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New York Rangers vs Chicago Blackhawks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for November 27, 2026

NHL matchup

New York Rangers at Chicago Blackhawks

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for November 27, 2026.

November 27, 2026 · 5:30 PM MBT
Away

New York Rangers

10-8-1

50.0% Model pick
at
Home

Chicago Blackhawks

4-13-1

50.0%
Model V2 pick: New York Rangers at 50.0%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

New York Rangers logo
Away team

New York Rangers

50.0%
Fair American -100
Fair decimal 2.0
Calculate value
Chicago Blackhawks logo
Home team

Chicago Blackhawks

50.0%
Fair American -100
Fair decimal 2.0
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Nov 27, 2026.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 27. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

New York Rangers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

149:50 together · 10 games

xG share58.2%
Corsi for / against
154 / 142
Fenwick for / against
108 / 105
Corsi share
52.0%
Fenwick share
50.7%
xG for / against
6.82 / 4.90
All observed combinations

Chicago Blackhawks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

110:39 together · 10 games

xG share29.7%
Corsi for / against
86 / 116
Fenwick for / against
61 / 93
Corsi share
42.6%
Fenwick share
39.6%
xG for / against
3.37 / 7.95
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Season goaltending

Every recorded goalie

Regular-season records for each team in 2026–27, before Nov 27, 2026. Includes recorded backups. Games played require ice time; stats cover only games with this team.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Dylan Garand

New York Rangers · Last start: Nov 9

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
117
Save %
91.5
Goals allowed
10
Close-range shots %
27.4

Spencer Knight

Chicago Blackhawks · Last start: Nov 7

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
129
Save %
86.0
Goals allowed
18
Close-range shots %
39.5
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 27, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

New York Rangers

xG for / game
3.43
xG against / game
2.86
xG differential / game
0.56

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Chicago Blackhawks

xG for / game
2.58
xG against / game
3.73
xG differential / game
-1.15

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 27, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

New York Rangers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
59.0
Corsi share (%)
51.3
Fenwick share (%)
51.0
Faceoff win %
54.1
Penalties / game
3.6

Shots / game: 28.4 · Shooting: 9.9% · Avg distance: 29.7 ft

Chicago Blackhawks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
52.6
Corsi share (%)
47.5
Fenwick share (%)
45.1
Faceoff win %
40.2
Penalties / game
4.0

Shots / game: 23.9 · Shooting: 7.5% · Avg distance: 32.9 ft

Skaters versus this opponent

Hot & cold against the other team

Up to five skaters per team, ranked by the largest change in points per game against this opponent versus other opponents. Uses the last five meetings per player within this season and the previous two seasons, before Nov 27, 2026.

New York Rangers

J. Miller Hot · +1.17 P/GP

4 games vs Chicago Blackhawks · 2.00 points/game
0.83 points/game across 155 games vs other opponents

Goals
3
Assists
5
Points
8
Shots / game
2.8
M. Zibanejad Cold · -0.62 P/GP

4 games vs Chicago Blackhawks · 0.25 points/game
0.87 points/game across 178 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
1
Points
1
Shots / game
2.3
S. Durzi Cold · -0.43 P/GP

5 games vs Chicago Blackhawks · 0.00 points/game
0.43 points/game across 97 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
0.8
P. Dorofeyev Hot · +0.31 P/GP

5 games vs Chicago Blackhawks · 1.00 points/game
0.69 points/game across 177 games vs other opponents

Goals
4
Assists
1
Points
5
Shots / game
2.4
M. Pettersson Hot · +0.23 P/GP

4 games vs Chicago Blackhawks · 0.50 points/game
0.27 points/game across 175 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
2
Points
2
Shots / game
0.8

Chicago Blackhawks

P. Kane Cold · -0.63 P/GP

5 games vs New York Rangers · 0.20 points/game
0.83 points/game across 148 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
1
Points
1
Shots / game
4.6
T. Teravainen Cold · -0.59 P/GP

4 games vs New York Rangers · 0.00 points/game
0.59 points/game across 168 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.3
R. Donato Cold · -0.55 P/GP

4 games vs New York Rangers · 0.00 points/game
0.55 points/game across 176 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
2.0
A. Mangiapane Hot · +0.51 P/GP

5 games vs New York Rangers · 0.80 points/game
0.29 points/game across 143 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
3
Points
4
Shots / game
1.2
T. Bertuzzi Hot · +0.39 P/GP

4 games vs New York Rangers · 1.00 points/game
0.61 points/game across 175 games vs other opponents

Goals
3
Assists
1
Points
4
Shots / game
2.8
How hot and cold are measuredSample requirements, player selection and limitations

Hot means a higher points-per-game rate against this opponent; cold means a lower rate. The comparison uses other opponents over the same three-season window. Only players whose most recent recorded team this season matches this matchup are considered; this does not confirm tonight's lineup. History includes appearances for former teams. Players with no meaningful rate difference are omitted from the highlights; the full breakdown includes them. These small, unadjusted historical samples describe past production, not a forecast or a statistically established matchup advantage.

Want the full picture?

See every recorded skater from both teams, including players with limited opponent history.

View all players vs opponent →
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
New York Rangers NYR
Metric
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
21Points9
0.553Points %0.250
56Goals for39
55Goals against76
1Goal differential-37
L1Current streakL4
Road versus home
New York Rangers NYR road
Metric
Chicago Blackhawks CHI home
9Games9
2Wins4
5Points8
-15Goal differential-8
Last 10 games
New York Rangers NYR
Metric
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
4-5-1Record1-8-1
9Points3
28Goals for18
34Goals against44
-6Goal differential-26
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

New York Rangers NYR 7 wins
10 games reviewed
Chicago Blackhawks CHI 3 wins
Total goals39 – 22
Goal differential +17 / -17
Goals per game3.9 / 2.2
Shots per game30.6 / 27.0
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 27, 2026
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at New York Rangers New York Rangers
1 - 6 28 - 39 View
Dec 10, 2025
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
0 - 3 21 - 25 View
Jan 5, 2025
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
6 - 2 34 - 27 View
Dec 9, 2024
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at New York Rangers New York Rangers
2 - 1 32 - 30 View
Feb 9, 2024
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
4 - 3 35 - 31 View
Jan 4, 2024
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at New York Rangers New York Rangers
1 - 4 23 - 32 View
Dec 18, 2022
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
7 - 1 26 - 30 View
Dec 3, 2022
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at New York Rangers New York Rangers
5 - 2 21 - 28 View
Dec 7, 2021
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
6 - 2 30 - 26 View
Dec 4, 2021
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at New York Rangers New York Rangers
2 - 3 27 - 31 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings NYR CHI