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Los Angeles Kings vs Montréal Canadiens prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for November 23, 2026

NHL matchup

Los Angeles Kings at Montréal Canadiens

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for November 23, 2026.

November 23, 2026 · 7:30 PM MBT
Away

Los Angeles Kings

5-8-2

34.7%
at
Home

Montréal Canadiens

11-3-3

65.3% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Montréal Canadiens at 65.3%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Los Angeles Kings logo
Away team

Los Angeles Kings

34.7%
Fair American +188
Fair decimal 2.88
Calculate value
Montréal Canadiens logo
Home team

Montréal Canadiens

65.3%
Fair American -188
Fair decimal 1.53
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Nov 23, 2026.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 23. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Los Angeles Kings

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

102:12 together · 9 games

xG share60.9%
Corsi for / against
117 / 94
Fenwick for / against
84 / 72
Corsi share
55.5%
Fenwick share
53.8%
xG for / against
6.89 / 4.42
Defense pair

126:35 together · 10 games

xG share46.4%
Corsi for / against
92 / 112
Fenwick for / against
67 / 82
Corsi share
45.1%
Fenwick share
45.0%
xG for / against
4.84 / 5.59
All observed combinations

Montréal Canadiens

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

127:27 together · 10 games

xG share45.3%
Corsi for / against
103 / 135
Fenwick for / against
80 / 100
Corsi share
43.3%
Fenwick share
44.4%
xG for / against
5.61 / 6.79
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Season goaltending

Every recorded goalie

Regular-season records for each team in 2026–27, before Nov 23, 2026. Includes recorded backups. Games played require ice time; stats cover only games with this team.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Darcy Kuemper

Los Angeles Kings · Last start: Nov 7

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
141
Save %
88.7
Goals allowed
16
Close-range shots %
37.6

Jacob Fowler

Montréal Canadiens · Last start: Nov 7

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
184
Save %
93.5
Goals allowed
12
Close-range shots %
34.8
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 23, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Los Angeles Kings

xG for / game
3.43
xG against / game
3.04
xG differential / game
0.39

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Montréal Canadiens

xG for / game
3.38
xG against / game
3.48
xG differential / game
-0.10

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 23, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Los Angeles Kings

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
59.9
Corsi share (%)
49.3
Fenwick share (%)
49.0
Faceoff win %
50.1
Penalties / game
4.0

Shots / game: 26.5 · Shooting: 12.8% · Avg distance: 31.2 ft

Montréal Canadiens

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
56.0
Corsi share (%)
47.8
Fenwick share (%)
49.0
Faceoff win %
52.4
Penalties / game
5.0

Shots / game: 27.1 · Shooting: 14.0% · Avg distance: 34.1 ft

Skaters versus this opponent

Hot & cold against the other team

Up to five skaters per team, ranked by the largest change in points per game against this opponent versus other opponents. Uses the last five meetings per player within this season and the previous two seasons, before Nov 23, 2026.

Los Angeles Kings

Q. Byfield Hot · +0.89 P/GP

4 games vs Montréal Canadiens · 1.50 points/game
0.61 points/game across 169 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
5
Points
6
Shots / game
3.3
A. Panarin Hot · +0.72 P/GP

5 games vs Montréal Canadiens · 1.80 points/game
1.08 points/game across 167 games vs other opponents

Goals
3
Assists
6
Points
9
Shots / game
4.8
B. Clarke Hot · +0.53 P/GP

4 games vs Montréal Canadiens · 1.00 points/game
0.47 points/game across 171 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
3
Points
4
Shots / game
2.3
A. Laferriere Hot · +0.45 P/GP

4 games vs Montréal Canadiens · 1.00 points/game
0.55 points/game across 170 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
2
Points
4
Shots / game
3.3
D. Doughty Cold · -0.42 P/GP

3 games vs Montréal Canadiens · 0.00 points/game
0.42 points/game across 113 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.3

Montréal Canadiens

N. Dobson Cold · -0.57 P/GP

4 games vs Los Angeles Kings · 0.00 points/game
0.57 points/game across 164 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
2.3
O. Kapanen Cold · -0.38 P/GP

3 games vs Los Angeles Kings · 0.00 points/game
0.38 points/game across 107 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.7
C. Kreider Cold · -0.31 P/GP

4 games vs Los Angeles Kings · 0.25 points/game
0.56 points/game across 156 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
0
Points
1
Shots / game
1.3
C. Caufield Cold · -0.22 P/GP

4 games vs Los Angeles Kings · 0.75 points/game
0.97 points/game across 176 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
3
Points
3
Shots / game
2.0
A. Carrier Hot · +0.19 P/GP

4 games vs Los Angeles Kings · 0.50 points/game
0.31 points/game across 165 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
1
Points
2
Shots / game
1.0
How hot and cold are measuredSample requirements, player selection and limitations

Hot means a higher points-per-game rate against this opponent; cold means a lower rate. The comparison uses other opponents over the same three-season window. Only players whose most recent recorded team this season matches this matchup are considered; this does not confirm tonight's lineup. History includes appearances for former teams. Players with no meaningful rate difference are omitted from the highlights; the full breakdown includes them. These small, unadjusted historical samples describe past production, not a forecast or a statistically established matchup advantage.

Want the full picture?

See every recorded skater from both teams, including players with limited opponent history.

View all players vs opponent →
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Los Angeles Kings LAK
Metric
Montréal Canadiens MTL
12Points25
0.400Points %0.735
45Goals for61
52Goals against53
-7Goal differential8
L1Current streakW2
Road versus home
Los Angeles Kings LAK road
Metric
Montréal Canadiens MTL home
8Games9
3Wins5
8Points12
-2Goal differential-2
Last 10 games
Los Angeles Kings LAK
Metric
Montréal Canadiens MTL
5-5-0Record8-0-2
10Points18
34Goals for38
31Goals against26
3Goal differential12
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Los Angeles Kings LAK 9 wins
10 games reviewed
Montréal Canadiens MTL 1 wins
Total goals41 – 17
Goal differential +24 / -24
Goals per game4.1 / 1.7
Shots per game34.6 / 24.1
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 7, 2026
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
4 - 3 23 - 39 View
Nov 11, 2025
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
5 - 1 26 - 22 View
Feb 5, 2025
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
3 - 6 21 - 37 View
Oct 17, 2024
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
4 - 1 32 - 27 View
Dec 7, 2023
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
4 - 0 42 - 24 View
Nov 25, 2023
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
0 - 4 18 - 30 View
Mar 2, 2023
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
2 - 3 21 - 33 View
Dec 10, 2022
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
4 - 2 35 - 22 View
Nov 9, 2021
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
3 - 2 34 - 35 View
Oct 30, 2021
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
2 - 5 28 - 38 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings LAK MTL