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Florida Panthers vs Edmonton Oilers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 7, 2027

NHL matchup

Florida Panthers at Edmonton Oilers

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 7, 2027.

January 7, 2027 · 7:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick: Edmonton Oilers at 55.9%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Florida Panthers logo
Away team

Florida Panthers

44.1%
Fair American +127
Fair decimal 2.27
Calculate value
Edmonton Oilers logo
Home team

Edmonton Oilers

55.9%
Fair American -127
Fair decimal 1.79
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Jan 7, 2027.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 7. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Florida Panthers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

126:22 together · 10 games

xG share60.5%
Corsi for / against
131 / 84
Fenwick for / against
97 / 66
Corsi share
60.9%
Fenwick share
59.5%
xG for / against
5.35 / 3.48
All observed combinations

Edmonton Oilers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

141:59 together · 10 games

xG share47.1%
Corsi for / against
88 / 130
Fenwick for / against
63 / 90
Corsi share
40.4%
Fenwick share
41.2%
xG for / against
4.22 / 4.74
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Akira Schmid

Florida Panthers · Last start: Oct 25

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
117
Save %
87.2
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
29.9

Tristan Jarry

Edmonton Oilers · Last start: Oct 24

4 / 4 appearances covered

Shots faced
102
Save %
85.3
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
25.5
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 7, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Florida Panthers

xG for / game
3.41
xG against / game
2.75
xG differential / game
0.66

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Edmonton Oilers

xG for / game
3.09
xG against / game
2.91
xG differential / game
0.19

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 7, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Florida Panthers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
62.8
Corsi share (%)
56.1
Fenwick share (%)
54.5
Faceoff win %
45.5
Penalties / game
5.7

Shots / game: 29.6 · Shooting: 10.1% · Avg distance: 32.7 ft

Edmonton Oilers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
52.8
Corsi share (%)
47.9
Fenwick share (%)
48.5
Faceoff win %
49.1
Penalties / game
3.7

Shots / game: 24.4 · Shooting: 17.6% · Avg distance: 32.8 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Florida Panthers FLA
Metric
Edmonton Oilers EDM
14Points17
0.583Points %0.773
34Goals for49
36Goals against39
-2Goal differential10
W1Current streakL1
Road versus home
Florida Panthers FLA road
Metric
Edmonton Oilers EDM home
9Games6
4Wins3
10Points7
-5Goal differential-4
Last 10 games
Florida Panthers FLA
Metric
Edmonton Oilers EDM
5-4-1Record8-2-0
11Points16
30Goals for44
32Goals against33
-2Goal differential11
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Florida Panthers FLA 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Edmonton Oilers EDM 4 wins
Total goals41 – 30
Goal differential +11 / -11
Goals per game4.1 / 3.0
Shots per game34.2 / 31.1
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 19, 2026
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
4 - 0 23 - 21 View
Nov 22, 2025
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
6 - 3 31 - 38 View
Feb 27, 2025
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
3 - 4 27 - 36 View
Dec 16, 2024
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
6 - 5 28 - 30 View
Dec 16, 2023
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
5 - 1 39 - 39 View
Nov 20, 2023
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
3 - 5 29 - 33 View
Nov 28, 2022
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
3 - 4 28 - 40 View
Nov 12, 2022
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
4 - 2 32 - 42 View
Feb 26, 2022
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
4 - 3 22 - 47 View
Jan 20, 2022
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
6 - 0 28 - 40 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.