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Florida Panthers vs Montréal Canadiens prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for April 7, 2026

NHL matchup

Florida Panthers at Montréal Canadiens

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for April 7, 2026.

April 7, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 7. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Florida Panthers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

94:11 together · 6 games

xG share48.8%
Corsi for / against
86 / 85
Fenwick for / against
63 / 68
Corsi share
50.3%
Fenwick share
48.1%
xG for / against
4.52 / 4.75
All observed combinations

Montréal Canadiens

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

118:45 together · 10 games

xG share48.1%
Corsi for / against
124 / 136
Fenwick for / against
96 / 101
Corsi share
47.7%
Fenwick share
48.7%
xG for / against
6.62 / 7.13
Defense pair

130:34 together · 10 games

xG share33.9%
Corsi for / against
90 / 158
Fenwick for / against
70 / 115
Corsi share
36.3%
Fenwick share
37.8%
xG for / against
3.91 / 7.61
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Daniil Tarasov

Florida Panthers · Last start: Apr 5

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
151
Save %
87.4
Goals allowed
19
Close-range shots %
33.1

Jacob Fowler

Montréal Canadiens · Last start: Apr 5

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
117
Save %
89.7
Goals allowed
12
Close-range shots %
38.5
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 7, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Florida Panthers

xG for / game
2.95
xG against / game
3.28
xG differential / game
-0.33

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Montréal Canadiens

xG for / game
3.24
xG against / game
3.26
xG differential / game
-0.01

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 7, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Florida Panthers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
58.0
Corsi share (%)
49.7
Fenwick share (%)
47.4
Faceoff win %
44.3
Penalties / game
3.6

Shots / game: 24.8 · Shooting: 11.3% · Avg distance: 32.1 ft

Montréal Canadiens

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
52.5
Corsi share (%)
45.0
Fenwick share (%)
46.5
Faceoff win %
50.1
Penalties / game
4.5

Shots / game: 25.3 · Shooting: 12.6% · Avg distance: 33.8 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Florida Panthers FLA
Metric
Montréal Canadiens MTL
16Points16
0.615Points %0.667
39Goals for38
37Goals against36
2Goal differential2
W2Current streakW3
Road versus home
Florida Panthers FLA road
Metric
Montréal Canadiens MTL home
10Games6
5Wins3
12Points7
-1Goal differential-3
Last 10 games
Florida Panthers FLA
Metric
Montréal Canadiens MTL
6-4-0Record6-3-1
12Points13
33Goals for30
30Goals against28
3Goal differential2
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Florida Panthers FLA 3 wins
10 games reviewed
Montréal Canadiens MTL 7 wins
Total goals25 – 33
Goal differential -8 / +8
Goals per game2.5 / 3.3
Shots per game29.6 / 24.2
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 8, 2026
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
2 - 6 27 - 19 View
Dec 30, 2025
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
3 - 2 29 - 30 View
Apr 1, 2025
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
2 - 3 27 - 21 View
Mar 30, 2025
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
4 - 2 23 - 26 View
Mar 15, 2025
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
1 - 3 22 - 15 View
Dec 28, 2024
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
4 - 0 25 - 34 View
Apr 2, 2024
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
3 - 5 40 - 38 View
Feb 29, 2024
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
3 - 4 31 - 35 View
Dec 30, 2023
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
1 - 4 19 - 26 View
Nov 30, 2023
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
5 - 1 29 - 22 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.