Skip to content

Florida Panthers vs Boston Bruins prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for November 8, 2026

NHL matchup

Florida Panthers at Boston Bruins

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for November 8, 2026.

November 8, 2026 · 1:00 PM MBT
Away

Florida Panthers

9-7-2

1
Final
Home

Boston Bruins

13-4-1

4 Model pick
Model V2 pick: Boston Bruins at 60.9% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Florida Panthers logo
Away team

Florida Panthers

39.1%
Fair American +156
Fair decimal 2.56
Best market +125 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 44.4%
Edge -5.3%
Expected value -12.0%
Calculate value
Boston Bruins logo
Home team

Boston Bruins

60.9%
Fair American -156
Fair decimal 1.64
Best market -134 · BetRivers
Market implied 57.3%
Edge +3.6%
Expected value +6.3%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Nov 8, 2026.

Boston Bruins

All Model Picks

Bets
10
Record
8-2
Net units
4.46
ROI
44.6%

Value Picks

Bets
9
Record
5-4
Net units
0.77
ROI
8.5%

Market Favourite

Bets
7
Record
7-0
Net units
5.14
ROI
73.4%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 8. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Florida Panthers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

97:13 together · 10 games

xG share66.4%
Corsi for / against
128 / 73
Fenwick for / against
94 / 56
Corsi share
63.7%
Fenwick share
62.7%
xG for / against
7.10 / 3.60
Defense pair

137:54 together · 10 games

xG share62.8%
Corsi for / against
145 / 116
Fenwick for / against
105 / 81
Corsi share
55.6%
Fenwick share
56.5%
xG for / against
7.19 / 4.25
All observed combinations

Boston Bruins

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

95:23 together · 9 games

xG share51.4%
Corsi for / against
70 / 96
Fenwick for / against
59 / 68
Corsi share
42.2%
Fenwick share
46.5%
xG for / against
5.15 / 4.88
Defense pair

155:15 together · 10 games

xG share62.8%
Corsi for / against
150 / 127
Fenwick for / against
112 / 82
Corsi share
54.2%
Fenwick share
57.7%
xG for / against
8.44 / 5.00
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Florida Panthers

Akira Schmid Only eligible candidate

Why Akira Schmid?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Days since last start
-1.392
Started last game
-0.389
Team played yesterday
+0.227
Prev save pct
-0.191
Team win pct before
+0.189
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Nov 8, 5:01 AM Winnipeg time

Boston Bruins

Jeremy Swayman 89.8%
Other eligible goalies

Why Jeremy Swayman?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Goalie team start share
+0.999
Started last game
+0.365
Goalie win pct before
+0.336
Days since last start
+0.282
Won previous appearance
+0.246
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Nov 8, 5:01 AM Winnipeg time

Season goaltending

Every recorded goalie

Regular-season records for each team in 2026–27, before Nov 8, 2026. Includes recorded backups. Games played require ice time; stats cover only games with this team.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Akira Schmid

Florida Panthers · Last start: Nov 7

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
131
Save %
89.3
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
34.4

Michael DiPietro

Boston Bruins · Last start: Nov 5

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
146
Save %
92.5
Goals allowed
11
Close-range shots %
34.2
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 8, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Florida Panthers

xG for / game
3.47
xG against / game
2.69
xG differential / game
0.78

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Boston Bruins

xG for / game
3.25
xG against / game
3.20
xG differential / game
0.05

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 8, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Florida Panthers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
60.9
Corsi share (%)
55.5
Fenwick share (%)
55.0
Faceoff win %
49.7
Penalties / game
5.1

Shots / game: 30.1 · Shooting: 12.0% · Avg distance: 30.6 ft

Boston Bruins

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
53.9
Corsi share (%)
47.9
Fenwick share (%)
49.3
Faceoff win %
58.1
Penalties / game
4.3

Shots / game: 26.6 · Shooting: 13.9% · Avg distance: 32.5 ft

Skaters versus this opponent

Hot & cold against the other team

Up to five skaters per team, ranked by the largest change in points per game against this opponent versus other opponents. Uses the last five meetings per player within this season and the previous two seasons, before Nov 8, 2026.

