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Seattle Kraken vs Edmonton Oilers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for November 27, 2026

NHL matchup

Seattle Kraken at Edmonton Oilers

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for November 27, 2026.

November 27, 2026 · 7:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick: Seattle Kraken at 52.8%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Seattle Kraken logo
Away team

Seattle Kraken

52.8%
Fair American -112
Fair decimal 1.89
Calculate value
Edmonton Oilers logo
Home team

Edmonton Oilers

47.2%
Fair American +112
Fair decimal 2.12
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Nov 27, 2026.

All Model Picks

Bets
5
Record
4-1
Net units
2.88
ROI
57.7%

Value Picks

Bets
10
Record
5-5
Net units
1.57
ROI
15.7%

Market Favourite

Bets
2
Record
2-0
Net units
1.59
ROI
79.6%

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 27. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Seattle Kraken

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

81:54 together · 10 games

xG share56.9%
Corsi for / against
86 / 90
Fenwick for / against
62 / 61
Corsi share
48.9%
Fenwick share
50.4%
xG for / against
4.48 / 3.40
Defense pair

152:33 together · 10 games

xG share37.4%
Corsi for / against
117 / 221
Fenwick for / against
81 / 162
Corsi share
34.6%
Fenwick share
33.3%
xG for / against
5.10 / 8.52
All observed combinations

Edmonton Oilers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

141:59 together · 10 games

xG share47.1%
Corsi for / against
88 / 130
Fenwick for / against
63 / 90
Corsi share
40.4%
Fenwick share
41.2%
xG for / against
4.22 / 4.74
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Joey Daccord

Seattle Kraken · Last start: Oct 24

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
162
Save %
87.0
Goals allowed
21
Close-range shots %
34.0

Tristan Jarry

Edmonton Oilers · Last start: Oct 24

4 / 4 appearances covered

Shots faced
102
Save %
85.3
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
25.5
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 27, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Seattle Kraken

xG for / game
2.74
xG against / game
3.63
xG differential / game
-0.89

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Edmonton Oilers

xG for / game
3.09
xG against / game
2.91
xG differential / game
0.19

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 27, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Seattle Kraken

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
51.3
Corsi share (%)
42.3
Fenwick share (%)
43.4
Faceoff win %
52.5
Penalties / game
3.6

Shots / game: 26.2 · Shooting: 13.7% · Avg distance: 34.6 ft

Edmonton Oilers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
52.8
Corsi share (%)
47.9
Fenwick share (%)
48.5
Faceoff win %
49.1
Penalties / game
3.7

Shots / game: 24.4 · Shooting: 17.6% · Avg distance: 32.8 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Seattle Kraken SEA
Metric
Edmonton Oilers EDM
15Points17
0.625Points %0.773
45Goals for49
42Goals against39
3Goal differential10
L1Current streakL1
Road versus home
Seattle Kraken SEA road
Metric
Edmonton Oilers EDM home
7Games6
4Wins3
9Points7
3Goal differential-4
Last 10 games
Seattle Kraken SEA
Metric
Edmonton Oilers EDM
6-3-1Record8-2-0
13Points16
38Goals for44
38Goals against33
0Goal differential11
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Seattle Kraken SEA 2 wins
10 games reviewed
Edmonton Oilers EDM 8 wins
Total goals23 – 37
Goal differential -14 / +14
Goals per game2.3 / 3.7
Shots per game26.8 / 29.2
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Oct 3, 2026
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
1 - 3 20 - 25 View
Mar 31, 2026
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
0 - 3 27 - 24 View
Dec 4, 2025
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
4 - 9 32 - 32 View
Nov 29, 2025
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
4 - 0 25 - 26 View
Oct 25, 2025
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
2 - 3 33 - 23 View
Mar 27, 2025
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
1 - 6 37 - 37 View
Mar 22, 2025
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
4 - 5 32 - 29 View
Jan 27, 2025
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
2 - 4 28 - 31 View
Jan 4, 2025
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
4 - 2 32 - 18 View
Mar 2, 2024
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
2 - 1 24 - 25 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.