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Philadelphia Flyers vs Boston Bruins prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 20, 2026

NHL matchup

Philadelphia Flyers at Boston Bruins

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 20, 2026.

December 20, 2026 · 1:00 PM MBT
Away

Philadelphia Flyers

5-10-5

32.4%
at
Home

Boston Bruins

13-4-1

67.6% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Boston Bruins at 67.6%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Philadelphia Flyers logo
Away team

Philadelphia Flyers

32.4%
Fair American +209
Fair decimal 3.09
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 20, 2026.

Boston Bruins

All Model Picks

Bets
11
Record
9-2
Net units
5.21
ROI
47.4%

Value Picks

Bets
10
Record
6-4
Net units
1.51
ROI
15.1%

Market Favourite

Bets
8
Record
8-0
Net units
5.88
ROI
73.6%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 20. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Philadelphia Flyers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

76:15 together · 9 games

xG share55.6%
Corsi for / against
55 / 68
Fenwick for / against
33 / 41
Corsi share
44.7%
Fenwick share
44.6%
xG for / against
2.69 / 2.14
Defense pair

106:10 together · 10 games

xG share49.9%
Corsi for / against
95 / 92
Fenwick for / against
69 / 66
Corsi share
50.8%
Fenwick share
51.1%
xG for / against
4.73 / 4.75
All observed combinations

Boston Bruins

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

101:43 together · 9 games

xG share52.7%
Corsi for / against
77 / 102
Fenwick for / against
66 / 75
Corsi share
43.0%
Fenwick share
46.8%
xG for / against
5.88 / 5.27
Defense pair

144:02 together · 10 games

xG share64.0%
Corsi for / against
139 / 110
Fenwick for / against
105 / 72
Corsi share
55.8%
Fenwick share
59.3%
xG for / against
7.51 / 4.22
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Season goaltending

Every recorded goalie

Regular-season records for each team in 2026–27, before Dec 20, 2026. Includes recorded backups. Games played require ice time; stats cover only games with this team.

Philadelphia Flyers

D. Vladar
GP
10
Starts
10
Wins
3
Save %
0.880
GAA
3.27
J. Woll
GP
10
Starts
10
Wins
2
Save %
0.901
GAA
2.91
Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Joseph Woll

Philadelphia Flyers · Last start: Nov 9

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
129
Save %
88.4
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
31.0

Jeremy Swayman

Boston Bruins · Last start: Nov 8

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
140
Save %
90.7
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
35.7
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 20, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Philadelphia Flyers

xG for / game
3.06
xG against / game
3.11
xG differential / game
-0.04

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Boston Bruins

xG for / game
3.26
xG against / game
3.21
xG differential / game
0.05

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 20, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Philadelphia Flyers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
56.8
Corsi share (%)
50.5
Fenwick share (%)
49.7
Faceoff win %
50.6
Penalties / game
3.8

Shots / game: 26.3 · Shooting: 11.8% · Avg distance: 29.5 ft

Boston Bruins

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
54.9
Corsi share (%)
48.8
Fenwick share (%)
49.7
Faceoff win %
57.8
Penalties / game
4.9

Shots / game: 28.1 · Shooting: 13.2% · Avg distance: 32.4 ft

Skaters versus this opponent

Hot & cold against the other team

Up to five skaters per team, ranked by the largest change in points per game against this opponent versus other opponents. Uses the last five meetings per player within this season and the previous two seasons, before Dec 20, 2026.

Philadelphia Flyers

C. Dvorak Hot · +0.70 P/GP

5 games vs Boston Bruins · 1.20 points/game
0.50 points/game across 175 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
4
Points
6
Shots / game
0.8
T. Zegras Cold · -0.53 P/GP

5 games vs Boston Bruins · 0.20 points/game
0.73 points/game across 152 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
1
Points
1
Shots / game
1.2
M. Bunting Cold · -0.47 P/GP

3 games vs Boston Bruins · 0.00 points/game
0.47 points/game across 156 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
2.3
O. Tippett Cold · -0.38 P/GP

5 games vs Boston Bruins · 0.20 points/game
0.58 points/game across 165 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
1
Points
1
Shots / game
2.8
T. Foerster Cold · -0.32 P/GP

5 games vs Boston Bruins · 0.20 points/game
0.52 points/game across 124 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
0
Points
1
Shots / game
0.8

Boston Bruins

F. Minten Hot · +1.11 P/GP

4 games vs Philadelphia Flyers · 1.50 points/game
0.39 points/game across 117 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
4
Points
6
Shots / game
1.8
D. Pastrnak Cold · -0.73 P/GP

5 games vs Philadelphia Flyers · 0.60 points/game
1.33 points/game across 170 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
3
Points
3
Shots / game
2.8
J. Peterka Hot · +0.69 P/GP

5 games vs Philadelphia Flyers · 1.40 points/game
0.71 points/game across 171 games vs other opponents

Goals
3
Assists
4
Points
7
Shots / game
1.8
C. Mittelstadt Hot · +0.69 P/GP

5 games vs Philadelphia Flyers · 1.20 points/game
0.51 points/game across 164 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
4
Points
6
Shots / game
1.2
J. Aspirot Hot · +0.49 P/GP

3 games vs Philadelphia Flyers · 0.67 points/game
0.17 points/game across 64 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
2
Points
2
Shots / game
0.3
How hot and cold are measuredSample requirements, player selection and limitations

Hot means a higher points-per-game rate against this opponent; cold means a lower rate. The comparison uses other opponents over the same three-season window. Only players whose most recent recorded team this season matches this matchup are considered; this does not confirm tonight's lineup. History includes appearances for former teams. Players with no meaningful rate difference are omitted from the highlights; the full breakdown includes them. These small, unadjusted historical samples describe past production, not a forecast or a statistically established matchup advantage.

Want the full picture?

See every recorded skater from both teams, including players with limited opponent history.

View all players vs opponent →
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
Metric
Boston Bruins BOS
15Points27
0.375Points %0.750
45Goals for68
66Goals against41
-21Goal differential27
W1Current streakW4
Road versus home
Philadelphia Flyers PHI road
Metric
Boston Bruins BOS home
10Games9
2Wins8
6Points16
-11Goal differential22
Last 10 games
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
Metric
Boston Bruins BOS
4-4-2Record7-2-1
10Points15
31Goals for38
32Goals against23
-1Goal differential15
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Philadelphia Flyers PHI 4 wins
10 games reviewed
Boston Bruins BOS 6 wins
Total goals24 – 34
Goal differential -10 / +10
Goals per game2.4 / 3.4
Shots per game25.9 / 27.0
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Oct 10, 2026
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
1 - 5 15 - 32 View
Apr 5, 2026
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
1 - 2 19 - 31 View
Feb 28, 2026
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
1 - 3 27 - 17 View
Jan 29, 2026
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
3 - 6 36 - 27 View
Dec 7, 2024
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
3 - 4 26 - 31 View
Nov 2, 2024
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
3 - 0 31 - 20 View
Oct 29, 2024
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
2 - 0 19 - 25 View
Mar 23, 2024
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
2 - 3 20 - 29 View
Mar 16, 2024
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
5 - 6 29 - 30 View
Jan 27, 2024
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
6 - 2 28 - 37 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings PHI BOS