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New York Islanders vs Edmonton Oilers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 9, 2027

NHL matchup

New York Islanders at Edmonton Oilers

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 9, 2027.

January 9, 2027 · 2:30 PM CST
Away

New York Islanders

5-4-2

41.6%
at
Home

Edmonton Oilers

8-2-1

58.4% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Edmonton Oilers at 58.4%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

New York Islanders logo
Away team

New York Islanders

41.6%
Fair American +140
Fair decimal 2.4
Calculate value
Edmonton Oilers logo
Home team

Edmonton Oilers

58.4%
Fair American -140
Fair decimal 1.71
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Jan 9, 2027.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 9. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

New York Islanders

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

54:55 together · 7 games

xG share46.9%
Corsi for / against
51 / 56
Fenwick for / against
37 / 43
Corsi share
47.7%
Fenwick share
46.3%
xG for / against
2.96 / 3.35
Defense pair

121:23 together · 10 games

xG share56.3%
Corsi for / against
126 / 86
Fenwick for / against
86 / 63
Corsi share
59.4%
Fenwick share
57.7%
xG for / against
5.72 / 4.44
All observed combinations

Edmonton Oilers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

141:59 together · 10 games

xG share47.1%
Corsi for / against
88 / 130
Fenwick for / against
63 / 90
Corsi share
40.4%
Fenwick share
41.2%
xG for / against
4.22 / 4.74
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Ilya Sorokin

New York Islanders · Last start: Oct 25

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
135
Save %
88.9
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
28.1

Tristan Jarry

Edmonton Oilers · Last start: Oct 24

4 / 4 appearances covered

Shots faced
102
Save %
85.3
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
25.5
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 9, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

New York Islanders

xG for / game
2.97
xG against / game
3.30
xG differential / game
-0.33

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Edmonton Oilers

xG for / game
3.09
xG against / game
2.91
xG differential / game
0.19

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 9, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

New York Islanders

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
54.0
Corsi share (%)
49.2
Fenwick share (%)
48.7
Faceoff win %
56.0
Penalties / game
4.5

Shots / game: 26.0 · Shooting: 11.9% · Avg distance: 33.5 ft

Edmonton Oilers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
52.8
Corsi share (%)
47.9
Fenwick share (%)
48.5
Faceoff win %
49.1
Penalties / game
3.7

Shots / game: 24.4 · Shooting: 17.6% · Avg distance: 32.8 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
New York Islanders NYI
Metric
Edmonton Oilers EDM
12Points17
0.545Points %0.773
32Goals for49
29Goals against39
3Goal differential10
L1Current streakL1
Road versus home
New York Islanders NYI road
Metric
Edmonton Oilers EDM home
5Games6
1Wins3
3Points7
-5Goal differential-4
Last 10 games
New York Islanders NYI
Metric
Edmonton Oilers EDM
5-3-2Record8-2-0
12Points16
31Goals for44
27Goals against33
4Goal differential11
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

New York Islanders NYI 5 wins
10 games reviewed
Edmonton Oilers EDM 5 wins
Total goals22 – 22
Goal differential 0 / 0
Goals per game2.2 / 2.2
Shots per game26.4 / 35.0
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 15, 2026
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
1 - 0 18 - 35 View
Oct 16, 2025
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at New York Islanders New York Islanders
2 - 4 33 - 25 View
Mar 14, 2025
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at New York Islanders New York Islanders
2 - 1 35 - 25 View
Nov 12, 2024
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
3 - 4 22 - 42 View
Dec 19, 2023
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at New York Islanders New York Islanders
1 - 3 31 - 21 View
Nov 13, 2023
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
1 - 4 33 - 32 View
Jan 5, 2023
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
2 - 4 22 - 38 View
Nov 23, 2022
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at New York Islanders New York Islanders
0 - 3 49 - 31 View
Feb 11, 2022
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
1 - 3 38 - 36 View
Jan 1, 2022
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at New York Islanders New York Islanders
2 - 3 19 - 29 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
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