Forward trio
78:01 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 53 / 77
- Fenwick for / against
- 44 / 67
- Corsi share
- 40.8%
- Fenwick share
- 39.6%
- xG for / against
- 3.54 / 4.62
Nashville Predators vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 29, 2026
NHL matchup
Nashville Predators at Tampa Bay Lightning
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 29, 2026.
March 29, 2026
· 4:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 29. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Nashville Predators
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
132:52 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 86 / 141
- Fenwick for / against
- 64 / 111
- Corsi share
- 37.9%
- Fenwick share
- 36.6%
- xG for / against
- 4.55 / 6.78
Tampa Bay Lightning
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
84:00 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 69 / 64
- Fenwick for / against
- 43 / 46
- Corsi share
- 51.9%
- Fenwick share
- 48.3%
- xG for / against
- 2.60 / 2.55
Defense pair
131:39 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 176 / 88
- Fenwick for / against
- 123 / 73
- Corsi share
- 66.7%
- Fenwick share
- 62.8%
- xG for / against
- 6.73 / 3.99
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Juuse Saros
Nashville Predators · Last start: Mar 28
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 157
- Save %
- 90.4
- Goals allowed
- 15
- Close-range shots %
- 31.8
Andrei Vasilevskiy
Tampa Bay Lightning · Last start: Mar 28
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 121
- Save %
- 89.3
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 27.3
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 29, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Nashville Predators
- xG for / game
- 2.69
- xG against / game
- 3.68
- xG differential / game
- -0.98
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Tampa Bay Lightning
- xG for / game
- 2.89
- xG against / game
- 2.73
- xG differential / game
- 0.16
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 29, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Nashville Predators
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 51.7
- Corsi share (%)
- 45.0
- Fenwick share (%)
- 43.4
- Faceoff win %
- 45.5
- Penalties / game
- 3.8
Shots / game: 23.7 · Shooting: 12.7% · Avg distance: 32.3 ft
Tampa Bay Lightning
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 62.1
- Corsi share (%)
- 55.4
- Fenwick share (%)
- 52.4
- Faceoff win %
- 51.2
- Penalties / game
- 3.8
Shots / game: 27.2 · Shooting: 15.1% · Avg distance: 32.9 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
NSH
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Points | 15 |
| 0.545 | Points % | 0.682 |
| 31 | Goals for | 38 |
| 35 | Goals against | 34 |
| -4 | Goal differential | 4 |
| W1 | Current streak | OT1 |
Road versus home
|
NSH road
|
Metric |
TBL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 5 |
| 1 | Wins | 5 |
| 5 | Points | 10 |
| -6 | Goal differential | 9 |
Last 10 games
|
NSH
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 4-2-4 | Record | 7-2-1 |
| 12 | Points | 15 |
| 30 | Goals for | 37 |
| 32 | Goals against | 29 |
| -2 | Goal differential | 8 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
NSH
2 wins
10
games reviewed
TBL
8 wins
Total goals29 – 36
Goal differential
-7
/
+7
Goals per game2.9 / 3.6
Shots per game28.8 / 32.1
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Nashville Predators
|
5 - 2 | 32 - 20 | View |
| Nov 29, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Nashville Predators
|
3 - 2 | 28 - 31 | View |
| Oct 28, 2024 |
Nashville Predators
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
2 - 3 | 37 - 27 | View |
| Dec 7, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Nashville Predators
|
1 - 5 | 33 - 30 | View |
| Oct 10, 2023 |
Nashville Predators
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
3 - 5 | 31 - 34 | View |
| Dec 8, 2022 |
Nashville Predators
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
2 - 5 | 36 - 33 | View |
| Nov 19, 2022 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Nashville Predators
|
3 - 2 | 39 - 32 | View |
| Apr 23, 2022 |
Nashville Predators
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
2 - 6 | 21 - 39 | View |
| Feb 26, 2022 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Nashville Predators
|
3 - 2 | 33 - 28 | View |
| Apr 13, 2021 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Nashville Predators
|
2 - 7 | 23 - 22 | View |