Away team
Edmonton Oilers
47.1%
Fair American
+112
Fair decimal
2.12
Edmonton Oilers vs New York Islanders prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 31, 2026
NHL matchup
Edmonton Oilers at New York Islanders
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 31, 2026.
October 31, 2026
· 1:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
New York Islanders at 52.9%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
New York Islanders
52.9%
Fair American
-112
Fair decimal
1.89
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 31, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 5-2
- Net units
- 0.96
- ROI
- 13.7%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 2
- Record
- 2-0
- Net units
- 1.84
- ROI
- 92.0%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 11
- Record
- 7-4
- Net units
- 0.50
- ROI
- 4.5%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 3-2
- Net units
- -0.28
- ROI
- -5.6%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 2-5
- Net units
- -3.13
- ROI
- -44.8%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 3-0
- Net units
- 1.72
- ROI
- 57.4%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 31. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Edmonton Oilers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
137:17 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 160 / 116
- Fenwick for / against
- 126 / 93
- Corsi share
- 58.0%
- Fenwick share
- 57.5%
- xG for / against
- 8.68 / 6.43
Defense pair
147:43 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 93 / 138
- Fenwick for / against
- 67 / 98
- Corsi share
- 40.3%
- Fenwick share
- 40.6%
- xG for / against
- 3.79 / 5.49
New York Islanders
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
60:15 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 66 / 48
- Fenwick for / against
- 45 / 37
- Corsi share
- 57.9%
- Fenwick share
- 54.9%
- xG for / against
- 3.06 / 2.71
Defense pair
130:57 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 136 / 93
- Fenwick for / against
- 94 / 69
- Corsi share
- 59.4%
- Fenwick share
- 57.7%
- xG for / against
- 6.43 / 5.00
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Edmonton Oilers
Expected starter unavailable.
New York Islanders
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Tristan Jarry
Edmonton Oilers · Last start: Oct 28
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 131
- Save %
- 90.8
- Goals allowed
- 12
- Close-range shots %
- 25.2
Semyon Varlamov
New York Islanders · Last start: Oct 27
4 / 4 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 92
- Save %
- 89.1
- Goals allowed
- 10
- Close-range shots %
- 40.2
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 31, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Edmonton Oilers
- xG for / game
- 3.01
- xG against / game
- 2.97
- xG differential / game
- 0.04
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
New York Islanders
- xG for / game
- 2.99
- xG against / game
- 3.38
- xG differential / game
- -0.39
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 31, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Edmonton Oilers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 52.7
- Corsi share (%)
- 46.9
- Fenwick share (%)
- 47.7
- Faceoff win %
- 48.6
- Penalties / game
- 3.5
Shots / game: 24.5 · Shooting: 15.5% · Avg distance: 31.7 ft
New York Islanders
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 55.7
- Corsi share (%)
- 50.5
- Fenwick share (%)
- 50.3
- Faceoff win %
- 56.2
- Penalties / game
- 4.5
Shots / game: 25.4 · Shooting: 11.0% · Avg distance: 33.4 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
EDM
|
Metric |
NYI
|
|---|---|---|
| 20 | Points | 14 |
| 0.769 | Points % | 0.583 |
| 56 | Goals for | 36 |
| 43 | Goals against | 32 |
| 13 | Goal differential | 4 |
| W1 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
EDM road
|
Metric |
NYI home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 6 |
| 5 | Wins | 4 |
| 10 | Points | 9 |
| 14 | Goal differential | 8 |
Last 10 games
|
EDM
|
Metric |
NYI
|
|---|---|---|
| 7-2-1 | Record | 5-3-2 |
| 15 | Points | 12 |
| 39 | Goals for | 29 |
| 29 | Goals against | 30 |
| 10 | Goal differential | -1 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
EDM
5 wins
10
games reviewed
NYI
5 wins
Total goals22 – 22
Goal differential
0
/
0
Goals per game2.2 / 2.2
Shots per game35.0 / 26.4
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 |
New York Islanders
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
1 - 0 | 18 - 35 | View |
| Oct 16, 2025 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
New York Islanders
|
2 - 4 | 33 - 25 | View |
| Mar 14, 2025 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
New York Islanders
|
2 - 1 | 35 - 25 | View |
| Nov 12, 2024 |
New York Islanders
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
3 - 4 | 22 - 42 | View |
| Dec 19, 2023 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
New York Islanders
|
1 - 3 | 31 - 21 | View |
| Nov 13, 2023 |
New York Islanders
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
1 - 4 | 33 - 32 | View |
| Jan 5, 2023 |
New York Islanders
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
2 - 4 | 22 - 38 | View |
| Nov 23, 2022 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
New York Islanders
|
0 - 3 | 49 - 31 | View |
| Feb 11, 2022 |
New York Islanders
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
1 - 3 | 38 - 36 | View |
| Jan 1, 2022 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
New York Islanders
|
2 - 3 | 19 - 29 | View |