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Minnesota Wild vs Chicago Blackhawks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for November 29, 2026

NHL matchup

Minnesota Wild at Chicago Blackhawks

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for November 29, 2026.

November 29, 2026 · 2:00 PM MBT
Away

Minnesota Wild

12-3-4

55.5% Model pick
at
Home

Chicago Blackhawks

4-13-1

44.5%
Model V2 pick: Minnesota Wild at 55.5%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Chicago Blackhawks logo
Home team

Chicago Blackhawks

44.5%
Fair American +125
Fair decimal 2.25
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Nov 29, 2026.

Minnesota Wild

All Model Picks

Bets
12
Record
9-3
Net units
2.86
ROI
23.8%

Value Picks

Bets
7
Record
3-4
Net units
-1.64
ROI
-23.4%

Market Favourite

Bets
13
Record
10-3
Net units
3.51
ROI
27.0%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 29. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Minnesota Wild

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

115:45 together · 10 games

xG share62.0%
Corsi for / against
136 / 97
Fenwick for / against
103 / 78
Corsi share
58.4%
Fenwick share
56.9%
xG for / against
8.26 / 5.06
Defense pair

127:05 together · 10 games

xG share52.5%
Corsi for / against
139 / 113
Fenwick for / against
98 / 84
Corsi share
55.2%
Fenwick share
53.8%
xG for / against
6.86 / 6.19
All observed combinations

Chicago Blackhawks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

110:39 together · 10 games

xG share29.7%
Corsi for / against
86 / 116
Fenwick for / against
61 / 93
Corsi share
42.6%
Fenwick share
39.6%
xG for / against
3.37 / 7.95
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Season goaltending

Every recorded goalie

Regular-season records for each team in 2026–27, before Nov 29, 2026. Includes recorded backups. Games played require ice time; stats cover only games with this team.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Calvin Pickard

Minnesota Wild · Last start: Nov 7

3 / 3 appearances covered

Shots faced
76
Save %
85.5
Goals allowed
11
Close-range shots %
21.1

Spencer Knight

Chicago Blackhawks · Last start: Nov 7

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
129
Save %
86.0
Goals allowed
18
Close-range shots %
39.5
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 29, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Minnesota Wild

xG for / game
3.55
xG against / game
2.91
xG differential / game
0.64

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Chicago Blackhawks

xG for / game
2.58
xG against / game
3.73
xG differential / game
-1.15

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 29, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Minnesota Wild

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
61.0
Corsi share (%)
51.4
Fenwick share (%)
52.1
Faceoff win %
46.3
Penalties / game
3.9

Shots / game: 29.6 · Shooting: 11.8% · Avg distance: 31.3 ft

Chicago Blackhawks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
52.6
Corsi share (%)
47.5
Fenwick share (%)
45.1
Faceoff win %
40.2
Penalties / game
4.0

Shots / game: 23.9 · Shooting: 7.5% · Avg distance: 32.9 ft

Skaters versus this opponent

Hot & cold against the other team

Up to five skaters per team, ranked by the largest change in points per game against this opponent versus other opponents. Uses the last five meetings per player within this season and the previous two seasons, before Nov 29, 2026.

Minnesota Wild

Q. Hughes Cold · -0.52 P/GP

5 games vs Chicago Blackhawks · 0.60 points/game
1.12 points/game across 153 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
3
Points
3
Shots / game
1.8
M. Foligno Hot · +0.51 P/GP

5 games vs Chicago Blackhawks · 0.80 points/game
0.29 points/game across 132 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
2
Points
4
Shots / game
1.6
J. Eriksson Ek Hot · +0.50 P/GP

5 games vs Chicago Blackhawks · 1.20 points/game
0.70 points/game across 130 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
4
Points
6
Shots / game
2.6
K. Kaprizov Cold · -0.50 P/GP

5 games vs Chicago Blackhawks · 0.80 points/game
1.30 points/game across 131 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
2
Points
4
Shots / game
3.2
J. Brodin Hot · +0.47 P/GP

5 games vs Chicago Blackhawks · 0.80 points/game
0.33 points/game across 126 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
4
Points
4
Shots / game
1.2

Chicago Blackhawks

B. Byram Cold · -0.49 P/GP

4 games vs Minnesota Wild · 0.00 points/game
0.49 points/game across 166 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.3
C. Bedard Hot · +0.45 P/GP

5 games vs Minnesota Wild · 1.40 points/game
0.95 points/game across 155 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
5
Points
7
Shots / game
4.6
T. Teravainen Cold · -0.40 P/GP

5 games vs Minnesota Wild · 0.20 points/game
0.60 points/game across 164 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
0
Points
1
Shots / game
0.8
R. Donato Cold · -0.34 P/GP

5 games vs Minnesota Wild · 0.20 points/game
0.54 points/game across 172 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
0
Points
1
Shots / game
1.4
T. Bertuzzi Cold · -0.23 P/GP

5 games vs Minnesota Wild · 0.40 points/game
0.63 points/game across 171 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
2
Points
2
Shots / game
1.8
How hot and cold are measuredSample requirements, player selection and limitations

Hot means a higher points-per-game rate against this opponent; cold means a lower rate. The comparison uses other opponents over the same three-season window. Only players whose most recent recorded team this season matches this matchup are considered; this does not confirm tonight's lineup. History includes appearances for former teams. Players with no meaningful rate difference are omitted from the highlights; the full breakdown includes them. These small, unadjusted historical samples describe past production, not a forecast or a statistically established matchup advantage.

Want the full picture?

See every recorded skater from both teams, including players with limited opponent history.

View all players vs opponent →
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Minnesota Wild MIN
Metric
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
28Points9
0.737Points %0.250
63Goals for39
43Goals against76
20Goal differential-37
OT1Current streakL4
Road versus home
Minnesota Wild MIN road
Metric
Chicago Blackhawks CHI home
12Games9
7Wins4
16Points8
12Goal differential-8
Last 10 games
Minnesota Wild MIN
Metric
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
6-1-3Record1-8-1
15Points3
35Goals for18
22Goals against44
13Goal differential-26
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Minnesota Wild MIN 8 wins
10 games reviewed
Chicago Blackhawks CHI 2 wins
Total goals31 – 21
Goal differential +10 / -10
Goals per game3.1 / 2.1
Shots per game29.2 / 26.2
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 19, 2026
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
2 - 1 26 - 29 View
Mar 17, 2026
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
4 - 3 37 - 26 View
Jan 27, 2026
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
3 - 4 32 - 23 View
Nov 26, 2025
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
4 - 3 24 - 37 View
Jan 26, 2025
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
4 - 2 28 - 20 View
Dec 23, 2024
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
3 - 4 31 - 27 View
Nov 29, 2024
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
2 - 3 23 - 29 View
Nov 10, 2024
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
1 - 2 33 - 22 View
Apr 7, 2024
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
4 - 0 37 - 24 View
Feb 7, 2024
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
2 - 1 25 - 21 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings MIN CHI