Away team
Edmonton Oilers
54.5%
Fair American
-120
Fair decimal
1.83
Edmonton Oilers vs San Jose Sharks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 23, 2027
NHL matchup
Edmonton Oilers at San Jose Sharks
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 23, 2027.
January 23, 2027
· 9:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Edmonton Oilers at 54.5%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
San Jose Sharks
45.5%
Fair American
+120
Fair decimal
2.2
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Jan 23, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 4-1
- Net units
- 1.39
- ROI
- 27.9%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 2
- Record
- 2-0
- Net units
- 1.84
- ROI
- 92.0%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 6-3
- Net units
- 0.93
- ROI
- 10.4%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 1.45
- ROI
- 48.3%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 8
- Record
- 4-4
- Net units
- 1.66
- ROI
- 20.8%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 1
- Record
- 1-0
- Net units
- 0.89
- ROI
- 89.3%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 23. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Edmonton Oilers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
137:07 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 159 / 103
- Fenwick for / against
- 118 / 86
- Corsi share
- 60.7%
- Fenwick share
- 57.8%
- xG for / against
- 8.71 / 6.11
Defense pair
141:59 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 88 / 130
- Fenwick for / against
- 63 / 90
- Corsi share
- 40.4%
- Fenwick share
- 41.2%
- xG for / against
- 4.22 / 4.74
San Jose Sharks
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
63:28 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 76 / 51
- Fenwick for / against
- 59 / 36
- Corsi share
- 59.8%
- Fenwick share
- 62.1%
- xG for / against
- 4.69 / 2.73
Defense pair
136:17 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 116 / 148
- Fenwick for / against
- 82 / 103
- Corsi share
- 43.9%
- Fenwick share
- 44.3%
- xG for / against
- 4.90 / 5.98
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Edmonton Oilers
Expected starter unavailable.
San Jose Sharks
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Tristan Jarry
Edmonton Oilers · Last start: Oct 24
4 / 4 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 102
- Save %
- 85.3
- Goals allowed
- 15
- Close-range shots %
- 25.5
Alex Nedeljkovic
San Jose Sharks · Last start: Oct 24
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 155
- Save %
- 90.3
- Goals allowed
- 15
- Close-range shots %
- 31.6
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 23, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Edmonton Oilers
- xG for / game
- 3.09
- xG against / game
- 2.91
- xG differential / game
- 0.19
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
San Jose Sharks
- xG for / game
- 2.97
- xG against / game
- 3.98
- xG differential / game
- -1.01
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 23, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Edmonton Oilers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 52.8
- Corsi share (%)
- 47.9
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.5
- Faceoff win %
- 49.1
- Penalties / game
- 3.7
Shots / game: 24.4 · Shooting: 17.6% · Avg distance: 32.8 ft
San Jose Sharks
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 55.5
- Corsi share (%)
- 45.7
- Fenwick share (%)
- 45.1
- Faceoff win %
- 47.0
- Penalties / game
- 4.1
Shots / game: 28.0 · Shooting: 9.6% · Avg distance: 34.0 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
EDM
|
Metric |
SJS
|
|---|---|---|
| 17 | Points | 13 |
| 0.773 | Points % | 0.542 |
| 49 | Goals for | 37 |
| 39 | Goals against | 43 |
| 10 | Goal differential | -6 |
| L1 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
EDM road
|
Metric |
SJS home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 4 |
| 5 | Wins | 2 |
| 10 | Points | 4 |
| 14 | Goal differential | -3 |
Last 10 games
|
EDM
|
Metric |
SJS
|
|---|---|---|
| 8-2-0 | Record | 4-5-1 |
| 16 | Points | 9 |
| 44 | Goals for | 28 |
| 33 | Goals against | 36 |
| 11 | Goal differential | -8 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
EDM
9 wins
10
games reviewed
SJS
1 wins
Total goals43 – 22
Goal differential
+21
/
-21
Goals per game4.3 / 2.2
Shots per game31.9 / 23.1
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
San Jose Sharks
|
3 - 1 | 20 - 20 | View |
| Apr 8, 2026 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
San Jose Sharks
|
5 - 2 | 26 - 14 | View |
| Mar 17, 2026 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
3 - 5 | 30 - 37 | View |
| Feb 28, 2026 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
San Jose Sharks
|
4 - 5 | 24 - 33 | View |
| Jan 29, 2026 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
3 - 4 | 20 - 32 | View |
| Apr 16, 2025 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
San Jose Sharks
|
3 - 0 | 28 - 18 | View |
| Apr 11, 2025 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
2 - 4 | 24 - 34 | View |
| Apr 3, 2025 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
San Jose Sharks
|
3 - 2 | 38 - 29 | View |
| Dec 21, 2024 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
2 - 3 | 22 - 42 | View |
| Apr 15, 2024 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
2 - 9 | 21 - 38 | View |