Skip to content

Philadelphia Flyers vs Seattle Kraken prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 29, 2026

NHL matchup

Philadelphia Flyers at Seattle Kraken

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 29, 2026.

December 29, 2026 · 9:40 PM MBT
Away

Philadelphia Flyers

5-10-5

45.0%
at
Home

Seattle Kraken

9-6-1

55.0% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Seattle Kraken at 55.0%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Philadelphia Flyers logo
Away team

Philadelphia Flyers

45.0%
Fair American +122
Fair decimal 2.22
Calculate value
Seattle Kraken logo
Home team

Seattle Kraken

55.0%
Fair American -122
Fair decimal 1.82
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 29, 2026.

Seattle Kraken

All Model Picks

Bets
8
Record
5-3
Net units
1.66
ROI
20.7%

Value Picks

Bets
14
Record
7-7
Net units
1.54
ROI
11.0%

Market Favourite

Bets
4
Record
3-1
Net units
1.37
ROI
34.2%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 29. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Philadelphia Flyers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

76:15 together · 9 games

xG share55.6%
Corsi for / against
55 / 68
Fenwick for / against
33 / 41
Corsi share
44.7%
Fenwick share
44.6%
xG for / against
2.69 / 2.14
Defense pair

106:10 together · 10 games

xG share49.9%
Corsi for / against
95 / 92
Fenwick for / against
69 / 66
Corsi share
50.8%
Fenwick share
51.1%
xG for / against
4.73 / 4.75
All observed combinations

Seattle Kraken

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

65:33 together · 8 games

xG share41.5%
Corsi for / against
50 / 69
Fenwick for / against
35 / 47
Corsi share
42.0%
Fenwick share
42.7%
xG for / against
2.06 / 2.90
Defense pair

148:29 together · 9 games

xG share47.5%
Corsi for / against
127 / 156
Fenwick for / against
98 / 114
Corsi share
44.9%
Fenwick share
46.2%
xG for / against
6.04 / 6.68
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Season goaltending

Every recorded goalie

Regular-season records for each team in 2026–27, before Dec 29, 2026. Includes recorded backups. Games played require ice time; stats cover only games with this team.

Philadelphia Flyers

D. Vladar
GP
10
Starts
10
Wins
3
Save %
0.880
GAA
3.27
J. Woll
GP
10
Starts
10
Wins
2
Save %
0.901
GAA
2.91
Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Joseph Woll

Philadelphia Flyers · Last start: Nov 9

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
129
Save %
88.4
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
31.0

Joey Daccord

Seattle Kraken · Last start: Nov 7

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
121
Save %
85.1
Goals allowed
18
Close-range shots %
27.3
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 29, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Philadelphia Flyers

xG for / game
3.06
xG against / game
3.11
xG differential / game
-0.04

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Seattle Kraken

xG for / game
2.52
xG against / game
3.29
xG differential / game
-0.76

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 29, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Philadelphia Flyers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
56.8
Corsi share (%)
50.5
Fenwick share (%)
49.7
Faceoff win %
50.6
Penalties / game
3.8

Shots / game: 26.3 · Shooting: 11.8% · Avg distance: 29.5 ft

Seattle Kraken

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
51.0
Corsi share (%)
44.6
Fenwick share (%)
44.5
Faceoff win %
52.6
Penalties / game
3.1

Shots / game: 25.3 · Shooting: 11.5% · Avg distance: 33.8 ft

Skaters versus this opponent

Hot & cold against the other team

Up to five skaters per team, ranked by the largest change in points per game against this opponent versus other opponents. Uses the last five meetings per player within this season and the previous two seasons, before Dec 29, 2026.

Philadelphia Flyers

C. York Hot · +1.07 P/GP

3 games vs Seattle Kraken · 1.33 points/game
0.27 points/game across 150 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
3
Points
4
Shots / game
1.0
T. Konecny Cold · -0.65 P/GP

4 games vs Seattle Kraken · 0.25 points/game
0.90 points/game across 165 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
0
Points
1
Shots / game
2.3
C. Grundstrom Hot · +0.48 P/GP

3 games vs Seattle Kraken · 0.67 points/game
0.19 points/game across 105 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
0
Points
2
Shots / game
2.7
M. Bunting Cold · -0.47 P/GP

4 games vs Seattle Kraken · 0.00 points/game
0.47 points/game across 155 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
0.5
C. Dvorak Cold · -0.33 P/GP

5 games vs Seattle Kraken · 0.20 points/game
0.53 points/game across 177 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
0
Points
1
Shots / game
1.2

Seattle Kraken

C. Stephenson Hot · +0.57 P/GP

5 games vs Philadelphia Flyers · 1.20 points/game
0.63 points/game across 169 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
4
Points
6
Shots / game
1.2
F. Gaudreau Cold · -0.44 P/GP

4 games vs Philadelphia Flyers · 0.00 points/game
0.44 points/game across 162 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
0.8
K. Kakko Cold · -0.37 P/GP

4 games vs Philadelphia Flyers · 0.25 points/game
0.62 points/game across 156 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
1
Points
1
Shots / game
0.5
J. Eberle Hot · +0.35 P/GP

5 games vs Philadelphia Flyers · 1.00 points/game
0.65 points/game across 133 games vs other opponents

Goals
3
Assists
2
Points
5
Shots / game
2.0
M. Samoskevich Cold · -0.26 P/GP

5 games vs Philadelphia Flyers · 0.20 points/game
0.46 points/game across 159 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
1
Points
1
Shots / game
1.8
How hot and cold are measuredSample requirements, player selection and limitations

Hot means a higher points-per-game rate against this opponent; cold means a lower rate. The comparison uses other opponents over the same three-season window. Only players whose most recent recorded team this season matches this matchup are considered; this does not confirm tonight's lineup. History includes appearances for former teams. Players with no meaningful rate difference are omitted from the highlights; the full breakdown includes them. These small, unadjusted historical samples describe past production, not a forecast or a statistically established matchup advantage.

Want the full picture?

See every recorded skater from both teams, including players with limited opponent history.

View all players vs opponent →
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
Metric
Seattle Kraken SEA
15Points19
0.375Points %0.594
45Goals for57
66Goals against57
-21Goal differential0
W1Current streakL1
Road versus home
Philadelphia Flyers PHI road
Metric
Seattle Kraken SEA home
10Games8
2Wins5
6Points10
-11Goal differential1
Last 10 games
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
Metric
Seattle Kraken SEA
4-4-2Record5-4-1
10Points11
31Goals for31
32Goals against40
-1Goal differential-9
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Philadelphia Flyers PHI 3 wins
10 games reviewed
Seattle Kraken SEA 7 wins
Total goals25 – 35
Goal differential -10 / +10
Goals per game2.5 / 3.5
Shots per game25.9 / 27.0
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Oct 13, 2026
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
3 - 2 31 - 26 View
Dec 28, 2025
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
1 - 4 32 - 20 View
Oct 20, 2025
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
2 - 5 23 - 27 View
Mar 8, 2025
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
4 - 1 32 - 24 View
Oct 17, 2024
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
4 - 6 25 - 29 View
Feb 10, 2024
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
2 - 3 19 - 38 View
Dec 29, 2023
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
1 - 2 28 - 29 View
Feb 16, 2023
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
2 - 6 19 - 30 View
Feb 12, 2023
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
4 - 3 21 - 18 View
Dec 29, 2021
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
3 - 2 22 - 36 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings PHI SEA