Away team
Tampa Bay Lightning
51.9%
Fair American
-108
Fair decimal
1.93
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Calgary Flames prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 22, 2026
NHL matchup
Tampa Bay Lightning at Calgary Flames
View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 22, 2026.
March 22, 2026
· 7:00 PM CST
Model favourite
Tampa Bay Lightning
at 51.9%
Prediction
Model versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Calgary Flames
48.1%
Fair American
+108
Fair decimal
2.08
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
TBL
|
Metric |
CGY
|
|---|---|---|
| 106 | Points | 77 |
| 0.646 | Points % | 0.470 |
| 290 | Goals for | 212 |
| 231 | Goals against | 259 |
| 59 | Goal differential | -47 |
| L1 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
TBL road
|
Metric |
CGY home
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 24 | Wins | 23 |
| 53 | Points | 51 |
| 37 | Goal differential | 13 |
Last 10 games
|
TBL
|
Metric |
CGY
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-5-0 | Record | 4-5-1 |
| 10 | Points | 9 |
| 26 | Goals for | 30 |
| 30 | Goals against | 37 |
| -4 | Goal differential | -7 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
TBL
6 wins
10
games reviewed
CGY
4 wins
Total goals37 – 29
Goal differential
+8
/
-8
Goals per game3.7 / 2.9
Shots per game27.1 / 29.3
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 |
Calgary Flames
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
1 - 5 | 32 - 23 | View |
| Feb 27, 2025 |
Calgary Flames
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
0 - 3 | 28 - 22 | View |
| Dec 12, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Calgary Flames
|
8 - 3 | 26 - 22 | View |
| Mar 7, 2024 |
Calgary Flames
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
6 - 3 | 24 - 22 | View |
| Dec 16, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Calgary Flames
|
2 - 4 | 33 - 26 | View |
| Jan 21, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Calgary Flames
|
3 - 6 | 24 - 41 | View |
| Nov 17, 2022 |
Calgary Flames
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
1 - 4 | 40 - 24 | View |
| Mar 10, 2022 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Calgary Flames
|
1 - 4 | 31 - 32 | View |
| Jan 6, 2022 |
Calgary Flames
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
1 - 4 | 27 - 33 | View |
| Feb 29, 2020 |
Calgary Flames
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
3 - 4 | 21 - 33 | View |