Florida Panthers

A. Lundell Hot · +0.83 P/GP

5 games vs Boston Bruins · 1.40 points/game
0.57 points/game across 153 games vs other opponents

Goals
3
Assists
4
Points
7
Shots / game
2.2
C. Verhaeghe Cold · -0.53 P/GP

5 games vs Boston Bruins · 0.20 points/game
0.73 points/game across 168 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
0
Points
1
Shots / game
2.8
A. Barkov Cold · -0.38 P/GP

3 games vs Boston Bruins · 0.67 points/game
1.05 points/game across 66 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
2
Points
2
Shots / game
2.7
U. Balinskis Hot · +0.37 P/GP

5 games vs Boston Bruins · 0.60 points/game
0.23 points/game across 133 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
2
Points
3
Shots / game
1.0
S. Jones Cold · -0.34 P/GP

3 games vs Boston Bruins · 0.33 points/game
0.67 points/game across 129 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
1
Points
1
Shots / game
0.7

Boston Bruins

M. Lohrei Hot · +0.63 P/GP

5 games vs Florida Panthers · 1.00 points/game
0.37 points/game across 161 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
3
Points
5
Shots / game
1.4
M. Kastelic Hot · +0.55 P/GP

5 games vs Florida Panthers · 0.80 points/game
0.25 points/game across 154 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
3
Points
4
Shots / game
0.6
D. Pastrnak Hot · +0.51 P/GP

5 games vs Florida Panthers · 1.80 points/game
1.29 points/game across 169 games vs other opponents

Goals
3
Assists
6
Points
9
Shots / game
4.0
C. Mittelstadt Hot · +0.47 P/GP

5 games vs Florida Panthers · 1.00 points/game
0.53 points/game across 163 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
4
Points
5
Shots / game
1.4
H. Lindholm Hot · +0.39 P/GP

4 games vs Florida Panthers · 0.75 points/game
0.36 points/game across 97 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
3
Points
3
Shots / game
2.0
How hot and cold are measuredSample requirements, player selection and limitations

Hot means a higher points-per-game rate against this opponent; cold means a lower rate. The comparison uses other opponents over the same three-season window. Only players whose most recent recorded team this season matches this matchup are considered; this does not confirm tonight's lineup. History includes appearances for former teams. Players with no meaningful rate difference are omitted from the highlights; the full breakdown includes them. These small, unadjusted historical samples describe past production, not a forecast or a statistically established matchup advantage.

Want the full picture?

See every recorded skater from both teams, including players with limited opponent history.

View all players vs opponent →
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Florida Panthers FLA
Metric
Boston Bruins BOS
20Points27
0.556Points %0.750
56Goals for68
55Goals against41
1Goal differential27
L2Current streakW4
Road versus home
Florida Panthers FLA road
Metric
Boston Bruins BOS home
12Games9
5Wins8
12Points16
-5Goal differential22
Last 10 games
Florida Panthers FLA
Metric
Boston Bruins BOS
5-5-0Record7-2-1
10Points15
34Goals for38
33Goals against23
1Goal differential15
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Florida Panthers FLA 5 wins
10 games reviewed
Boston Bruins BOS 5 wins
Total goals32 – 32
Goal differential 0 / 0
Goals per game3.2 / 3.2
Shots per game28.4 / 26.1
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Apr 2, 2026
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
1 - 2 29 - 24 View
Feb 4, 2026
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
4 - 5 29 - 26 View
Oct 21, 2025
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
4 - 3 23 - 31 View
Mar 11, 2025
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
2 - 3 28 - 24 View
Jan 11, 2025
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
4 - 3 18 - 43 View
Oct 14, 2024
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
4 - 3 26 - 27 View
Oct 8, 2024
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
4 - 6 28 - 35 View
Apr 6, 2024
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
2 - 3 30 - 29 View
Mar 26, 2024
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
4 - 3 21 - 21 View
Nov 22, 2023
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
3 - 1 25 - 28 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings FLA BOS