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Montréal Canadiens vs Anaheim Ducks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 6, 2026

NHL matchup

Montréal Canadiens at Anaheim Ducks

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 6, 2026.

March 6, 2026 · 8:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 6. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Montréal Canadiens

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

99:47 together · 10 games

xG share38.3%
Corsi for / against
77 / 103
Fenwick for / against
52 / 81
Corsi share
42.8%
Fenwick share
39.1%
xG for / against
3.47 / 5.61
All observed combinations

Anaheim Ducks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

128:02 together · 10 games

xG share47.6%
Corsi for / against
142 / 119
Fenwick for / against
106 / 92
Corsi share
54.4%
Fenwick share
53.5%
xG for / against
6.53 / 7.19
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Jakub Dobes

Montréal Canadiens · Last start: Mar 3

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
147
Save %
88.4
Goals allowed
17
Close-range shots %
31.3

Ville Husso

Anaheim Ducks · Last start: Mar 4

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
153
Save %
90.2
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
24.2
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 6, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Montréal Canadiens

xG for / game
3.26
xG against / game
3.67
xG differential / game
-0.41

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Anaheim Ducks

xG for / game
3.45
xG against / game
3.68
xG differential / game
-0.23

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 6, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Montréal Canadiens

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
57.5
Corsi share (%)
48.5
Fenwick share (%)
48.6
Faceoff win %
55.0
Penalties / game
3.9

Shots / game: 27.7 · Shooting: 14.8% · Avg distance: 33.1 ft

Anaheim Ducks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
63.8
Corsi share (%)
49.8
Fenwick share (%)
50.0
Faceoff win %
47.8
Penalties / game
2.8

Shots / game: 30.8 · Shooting: 11.4% · Avg distance: 32.7 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Montréal Canadiens MTL
Metric
Anaheim Ducks ANA
16Points11
0.667Points %0.458
38Goals for37
36Goals against43
2Goal differential-6
W3Current streakOT1
Road versus home
Montréal Canadiens MTL road
Metric
Anaheim Ducks ANA home
6Games5
4Wins1
9Points3
5Goal differential-7
Last 10 games
Montréal Canadiens MTL
Metric
Anaheim Ducks ANA
6-3-1Record3-6-1
13Points7
30Goals for30
28Goals against38
2Goal differential-8
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Montréal Canadiens MTL 4 wins
10 games reviewed
Anaheim Ducks ANA 6 wins
Total goals29 – 35
Goal differential -6 / +6
Goals per game2.9 / 3.5
Shots per game28.5 / 27.8
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Feb 2, 2025
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
2 - 3 23 - 22 View
Dec 9, 2024
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
2 - 3 29 - 21 View
Feb 13, 2024
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
0 - 5 13 - 38 View
Nov 22, 2023
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
4 - 3 28 - 33 View
Mar 3, 2023
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
2 - 3 28 - 33 View
Dec 15, 2022
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
5 - 2 32 - 25 View
Jan 27, 2022
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
5 - 4 24 - 40 View
Oct 31, 2021
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
2 - 4 18 - 26 View
Feb 6, 2020
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
2 - 3 37 - 27 View
Mar 8, 2019
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
2 - 8 37 - 29 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.