Away team
Edmonton Oilers
62.4%
Fair American
-166
Fair decimal
1.6
Edmonton Oilers vs Vancouver Canucks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 21, 2027
NHL matchup
Edmonton Oilers at Vancouver Canucks
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 21, 2027.
March 21, 2027
· 8:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Edmonton Oilers at 62.4%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Vancouver Canucks
37.6%
Fair American
+166
Fair decimal
2.66
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Mar 21, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 4-1
- Net units
- 1.39
- ROI
- 27.9%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 2
- Record
- 2-0
- Net units
- 1.84
- ROI
- 92.0%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 6-3
- Net units
- 0.93
- ROI
- 10.4%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 0-3
- Net units
- -3.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 12
- Record
- 1-11
- Net units
- -8.44
- ROI
- -70.3%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 1
- Record
- 1-0
- Net units
- 0.91
- ROI
- 90.9%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 21. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Edmonton Oilers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
137:07 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 159 / 103
- Fenwick for / against
- 118 / 86
- Corsi share
- 60.7%
- Fenwick share
- 57.8%
- xG for / against
- 8.71 / 6.11
Defense pair
141:59 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 88 / 130
- Fenwick for / against
- 63 / 90
- Corsi share
- 40.4%
- Fenwick share
- 41.2%
- xG for / against
- 4.22 / 4.74
Vancouver Canucks
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
60:32 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 43 / 67
- Fenwick for / against
- 33 / 45
- Corsi share
- 39.1%
- Fenwick share
- 42.3%
- xG for / against
- 2.84 / 3.47
Defense pair
89:40 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 62 / 102
- Fenwick for / against
- 41 / 78
- Corsi share
- 37.8%
- Fenwick share
- 34.5%
- xG for / against
- 2.98 / 6.05
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Edmonton Oilers
Expected starter unavailable.
Vancouver Canucks
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Tristan Jarry
Edmonton Oilers · Last start: Oct 24
4 / 4 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 102
- Save %
- 85.3
- Goals allowed
- 15
- Close-range shots %
- 25.5
Leevi Meriläinen
Vancouver Canucks · Last start: Oct 25
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 188
- Save %
- 90.4
- Goals allowed
- 18
- Close-range shots %
- 37.8
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 21, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Edmonton Oilers
- xG for / game
- 3.09
- xG against / game
- 2.91
- xG differential / game
- 0.19
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Vancouver Canucks
- xG for / game
- 2.09
- xG against / game
- 4.36
- xG differential / game
- -2.26
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 21, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Edmonton Oilers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 52.8
- Corsi share (%)
- 47.9
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.5
- Faceoff win %
- 49.1
- Penalties / game
- 3.7
Shots / game: 24.4 · Shooting: 17.6% · Avg distance: 32.8 ft
Vancouver Canucks
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 43.8
- Corsi share (%)
- 40.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 39.1
- Faceoff win %
- 47.3
- Penalties / game
- 3.8
Shots / game: 18.7 · Shooting: 10.7% · Avg distance: 32.3 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
EDM
|
Metric |
VAN
|
|---|---|---|
| 17 | Points | 5 |
| 0.773 | Points % | 0.192 |
| 49 | Goals for | 37 |
| 39 | Goals against | 60 |
| 10 | Goal differential | -23 |
| L1 | Current streak | L4 |
Road versus home
|
EDM road
|
Metric |
VAN home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 6 |
| 5 | Wins | 1 |
| 10 | Points | 2 |
| 14 | Goal differential | -8 |
Last 10 games
|
EDM
|
Metric |
VAN
|
|---|---|---|
| 8-2-0 | Record | 0-9-1 |
| 16 | Points | 1 |
| 44 | Goals for | 20 |
| 33 | Goals against | 45 |
| 11 | Goal differential | -25 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
EDM
6 wins
10
games reviewed
VAN
4 wins
Total goals48 – 30
Goal differential
+18
/
-18
Goals per game4.8 / 3.0
Shots per game31.7 / 23.0
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Vancouver Canucks
|
9 - 7 | 31 - 22 | View |
| Sep 29, 2026 |
Vancouver Canucks
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
6 - 5 | 23 - 37 | View |
| Apr 16, 2026 |
Vancouver Canucks
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
1 - 6 | 12 - 35 | View |
| Jan 17, 2026 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Vancouver Canucks
|
6 - 0 | 35 - 31 | View |
| Oct 26, 2025 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Vancouver Canucks
|
3 - 4 | 29 - 27 | View |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
Vancouver Canucks
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
1 - 3 | 15 - 37 | View |
| Jan 23, 2025 |
Vancouver Canucks
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
2 - 6 | 26 - 34 | View |
| Jan 18, 2025 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Vancouver Canucks
|
2 - 3 | 15 - 27 | View |
| Nov 9, 2024 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Vancouver Canucks
|
7 - 3 | 31 - 20 | View |
| Apr 13, 2024 |
Vancouver Canucks
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
3 - 1 | 27 - 33 | View |