 27.1 | Shots / Game | 29.3 |
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 |
Calgary Flames
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
1 - 5 | 32 - 23 | View |
| Feb 27, 2025 |
Calgary Flames
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
0 - 3 | 28 - 22 | View |
| Dec 12, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Calgary Flames
@
|
8 - 3 | 26 - 22 | View |
| Mar 7, 2024 |
Calgary Flames
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
6 - 3 | 24 - 22 | View |
| Dec 16, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Calgary Flames
@
|
2 - 4 | 33 - 26 | View |
| Jan 21, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Calgary Flames
@
|
3 - 6 | 24 - 41 | View |
| Nov 17, 2022 |
Calgary Flames
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
1 - 4 | 40 - 24 | View |
| Mar 10, 2022 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Calgary Flames
@
|
1 - 4 | 31 - 32 | View |
| Jan 6, 2022 |
Calgary Flames
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
1 - 4 | 27 - 33 | View |
| Feb 29, 2020 |
Calgary Flames
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
3 - 4 | 21 - 33 | View |
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.