Away team
Los Angeles Kings
41.0%
Fair American
+144
Fair decimal
2.44
Los Angeles Kings vs Edmonton Oilers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 9, 2027
NHL matchup
Los Angeles Kings at Edmonton Oilers
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 9, 2027.
March 9, 2027
· 7:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Edmonton Oilers at 59.0%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Edmonton Oilers
59.0%
Fair American
-144
Fair decimal
1.69
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Mar 9, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 2
- Record
- 0-2
- Net units
- -2.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 1-4
- Net units
- -2.64
- ROI
- -52.8%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 2
- Record
- 1-1
- Net units
- -0.11
- ROI
- -5.4%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 4-1
- Net units
- 1.39
- ROI
- 27.9%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 2
- Record
- 2-0
- Net units
- 1.84
- ROI
- 92.0%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 6-3
- Net units
- 0.93
- ROI
- 10.4%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 9. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Los Angeles Kings
9 / 9 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
57:43 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 78 / 35
- Fenwick for / against
- 55 / 27
- Corsi share
- 69.0%
- Fenwick share
- 67.1%
- xG for / against
- 2.56 / 1.37
Defense pair
68:17 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 95 / 56
- Fenwick for / against
- 66 / 40
- Corsi share
- 62.9%
- Fenwick share
- 62.3%
- xG for / against
- 4.19 / 2.27
Edmonton Oilers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
137:07 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 159 / 103
- Fenwick for / against
- 118 / 86
- Corsi share
- 60.7%
- Fenwick share
- 57.8%
- xG for / against
- 8.71 / 6.11
Defense pair
141:59 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 88 / 130
- Fenwick for / against
- 63 / 90
- Corsi share
- 40.4%
- Fenwick share
- 41.2%
- xG for / against
- 4.22 / 4.74
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Los Angeles Kings
Expected starter unavailable.
Edmonton Oilers
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Anton Forsberg
Los Angeles Kings · Last start: Oct 24
4 / 4 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 85
- Save %
- 89.4
- Goals allowed
- 9
- Close-range shots %
- 24.7
Tristan Jarry
Edmonton Oilers · Last start: Oct 24
4 / 4 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 102
- Save %
- 85.3
- Goals allowed
- 15
- Close-range shots %
- 25.5
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 9, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Los Angeles Kings
- xG for / game
- 2.74
- xG against / game
- 2.95
- xG differential / game
- -0.20
9 / 9 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Edmonton Oilers
- xG for / game
- 3.09
- xG against / game
- 2.91
- xG differential / game
- 0.19
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 9, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Los Angeles Kings
9 / 9 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 57.4
- Corsi share (%)
- 49.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 50.1
- Faceoff win %
- 51.0
- Penalties / game
- 4.33
Shots / game: 27.2 · Shooting: 8.6% · Avg distance: 33.3 ft
Edmonton Oilers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 52.8
- Corsi share (%)
- 47.9
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.5
- Faceoff win %
- 49.1
- Penalties / game
- 3.7
Shots / game: 24.4 · Shooting: 17.6% · Avg distance: 32.8 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
LAK
|
Metric |
EDM
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Points | 17 |
| 0.333 | Points % | 0.773 |
| 21 | Goals for | 49 |
| 32 | Goals against | 39 |
| -11 | Goal differential | 10 |
| L1 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
LAK road
|
Metric |
EDM home
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | 6 |
| 2 | Wins | 3 |
| 6 | Points | 7 |
| -4 | Goal differential | -4 |
Last 10 games
|
LAK
|
Metric |
EDM
|
|---|---|---|
| 2-5-2 | Record | 8-2-0 |
| 6 | Points | 16 |
| 21 | Goals for | 44 |
| 32 | Goals against | 33 |
| -11 | Goal differential | 11 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
LAK
5 wins
10
games reviewed
EDM
5 wins
Total goals22 – 27
Goal differential
-5
/
+5
Goals per game2.2 / 2.7
Shots per game30.9 / 26.1
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Los Angeles Kings
|
4 - 1 | 17 - 40 | View |
| Apr 11, 2026 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Los Angeles Kings
|
0 - 1 | 27 - 21 | View |
| Feb 26, 2026 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Los Angeles Kings
|
8 - 1 | 37 - 22 | View |
| Jan 10, 2026 |
Los Angeles Kings
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
4 - 3 | 30 - 24 | View |
| Apr 14, 2025 |
Los Angeles Kings
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
5 - 0 | 36 - 21 | View |
| Apr 5, 2025 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Los Angeles Kings
|
0 - 3 | 27 - 29 | View |
| Jan 13, 2025 |
Los Angeles Kings
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
0 - 1 | 30 - 30 | View |
| Dec 28, 2024 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Los Angeles Kings
|
3 - 4 | 27 - 29 | View |
| Mar 28, 2024 |
Los Angeles Kings
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
1 - 4 | 32 - 20 | View |
| Feb 26, 2024 |
Los Angeles Kings
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
2 - 4 | 40 - 31 | View |