Forward trio
103:26 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 124 / 103
- Fenwick for / against
- 100 / 73
- Corsi share
- 54.6%
- Fenwick share
- 57.8%
- xG for / against
- 5.83 / 5.39
Montréal Canadiens vs Carolina Hurricanes prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 29, 2026
NHL matchup
Montréal Canadiens at Carolina Hurricanes
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 29, 2026.
March 29, 2026
· 4:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 29. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Montréal Canadiens
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
138:22 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 117 / 159
- Fenwick for / against
- 93 / 114
- Corsi share
- 42.4%
- Fenwick share
- 44.9%
- xG for / against
- 5.44 / 9.20
Carolina Hurricanes
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
105:59 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 134 / 83
- Fenwick for / against
- 101 / 63
- Corsi share
- 61.8%
- Fenwick share
- 61.6%
- xG for / against
- 6.21 / 4.59
Defense pair
162:45 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 194 / 131
- Fenwick for / against
- 140 / 89
- Corsi share
- 59.7%
- Fenwick share
- 61.1%
- xG for / against
- 9.23 / 8.29
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Jacob Fowler
Montréal Canadiens · Last start: Mar 28
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 134
- Save %
- 89.6
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 30.6
Brandon Bussi
Carolina Hurricanes · Last start: Mar 28
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 116
- Save %
- 85.3
- Goals allowed
- 17
- Close-range shots %
- 31.0
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 29, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Montréal Canadiens
- xG for / game
- 3.78
- xG against / game
- 3.13
- xG differential / game
- 0.65
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Carolina Hurricanes
- xG for / game
- 4.16
- xG against / game
- 2.99
- xG differential / game
- 1.17
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 29, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Montréal Canadiens
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 59.5
- Corsi share (%)
- 49.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 52.3
- Faceoff win %
- 52.2
- Penalties / game
- 3.3
Shots / game: 28.4 · Shooting: 11.6% · Avg distance: 32.9 ft
Carolina Hurricanes
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 71.6
- Corsi share (%)
- 60.0
- Fenwick share (%)
- 60.9
- Faceoff win %
- 48.4
- Penalties / game
- 3.9
Shots / game: 35.2 · Shooting: 10.2% · Avg distance: 31.4 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
MTL
|
Metric |
CAR
|
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Points | 22 |
| 0.667 | Points % | 0.786 |
| 38 | Goals for | 53 |
| 36 | Goals against | 34 |
| 2 | Goal differential | 19 |
| W3 | Current streak | W2 |
Road versus home
|
MTL road
|
Metric |
CAR home
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | 5 |
| 4 | Wins | 3 |
| 9 | Points | 7 |
| 5 | Goal differential | 4 |
Last 10 games
|
MTL
|
Metric |
CAR
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-3-1 | Record | 8-1-1 |
| 13 | Points | 17 |
| 30 | Goals for | 42 |
| 28 | Goals against | 22 |
| 2 | Goal differential | 20 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
MTL
4 wins
10
games reviewed
CAR
6 wins
Total goals28 – 32
Goal differential
-4
/
+4
Goals per game2.8 / 3.2
Shots per game20.7 / 33.0
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
2 - 5 | 43 - 19 | View |
| Jan 1, 2026 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
7 - 5 | 23 - 25 | View |
| Apr 16, 2025 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
2 - 4 | 29 - 22 | View |
| Mar 28, 2025 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
1 - 4 | 15 - 24 | View |
| Feb 25, 2025 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
0 - 4 | 20 - 18 | View |
| Mar 30, 2024 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
3 - 0 | 30 - 26 | View |
| Mar 7, 2024 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
1 - 4 | 25 - 39 | View |
| Dec 28, 2023 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
3 - 5 | 21 - 31 | View |
| Apr 1, 2023 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
3 - 0 | 50 - 14 | View |
| Mar 7, 2023 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
4 - 3 | 39 - 24 | View |