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Edmonton Oilers vs San Jose Sharks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 10, 2026

NHL matchup

Edmonton Oilers at San Jose Sharks

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 10, 2026.

October 10, 2026 · 3:00 PM CST
Away

Edmonton Oilers

8-2-1

3 Model pick
Final
Home

San Jose Sharks

6-5-1

1
Model V2 pick: Edmonton Oilers at 51.4% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Edmonton Oilers logo
Away team

Edmonton Oilers

51.4%
Fair American -106
Fair decimal 1.95
Best market -154 · FanDuel
Market implied 60.6%
Edge -9.2%
Expected value -15.2%
Calculate value
San Jose Sharks logo
Home team

San Jose Sharks

48.6%
Fair American +106
Fair decimal 2.06
Best market +136 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 42.4%
Edge +6.2%
Expected value +14.7%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 10, 2026.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 10. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Edmonton Oilers

4 / 4 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

47:26 together · 4 games

xG share78.8%
Corsi for / against
59 / 23
Fenwick for / against
42 / 18
Corsi share
72.0%
Fenwick share
70.0%
xG for / against
3.07 / 0.83
All observed combinations

San Jose Sharks

4 / 4 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

57:45 together · 4 games

xG share32.8%
Corsi for / against
39 / 62
Fenwick for / against
28 / 38
Corsi share
38.6%
Fenwick share
42.4%
xG for / against
1.46 / 2.99
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Devon Levi

Edmonton Oilers · Last start: Oct 7

3 / 3 appearances covered

Shots faced
73
Save %
86.3
Goals allowed
10
Close-range shots %
31.5

Alex Nedeljkovic

San Jose Sharks · Last start: Oct 8

1 / 1 appearances covered

Shots faced
26
Save %
92.3
Goals allowed
2
Close-range shots %
42.3
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 10, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Edmonton Oilers

xG for / game
3.51
xG against / game
2.53
xG differential / game
0.98

4 / 4 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

San Jose Sharks

xG for / game
2.57
xG against / game
4.08
xG differential / game
-1.51

4 / 4 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 10, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Edmonton Oilers

4 / 4 games covered

Attempts / game
58.5
Corsi share (%)
53.2
Fenwick share (%)
54.0
Faceoff win %
53.5
Penalties / game
4.75

Shots / game: 28.5 · Shooting: 19.3% · Avg distance: 33.3 ft

San Jose Sharks

4 / 4 games covered

Attempts / game
48.2
Corsi share (%)
42.5
Fenwick share (%)
42.6
Faceoff win %
45.7
Penalties / game
3.75

Shots / game: 24.2 · Shooting: 12.4% · Avg distance: 35.0 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Edmonton Oilers EDM
Metric
San Jose Sharks SJS
17Points13
0.773Points %0.542
49Goals for37
39Goals against43
10Goal differential-6
L1Current streakL1
Road versus home
Edmonton Oilers EDM road
Metric
San Jose Sharks SJS home
5Games4
5Wins2
10Points4
14Goal differential-3
Last 10 games
Edmonton Oilers EDM
Metric
San Jose Sharks SJS
8-2-0Record4-5-1
16Points9
44Goals for28
33Goals against36
11Goal differential-8
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Edmonton Oilers EDM 9 wins
10 games reviewed
San Jose Sharks SJS 1 wins
Total goals45 – 21
Goal differential +24 / -24
Goals per game4.5 / 2.1
Shots per game32.9 / 23.6
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Apr 8, 2026
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
5 - 2 26 - 14 View
Mar 17, 2026
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
3 - 5 30 - 37 View
Feb 28, 2026
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
4 - 5 24 - 33 View
Jan 29, 2026
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
3 - 4 20 - 32 View
Apr 16, 2025
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
3 - 0 28 - 18 View
Apr 11, 2025
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
2 - 4 24 - 34 View
Apr 3, 2025
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
3 - 2 38 - 29 View
Dec 21, 2024
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
2 - 3 22 - 42 View
Apr 15, 2024
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
2 - 9 21 - 38 View
Dec 28, 2023
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
5 - 0 30 - 25 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings EDM SJS